Hard-To-Find-Dig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.3%

Resolved

336

Trades

670

lifetime

Volume

$8.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-23 04:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

76% 86% +$3

Crypto

12% 88% +$0

Politics

9% 48% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 45% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	05-19 17:26
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	11	$80	55	55	+0	No	-$1	07-14 15:42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 1?	4	$75	37	37	+0	No	+$0	04-30 22:13
highest temperature in warsaw on april 16 2026 12c	3	$73	49	24	+24	No	+$0	04-16 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 11?	3	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-10 23:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	4	$71	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-20 05:48
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	6	$71	35	35	+0	No	$0	04-29 04:52
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	4	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 00:08
spy closes above 745 on june 30 2026	3	$64	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	06-30 13:52
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 29°C on May 18?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-17 22:32
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-17 15:37
Will William Lillich be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-17 22:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-21 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	05-16 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 8?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-07 15:48
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:11
highest temperature in atlanta on april 12 2026 92forhigher	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-12 21:21
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	7	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-19 17:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 9?	5	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-10 08:25
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	05-19 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 27?	6	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:46
aapl above 280 on march 31 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	03-31 06:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	2	$53	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	05-16 01:40
will bandi season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	04-14 19:29
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	05-19 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?	3	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 11:30
highest temperature in seattle on april 6 2026 59forbelow	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	04-06 03:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-20 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 5?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-04 22:08
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 18?	2	$51	25	25	+0	No	$0	05-17 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 04:18:45	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa04f26…
10-20 01:45:41	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7c4005…
10-11 03:29:27	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb5ab39…
10-06 15:56:21	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbc93a0…
10-06 15:55:27	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xce5bd8…
10-06 15:54:33	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6792af…
10-06 15:53:41	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x023540…
10-06 15:52:45	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x3209ca…
09-20 09:21:24	Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x30efc1…
09-14 13:23:33	Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8781b7…
09-12 22:23:10	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x2c5c86…
09-06 22:09:36	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9542f5…
09-06 22:08:24	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x403e64…
09-06 22:07:10	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb055ad…
09-05 19:06:43	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x853490…
08-28 09:22:19	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb93d68…
08-24 11:11:19	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2d2311…
08-10 20:42:00	Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3d8d2a…
07-25 01:29:24	Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7c112…
07-21 23:01:06	Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c57a5…
07-17 02:53:31	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0d8cfb…
07-15 05:46:47	Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe48c8b…
07-14 15:42:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	32	73¢	$23	0xca6e2e…
07-14 15:40:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x63d05e…
07-14 15:39:52	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe85a30…
07-14 15:37:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1ae125…
07-14 15:35:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x2b4227…
07-14 15:33:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x08ca2c…
07-14 15:32:08	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x36df40…
07-14 15:30:35	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x3f8b97…
07-14 15:27:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x833cdb…
07-14 15:26:29	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9f8125…
07-14 13:48:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x4a36d9…
07-14 13:33:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x06b1a7…
07-14 13:03:40	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8e20cd…
07-14 13:03:28	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe0e6b8…
07-14 05:42:11	Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xecac45…
07-03 11:41:20	Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5c67da…
07-01 07:07:38	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a7a74…
06-30 13:52:26	spy closes above 745 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x6c0616…
06-30 07:11:04	spy closes above 745 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xc763b9…
06-30 07:11:02	spy closes above 745 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xb7169c…
06-30 05:54:19	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0e6e77…
06-30 05:54:11	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x24ea0f…
06-30 05:54:01	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5b93da…
06-29 03:22:25	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x85f6f4…
06-29 03:21:28	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x85d5dc…
06-27 21:52:02	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91d716…
06-23 09:10:13	Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd9b2a5…
06-19 09:30:44	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdeb500…
06-17 07:53:26	Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1192d…
06-08 21:02:25	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5eb4ce…
05-22 15:01:42	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 95 and 100?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf5d36a…
05-22 01:52:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe8969a…
05-21 13:52:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x77770b…
05-21 12:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe89fa6…
05-21 10:44:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdc7c45…
05-21 10:41:36	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xca6269…
05-21 09:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4cce85…
05-21 09:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8c7751…
05-21 05:01:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0fa3e1…
05-21 03:42:20	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ebfb5…
05-21 01:02:54	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xffea00…
05-20 23:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb5bfb2…
05-20 20:32:35	Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 95 and 100?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14e2be…
05-20 17:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc2ed65…
05-20 16:25:26	Will Top Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc667cc…
05-20 15:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x253dcf…
05-20 15:23:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 21?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x12e334…
05-20 13:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 21?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9d30f2…
05-20 11:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e8158…
05-20 08:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 21?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x11af6e…
05-20 05:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xadc2d6…
05-20 05:49:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x0e82c3…
05-20 05:48:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x243883…
05-20 05:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21e79a…
05-20 02:15:08	Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x17dc99…
05-20 01:33:45	Will Tommy Tuberville win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4a6151…
05-19 20:44:49	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x121e7e…
05-19 18:42:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1d23f4…
05-19 17:58:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5254e4…
05-19 17:36:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x979d37…
05-19 17:33:31	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0cddd5…
05-19 17:26:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x89e586…
05-19 17:18:24	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf1dde7…
05-19 17:18:24	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x12de79…
05-19 16:17:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x631efa…
05-19 13:53:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x318a56…
05-19 13:21:52	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ef0bf…
05-19 11:41:11	Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc0e406…
05-19 11:33:34	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf6460…
05-19 11:28:23	Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x84176f…
05-19 11:07:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x31dc32…
05-19 10:46:33	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdf3066…
05-19 10:44:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3167f0…
05-19 09:31:22	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c7738…
05-19 09:07:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfb5501…
05-19 07:46:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdb345b…
05-19 05:08:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x728893…
05-19 04:09:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xefe246…