Shameful-Serval — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

331

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$159.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-05 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

83% 89% +$124

Crypto

17% 14% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?	4	$1.6K	0	3,275	-3,275	No	+$0	05-12 06:34
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in May 2026?	5	$1.6K	0	3,253	-3,253	No	$0	05-11 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$1.6K	0	1,585	-1,585	No	-$2	05-06 03:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	3	$1.6K	0	1,570	-1,570	No	-$2	05-04 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or below on May 21?	4	$1.4K	0	1,433	-1,433	No	-$1	05-21 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	3	$1.4K	0	1,382	-1,382	No	-$1	04-29 01:23
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	6	$1.3K	0	2,618	-2,618	No	+$1	04-29 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on May 21?	3	$1.2K	0	1,199	-1,199	No	-$1	05-20 16:40
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	3	$1.1K	0	1,737	-1,737	No	+$0	05-29 18:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	2	$1.1K	0	1,138	-1,138	No	-$1	05-30 08:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 28?	4	$1.1K	569	569	+0	No	+$1	05-28 12:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	2	$1.1K	0	1,137	-1,137	No	-$1	05-28 12:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?	2	$1.1K	0	1,135	-1,135	Yes	-$1	05-25 06:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	2	$1.1K	0	1,135	-1,135	No	-$1	05-26 11:42
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 27?	2	$1.1K	0	1,133	-1,133	Yes	-$1	05-27 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	4	$1.1K	0	2,257	-2,257	No	+$1	05-18 12:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	2	$1.1K	0	1,130	-1,130	Yes	-$1	05-19 08:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	2	$1.1K	0	1,128	-1,128	No	-$1	05-20 06:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16?	2	$1.1K	0	1,126	-1,126	Yes	-$1	05-16 08:42
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$1.1K	0	1,123	-1,123	No	-$1	05-15 05:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 16?	3	$1.1K	0	2,223	-2,223	Yes	+$1	05-15 03:01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$1.1K	0	1,099	-1,099	No	-$1	05-12 06:39
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$1.1K	0	1,084	-1,084	No	-$1	05-09 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?	3	$1.1K	528	528	+0	No	+$1	05-06 06:39
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in May 2026?	3	$1.0K	0	2,096	-2,096	No	+$0	05-11 03:20
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$1.0K	0	1,049	-1,049	No	-$1	05-05 02:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 4?	21	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	+$1	05-04 11:22
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026?	4	$1.0K	0	2,065	-2,065	No	+$3	05-03 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?	3	$1.0K	0	2,066	-2,066	No	+$0	05-16 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	2	$1.0K	0	1,034	-1,034	No	-$1	05-03 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 02:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	538	100¢	$537	0x8ad59b…
07-05 02:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93a9bd…
07-05 02:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a588e…
07-03 07:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?	No	BUY	598	100¢	$597	0x39d997…
07-02 05:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	Yes	BUY	597	100¢	$596	0xfc5651…
07-01 01:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	596	100¢	$596	0x15e99d…
06-30 02:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?	No	BUY	596	100¢	$595	0x92c770…
06-29 10:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	595	100¢	$595	0x7d8b20…
06-28 03:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 28?	No	BUY	595	100¢	$594	0xe91390…
06-25 04:56:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 25?	Yes	BUY	594	100¢	$594	0x804443…
06-24 08:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x62351e…
06-24 08:54:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 24?	No	BUY	560	100¢	$559	0x4ebf8e…
06-23 07:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0x4a4b1e…
06-23 07:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47a767…
06-23 07:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0xfd1dde…
06-22 08:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0x2ad97d…
06-22 07:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5cc3f3…
06-22 07:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2677a0…
06-22 07:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbe4fb6…
06-22 07:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x7d9b42…
06-22 07:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1e540…
06-22 07:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbcbb24…
06-22 07:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 22?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xa5fa18…
06-21 02:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	590	100¢	$590	0x886626…
06-20 08:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 20?	No	BUY	590	100¢	$589	0xa8d984…
06-19 12:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x45654d…
06-19 12:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 19?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x217459…
06-19 12:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 19?	No	BUY	341	100¢	$341	0x4ddd28…
06-18 10:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	589	100¢	$588	0x6768c8…
06-17 08:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x72e25c…
06-17 08:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x431eb1…
06-17 08:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	525	100¢	$525	0xee46c9…
06-17 08:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	582	0¢	$1	0x33906b…
06-16 08:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 16?	No	BUY	587	100¢	$587	0x1cdd0a…
06-15 06:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 15?	No	BUY	587	100¢	$586	0x777581…
06-14 16:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 14?	No	BUY	586	100¢	$585	0xeb7472…
06-14 09:05:10	bitcoin above 60k on june 14 2026	No	SELL	584	0¢	$1	0xb2ee91…
06-14 07:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	584	100¢	$584	0x919f60…
06-14 03:16:27	bitcoin above 60k on june 14 2026	Yes	SELL	584	100¢	$584	0xf4bb77…
06-13 15:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13?	No	BUY	584	100¢	$584	0x6f60aa…
06-13 06:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	584	100¢	$583	0x4ba19e…
06-13 06:38:51	bitcoin above 58k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	584	100¢	$583	0xa75555…
06-13 03:31:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 12?	No	BUY	584	100¢	$583	0x8074a9…
06-12 15:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xee6c92…
06-12 14:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	474	100¢	$473	0xab1671…
06-12 06:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xe7e749…
06-12 05:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb59a8…
06-12 05:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b2a2b…
06-12 05:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x24c6c2…
06-12 05:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x002342…
06-12 03:22:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x34885d…
06-12 03:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 11?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c7efc…
06-12 03:06:21	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd0a1ae…
06-12 02:57:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	BUY	324	100¢	$324	0xa9fefb…
06-12 02:19:43	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in July 2026?	No	SELL	582	100¢	$581	0x9ce32d…
06-11 15:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	582	100¢	$581	0x8b77cf…
06-11 05:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on June 11?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x5ad6f3…
06-11 03:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 11?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0x850c66…
06-11 03:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 11?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0xea9e73…
06-11 03:20:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x981093…
06-11 03:16:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe83780…
06-11 02:28:37	bitcoin above 54k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	581	100¢	$581	0x3dd1e6…
06-10 12:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C or higher on June 10?	No	BUY	581	100¢	$581	0xdbbe9c…
06-10 05:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4f646d…
06-10 05:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd2f68…
06-10 05:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ed9a9…
06-10 05:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	545	100¢	$544	0x28d96b…
06-10 03:39:00	ethereum above 1300 on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	580	100¢	$580	0xe0cd9e…
06-09 15:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	364	100¢	$364	0x2017a0…
06-09 15:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6f5538…
06-09 15:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 9?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xd29331…
06-09 02:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	580	100¢	$579	0x64c576…
06-09 02:10:18	ethereum above 2000 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	580	100¢	$579	0x55f78a…
06-08 16:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	580	100¢	$579	0xc5eac8…
06-08 06:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xb9b327…
06-08 06:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf3c9cb…
06-08 05:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6028ed…
06-08 05:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x97ddfb…
06-08 05:51:24	ethereum above 2000 on june 8 2026	No	SELL	579	100¢	$579	0xe3b704…
06-08 04:19:48	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 7?	No	BUY	579	100¢	$579	0x61b1a9…
06-07 15:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 7?	No	BUY	339	100¢	$338	0x2da317…
06-07 15:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 7?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xcb2067…
06-07 13:32:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0x02b9a8…
06-07 13:31:07	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 7?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0x575a38…
06-07 05:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	426	100¢	$425	0x324522…
06-07 05:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 7?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xae9d0f…
06-07 02:58:28	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 6?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xd6d3f7…
06-07 02:55:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 6?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x284d19…
06-07 02:55:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 6?	No	BUY	459	100¢	$458	0xcfc895…
06-07 02:49:55	solana above 90 on june 7 2026	No	SELL	577	100¢	$576	0x952a38…
06-06 16:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	577	100¢	$576	0xfbb6fb…
06-06 12:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	576	100¢	$575	0x4ffda4…
06-06 03:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$237	0xca142f…
06-06 03:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x181917…
06-06 03:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79bb5f…
06-06 03:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x657686…
06-06 03:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0xdde180…
06-06 03:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2fe6ee…
06-06 03:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x02ec25…
06-06 03:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb9a2d…