Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?
open
Total volume
$336
$403 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$20,769
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-05-18
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 23:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-60.4¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $43
vs crowd: 60% YES on $271)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $118 | $19 | +$99 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $46 | $70 | $24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $48 | $23 | +$25 |
| Median | 4 | $4 | $3 | +$1 |
| Below median | 3 | $17 | $4 | +$13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $94 | $31 | +$63 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +180 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 05-14 20:52 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | +86 | $39 | $52 | 3 | 05-14 18:42 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +60 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-12 20:47 |
| Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | +55 | $43 | $43 | 4 | 05-14 14:21 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +32 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 17:22 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 20:50 |
| Single-Insurance 0xcb5f…f0c1 | Yes | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 14:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-12 22:31 |
| 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 23:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 22:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 22:31 |
| Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 13:41 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +1 | $5 | $34 | 4 | 05-14 18:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 23:34:17 | Velvety-Tic 0x5b93…8e5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x3e3fb2… |
| 05-14 20:54:29 | Grimy-Nephew 0x1e63…1a5e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x8ec424… |
| 05-14 20:52:14 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 40¢ | $53 | 0x0b1b4b… |
| 05-14 19:53:57 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x945623… |
| 05-14 19:44:50 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 41¢ | $11 | 0xf4d028… |
| 05-14 18:42:18 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x6fb3f1… |
| 05-14 18:39:58 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 46¢ | $23 | 0x3959d1… |
| 05-14 18:37:10 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x3fae62… |
| 05-14 18:12:10 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 14 | 48¢ | $7 | 0x07d1da… |
| 05-14 17:24:41 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 11 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xcca631… |
| 05-14 17:22:00 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | BUY | 32 | 56¢ | $18 | 0xe04961… |
| 05-14 14:58:33 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x39a092… |
| 05-14 14:58:33 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xceb518… |
| 05-14 14:21:10 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x68eaf4… |
| 05-14 14:03:12 | Single-Insurance 0xcb5f…f0c1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 24¢ | $3 | 0xedf932… |
| 05-14 13:41:04 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xcc80a6… |
| 05-14 13:19:18 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 16 | 79¢ | $13 | 0xec66f4… |
| 05-14 12:47:46 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 33 | 78¢ | $25 | 0x93dede… |
| 05-14 12:22:31 | Lazy-Report 0x2510…008d | Yes | BUY | 84 | 19¢ | $16 | 0x901411… |
| 05-14 12:17:40 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x5ab059… |
| 05-14 12:02:43 | Lazy-Report 0x2510…008d | Yes | SELL | 131 | 17¢ | $22 | 0x45302a… |
| 05-14 08:03:59 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x8ebfef… |
| 05-13 23:10:52 | 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xfd8fa6… |
| 05-13 15:08:29 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 25 | 77¢ | $19 | 0x3c2124… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x5e219e… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x138cdb… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xa46f52… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x7ae884… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x2799f3… |
| 05-12 22:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xccfea5… |
| 05-12 22:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x7957a8… |
| 05-12 22:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…4788 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0x69878e… |
| 05-12 22:30:57 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x6a6fbb… |
| 05-12 22:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | SELL | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x524687… |
| 05-12 22:30:56 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0xeaf5f4… |
| 05-12 20:50:53 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 20 | 66¢ | $13 | 0x056d89… |
| 05-12 20:47:58 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x103762… |
| 05-12 20:45:38 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x2b9ace… |
| 05-12 20:40:46 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x24bdca… |
| 05-12 17:21:25 | Shrill-Insight 0xc7ca…65e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 69¢ | $1 | 0xc8dd3f… |