Sinful-Doughnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-30 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 83% $-1

Sports

22% 0% $-3

Other

13% — —

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$433	217	217	+0	open	—	02-10 11:10
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	01-20 12:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	2	$259	130	130	+0	open	—	04-23 06:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$257	129	128	+0	open	—	04-20 06:01
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	03-02 07:50
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	03-20 05:13
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	03-20 05:33
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	03-08 04:38
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$243	122	122	+0	open	—	03-08 05:38
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	02-13 06:47
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$239	119	119	+0	open	—	02-13 07:22
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	02-02 07:20
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	01-18 03:21
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	01-20 12:51
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-27 08:43
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	01-31 15:19
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$193	97	97	+0	open	—	01-18 03:47
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$193	97	97	+0	open	—	01-18 04:09
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$193	96	96	+0	open	—	01-19 06:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-23 06:51
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-22 12:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	1	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	04-21 08:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-17 05:17
bitcoin above 70k on april 19	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-19 03:41
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-16 11:31
bitcoin above 78k on april 15	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-15 09:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 14	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-14 08:18
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-13 00:38
ethereum above 2000 on april 12	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-12 04:33
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-06 01:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 06:04:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf6af9f…
05-29 08:58:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xe24032…
05-27 06:52:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xcf2dc0…
05-26 11:22:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x1133ed…
05-26 11:17:14	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x977432…
05-25 08:38:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x793a00…
05-25 08:31:31	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2b07bc…
05-24 12:27:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x2789a6…
05-21 12:52:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x193a40…
05-20 10:04:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb8933b…
05-20 09:56:59	AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Toronto Marlies	Cleveland Monsters	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe25d0c…
05-19 09:15:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xee672f…
05-18 12:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x4e44c9…
05-17 10:55:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x704139…
05-14 09:53:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xf7a45f…
05-13 04:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xc60132…
05-12 11:05:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x8e8b8f…
05-11 11:57:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xf54bb1…
05-10 09:52:58	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x28200c…
05-10 09:47:55	Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x43f75b…
05-09 09:40:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xf7b542…
05-07 12:55:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9a45ab…
05-07 12:42:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,167	0¢	$3	0x975417…
05-05 03:49:58	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x6869ff…
05-03 03:38:16	Will Solana dip to $70 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x4abf12…
05-03 03:36:44	Will XRP reach $1.50 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1dc582…
05-01 04:23:22	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0x09c077…
04-30 06:28:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xc89128…
04-29 04:14:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 29?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcb8190…
04-27 02:46:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 27?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x9e12e8…
04-26 10:36:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x962218…
04-26 08:57:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb0439f…
04-25 11:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x657407…
04-25 11:42:08	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x668d33…
04-24 12:48:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	1,300	0¢	$3	0xa09ba9…
04-24 08:44:12	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0x8fcbc2…
04-24 07:15:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,167	0¢	$4	0xd293a5…
04-24 07:14:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xcdfdb3…
04-24 07:11:54	ethereum above 2700 on april 24	Yes	BUY	895	0¢	$2	0x9c72c6…
04-23 06:51:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xaab2ff…
04-23 06:43:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x2e345f…
04-23 05:15:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x3d0f74…
04-22 12:06:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x1ba190…
04-21 08:59:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0x2c012a…
04-21 08:08:34	Abidjan: Maximilian Neuchrist vs Karim Bennani	Maximilian Neuchrist	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x0ce282…
04-20 06:08:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 20	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xb69281…
04-20 06:05:44	Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Faria	Jaime Faria	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xbd5abf…
04-20 06:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x2ffabd…
04-20 05:16:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$128	0x620dae…
04-19 03:41:36	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x27e2ae…
04-17 05:17:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8c6ebd…
04-16 11:31:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x272a25…
04-15 09:49:18	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x9e95f5…
04-14 08:18:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 14	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xf88aa4…
04-13 00:38:43	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x0fd6a0…
04-12 04:33:37	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x80e1a2…
04-10 05:24:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 10	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x801110…
04-09 11:43:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x55e20b…
04-08 06:19:51	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xbdc6fc…
04-07 05:55:57	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x3232a9…
04-06 01:56:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x5560a5…
04-04 05:00:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x87a9e5…
04-03 06:43:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 3	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xb8cf40…
04-02 10:09:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x12e765…
04-01 09:07:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x4c4c09…
03-31 10:07:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x3ef372…
03-31 09:24:55	wta andrees galfi 2026 03 30	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6f86b8…
03-30 03:39:50	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8ddf3c…
03-29 03:55:18	bitcoin above 72k on march 29	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x758a74…
03-28 10:39:03	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xc8f4c4…
03-27 15:14:01	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 160 179	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe12829…
03-27 02:31:15	will bitcoin dip to 67k on march 26	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x579228…
03-25 07:21:47	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xdeadce…
03-24 07:19:31	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xe4bcf9…
03-22 04:44:05	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8fc92a…
03-21 11:39:45	ethereum above 2000 on march 21	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x0207fa…
03-20 05:47:15	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0xa9e686…
03-20 05:44:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 20	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xd7fe8b…
03-20 05:33:09	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x847e06…
03-20 05:15:47	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x9a8585…
03-20 05:13:53	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0x938eb4…
03-20 04:44:03	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xaf472b…
03-17 08:12:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 17	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x9d7729…
03-14 07:09:15	will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x27c171…
03-13 06:20:49	ethereum above 1800 on march 13	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xa506dd…
03-10 08:36:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xe0e7e5…
03-09 12:08:35	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xfa1e49…
03-08 05:46:25	will ethereum reach 2400 march 2 8	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xca3b4e…
03-08 05:38:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x47179f…
03-08 04:41:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x0e4036…
03-08 04:38:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0xe8353e…
03-08 04:11:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x6446cf…
03-07 12:50:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xef3881…
03-06 09:45:23	bitcoin above 76k on march 6	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0x1ef9ee…
03-03 05:10:09	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0xe9a3b8…
03-02 07:52:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xaf6db8…
03-02 07:50:17	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x84d4e7…
03-02 07:33:03	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x77213a…
02-28 16:52:45	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xf259bb…
02-27 05:01:24	tsla above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x445aba…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	65	$101.7K	2,168	05-29 23:43
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	63	$10.1K	7,004	04-17 15:53
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	63	$2.75K	64	05-30 10:29
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	62	$95.4K	1,523	05-26 15:55
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	59	$670	2,533	04-28 07:25
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	54	$3.23K	1,292	05-28 15:27
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	52	$323.2K	2,445	05-30 07:14
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	46	$137.5K	805	05-30 11:59