Leading-Pitcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.36K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.4%

Resolved

2,561

Trades

8,991

lifetime

Volume

$4.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$454

Open exposure

$1.08K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 298 days

Categories

Other

55% 97% +$4,598

Crypto

37% 92% +$1,726

Politics

8% 98% +$1,041

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes		+1,079	$1,078	100¢	$1.1K	+$0	10-27 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	96	$36.1K	20,913	15,212	+5,700	No	+$16	05-11 16:07
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	53	$30.2K	13,843	16,476	-2,633	No	+$2	02-05 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	87	$22.4K	16,985	5,500	+11,485	No	+$46	09-11 16:04
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	28	$20.7K	10,985	9,700	+1,285	No	+$3	04-13 16:58
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	22	$16.9K	10,004	6,900	+3,104	No	+$5	03-12 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	15	$14.1K	9,950	4,220	+5,730	No	+$12	04-30 21:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	11	$13.9K	6,333	7,563	-1,229	No	+$1	03-29 21:30
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	8	$13.8K	6,900	6,900	+0	No	+$0	03-06 15:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	11	$13.7K	6,339	7,339	-1,000	No	+$5	03-04 08:42
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?	3	$12.8K	9,800	3,000	+6,800	No	+$7	06-16 20:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22?	5	$12.5K	12,300	200	+12,100	No	+$12	09-22 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?	13	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	Yes	+$12	10-02 05:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	16	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	Yes	+$12	10-02 18:07
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	38	$12.3K	7,753	4,921	+2,832	No	+$2	03-28 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	1	$12.2K	12,200	0	+12,200	No	+$12	09-01 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$12.1K	12,100	0	+12,100	No	+$12	10-16 05:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25?	8	$12.0K	10,000	2,000	+8,000	No	+$8	09-25 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$11.9K	11,923	0	+11,923	No	+$14	10-16 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	43	$11.5K	6,111	5,461	+650	No	+$14	05-12 16:34
bitcoin above 54k on august 13 2026	5	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$11	08-13 08:07
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?	12	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	07-11 22:18
bitcoin above 54k on august 12 2026	11	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$11	08-12 15:09
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	7	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	07-10 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	10-09 00:30
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?	2	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	07-18 21:04
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?	34	$10.5K	10,500	0	+10,500	No	+$11	07-06 01:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$10.5K	10,500	0	+10,500	No	+$16	10-12 15:51
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	9	$10.2K	9,700	500	+9,200	No	+$9	07-02 00:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	11	$10.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$101	09-12 06:31
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?	19	$10.0K	10,055	0	+10,055	No	+$10	06-22 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:30:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,073	0x8c3a5b…
10-27 09:59:21	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	86¢	$20	0x495592…
10-27 09:57:51	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x73fa9e…
10-26 21:18:44	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x642b50…
10-26 16:08:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x73422e…
10-26 16:01:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xbec3eb…
10-26 16:00:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3,818	100¢	$3,814	0xb33391…
10-26 15:45:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25fdd6…
10-26 15:24:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf08dc4…
10-26 10:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xdc5537…
10-25 21:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	100¢	$6,993	0x78ecfc…
10-25 15:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1ce2c7…
10-25 15:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5ed65e…
10-25 15:45:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x2ee922…
10-25 15:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xd63cf6…
10-25 15:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0x21c205…
10-25 15:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0xe8ca12…
10-25 13:45:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd6efdf…
10-25 13:05:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x6a8a39…
10-25 12:30:15	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x96e833…
10-25 10:29:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x575786…
10-25 10:28:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	740	100¢	$740	0x804aea…
10-25 09:55:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x24374a…
10-25 09:54:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x81050f…
10-25 09:54:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x3c042a…
10-25 09:54:38	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x1294a0…
10-25 09:54:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf4fc52…
10-25 09:01:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0x3cda64…
10-25 09:00:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xb8ed40…
10-25 07:54:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57908d…
10-25 07:53:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b8ac6…
10-25 06:59:26	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53a236…
10-25 06:46:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x0e5c23…
10-25 06:29:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe06560…
10-25 06:27:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65c8ce…
10-25 06:27:48	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b9702…
10-24 08:15:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	243	100¢	$242	0xc6c591…
10-24 03:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0x026495…
10-24 03:05:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0x3338d8…
10-24 02:01:47	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xd95d4d…
10-23 17:35:03	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb92fcb…
10-23 17:33:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x6a8f2c…
10-23 17:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0xbede3b…
10-23 17:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xabff50…
10-23 16:50:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x33fcd3…
10-23 15:32:15	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x26f9e5…
10-23 15:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd6aef7…
10-23 14:38:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0xc1d067…
10-23 14:32:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b0c6b…
10-23 14:22:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc47b7b…
10-23 14:20:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0xb1d140…
10-23 14:15:20	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x134330…
10-23 14:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x31c023…
10-23 14:13:47	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xdea9db…
10-23 14:13:47	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x058418…
10-23 13:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	1,741	100¢	$1,740	0x2bdcf6…
10-23 13:32:54	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4ca6e9…
10-23 12:42:51	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0x5b2ad8…
10-23 12:00:20	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb238a2…
10-23 10:53:06	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	125	98¢	$122	0x377de2…
10-23 10:41:51	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	249	98¢	$244	0x27318a…
10-23 08:46:23	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x687529…
10-23 08:46:15	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x542723…
10-23 07:51:27	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xdac201…
10-23 07:51:27	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x407474…
10-23 06:03:38	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb7fc02…
10-23 04:57:05	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6423ba…
10-23 04:35:17	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6aee9b…
10-23 04:23:53	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x89d8bd…
10-23 04:21:23	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x98d67c…
10-23 04:00:32	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xb21d2a…
10-23 04:00:32	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x731168…
10-23 03:25:48	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	702	100¢	$701	0xbde2ec…
10-23 03:00:08	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x798472…
10-23 00:14:09	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1f445f…
10-23 00:11:35	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xab9263…
10-22 23:57:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x5b133a…
10-22 23:57:47	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x74285f…
10-22 23:56:51	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2bcf8c…
10-22 23:55:33	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xabceaa…
10-22 23:55:33	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x94c3c0…
10-22 23:55:33	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x015e38…
10-22 23:43:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0x77ea76…
10-22 23:19:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0xb65574…
10-22 22:58:29	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64efaa…
10-22 22:52:39	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x007f8a…
10-22 22:50:14	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	254	99¢	$251	0xe300ec…
10-22 22:49:26	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	586	100¢	$585	0x1ebf3b…
10-22 22:48:59	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x069c47…
10-22 22:48:51	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58b718…
10-22 22:48:51	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2bb580…
10-22 22:48:50	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x90c4a1…
10-22 22:48:50	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x22ef32…
10-22 22:48:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x437dd5…
10-22 22:48:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x01573e…
10-22 22:46:36	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xf4e06a…
10-22 22:43:38	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x54d7c2…
10-22 22:36:54	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x855d2b…
10-22 22:22:09	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4d1eff…
10-22 22:21:38	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$181	0xd68673…