Leading-Pitcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$113

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

122

9,236 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$72.6K

$4.24M lifetime

Avg / trade

$459

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 312 days

Categories

Other

55% 96% +$4,735

Crypto

37% 92% +$1,811

Politics

8% 98% +$1,065

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 9?	No		+33	$33	100¢	$33	$0	11-09 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	96	$36.1K	20,913	15,212	+5,700	No	+$16	05-11 16:07
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	53	$30.2K	13,843	16,476	-2,633	No	+$2	02-05 16:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	87	$22.4K	16,985	5,500	+11,485	No	+$46	09-11 16:04
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	28	$20.7K	10,985	9,700	+1,285	No	+$3	04-13 16:58
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 260 279	22	$16.9K	10,004	6,900	+3,104	No	+$5	03-12 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	15	$14.1K	9,950	4,220	+5,730	No	+$12	04-30 21:42
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 140 159	11	$13.9K	6,333	7,563	-1,229	No	+$1	03-29 21:30
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	8	$13.8K	6,900	6,900	+0	No	+$0	03-06 15:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	11	$13.7K	6,339	7,339	-1,000	No	+$5	03-04 08:42
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?	3	$12.8K	9,800	3,000	+6,800	No	+$7	06-16 20:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22?	5	$12.5K	12,300	200	+12,100	No	+$12	09-22 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 2?	13	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	Yes	+$12	10-02 05:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 3?	16	$12.5K	12,500	0	+12,500	Yes	+$12	10-02 18:07
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	38	$12.3K	7,753	4,921	+2,832	No	+$2	03-28 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?	1	$12.2K	12,200	0	+12,200	No	+$12	09-01 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$12.1K	12,100	0	+12,100	No	+$12	10-16 05:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25?	8	$12.0K	10,000	2,000	+8,000	No	+$8	09-25 15:52
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	9	$11.9K	11,923	0	+11,923	No	+$14	10-16 02:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	43	$11.5K	6,111	5,461	+650	No	+$14	05-12 16:34
bitcoin above 54k on august 13 2026	5	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$11	08-13 08:07
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 3 England?	12	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	07-11 22:18
bitcoin above 54k on august 12 2026	11	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Yes	+$11	08-12 15:09
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?	7	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	07-10 19:46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	10-09 00:30
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 England?	2	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$11	07-18 21:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	24	$10.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	No	+$15	11-07 14:18
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?	34	$10.5K	10,500	0	+10,500	No	+$11	07-06 01:42
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$10.5K	10,500	0	+10,500	No	+$16	10-12 15:51
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	9	$10.2K	9,700	500	+9,200	No	+$9	07-02 00:56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	11	$10.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	-$101	09-12 06:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 11:00:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x04daed…
11-08 19:45:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x717e32…
11-08 16:50:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x883dc6…
11-08 16:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1aa59…
11-08 16:46:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6c95ce…
11-08 16:43:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xef763e…
11-08 16:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d88bf…
11-08 16:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on November 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6aa99…
11-08 16:35:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5588aa…
11-08 16:34:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	942	100¢	$941	0xfd979c…
11-08 14:38:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	889	100¢	$888	0xdca60a…
11-08 14:37:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2,111	100¢	$2,109	0x4dcd00…
11-07 18:50:58	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcff90c…
11-07 14:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,494	0x3a53ea…
11-07 13:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xd7d371…
11-07 13:22:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x53b5a3…
11-07 13:12:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xbce9dc…
11-07 13:08:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	413	100¢	$412	0x1a2770…
11-07 13:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	367	100¢	$366	0x45ad9e…
11-07 13:07:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	416	100¢	$415	0xe9b5af…
11-07 12:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0xd16a69…
11-07 12:54:01	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf66110…
11-07 12:53:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0xcc0fce…
11-07 10:50:16	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0xb9a637…
11-07 08:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	507	100¢	$507	0x6af567…
11-07 08:22:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x52c8c5…
11-07 07:54:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x12856c…
11-07 07:53:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	493	100¢	$492	0x7008f3…
11-07 06:03:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xdfb77a…
11-07 06:01:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x4d7a7a…
11-07 06:01:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe10249…
11-07 06:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x6d703f…
11-07 05:58:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x4c3ac5…
11-07 05:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x55f534…
11-07 05:15:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7a9b0d…
11-07 05:15:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xef9ec4…
11-07 05:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x07182a…
11-06 15:19:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	2,978	100¢	$2,975	0x6ca9a9…
11-06 10:18:37	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ad98e…
11-06 09:32:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,954	100¢	$1,952	0xdceefc…
11-06 06:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,983	0x58f5b7…
11-05 17:12:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on November 5?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x47e0cb…
11-05 17:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0xace12a…
11-05 16:28:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bbbd2…
11-05 16:12:54	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9debe6…
11-05 16:12:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x118c46…
11-05 16:12:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x643271…
11-05 16:10:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x596758…
11-05 15:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x2b1067…
11-05 15:09:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf7b70a…
11-05 14:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x01e224…
11-05 13:39:27	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcda83b…
11-05 13:39:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xe577df…
11-05 02:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x41d24c…
11-05 00:13:37	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	1¢	$2	0x67a503…
11-05 00:12:03	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	432	100¢	$431	0x028467…
11-04 22:42:10	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$2	0x6ef2fc…
11-04 21:27:43	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xed99d7…
11-04 21:02:12	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xf62932…
11-04 19:28:46	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$84	0xf1a38f…
11-04 18:05:34	Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	477	99¢	$470	0x9071b5…
11-04 17:31:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	98¢	$310	0x00f52f…
11-04 17:07:36	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$84	0x394ba6…
11-04 16:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	582	100¢	$581	0xd9eaeb…
11-04 16:23:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	849	100¢	$849	0x268c04…
11-04 15:36:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,334	100¢	$1,333	0x8af14f…
11-04 15:36:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,331	100¢	$1,330	0x46092c…
11-04 15:36:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x280235…
11-04 15:17:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xe85db5…
11-04 13:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	1,090	100¢	$1,089	0x40a428…
11-04 11:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x10f950…
11-04 06:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	498	100¢	$496	0xbd95e9…
11-04 06:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x732c66…
11-04 06:14:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xc30b20…
11-04 04:37:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xb44037…
11-04 04:34:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0xfa07f7…
11-04 04:23:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xec9d03…
11-04 04:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	1¢	$1	0x91e333…
11-04 04:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xa4e162…
11-04 04:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xc5bef3…
11-04 04:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc4e12f…
11-03 21:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x2eafad…
11-03 20:59:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0x8256df…
11-03 19:55:36	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x3b806f…
11-03 19:55:36	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x367111…
11-03 19:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0x13cd91…
11-03 19:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	2¢	$3	0xec2d10…
11-03 18:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x99f874…
11-03 18:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x7e3abf…
11-03 17:24:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x560a5d…
11-03 17:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x3978ae…
11-03 16:54:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,994	0x78862f…
11-03 16:53:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 3?	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xd6d4c8…
11-03 16:42:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 3?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x059520…
11-03 16:37:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xc94b1a…
11-03 16:36:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	738	100¢	$737	0x0a6003…
11-03 13:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,996	0xd090ba…
11-03 10:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	1,448	100¢	$1,446	0x13568d…
11-03 10:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	1,552	100¢	$1,551	0x6fa23c…
11-03 05:49:52	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x826e68…