Happy-Default — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

112

Trades

12,754

lifetime

Volume

$9.99M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$783

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-09 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 97% +$6,713

Other

18% 100% +$1,482

Politics

18% 100% +$2,559

Sports

6% 100% +$1,074

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 861 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	162	$197.0K	104,240	104,240	+0	open	—	04-23 22:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	28	$100.4K	76,142	28,092	+48,050	open	—	05-16 00:59
bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	34	$94.8K	48,000	48,000	+0	open	—	07-06 15:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	50	$91.1K	81,664	12,990	+68,674	open	—	05-19 01:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	16	$83.6K	84,729	4,340	+80,389	open	—	05-27 03:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	11	$73.9K	37,238	37,238	+0	open	—	05-17 19:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	81	$72.0K	62,315	19,998	+42,318	open	—	05-25 09:16
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	8	$70.2K	70,000	70,000	+0	open	—	07-07 17:49
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	4	$68.0K	36,165	36,165	+0	open	—	07-01 18:06
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	16	$66.9K	35,209	35,209	+0	open	—	07-07 03:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 2?	10	$64.7K	32,522	32,522	+0	open	—	05-02 16:13
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	12	$61.9K	31,219	31,219	+0	No	+$484	05-11 02:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	14	$54.8K	52,643	3,600	+49,043	No	+$1,374	05-09 02:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	63	$53.6K	57,798	0	+57,798	open	—	05-22 00:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 21	8	$51.2K	25,944	25,763	+181	open	—	04-21 16:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	80	$51.2K	25,728	25,728	+0	open	—	05-18 18:11
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	88	$49.8K	55,109	0	+55,109	open	—	04-22 02:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	4	$49.0K	24,761	24,761	+0	open	—	06-06 00:36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	31	$48.0K	25,235	25,176	+59	open	—	04-27 22:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	4	$46.6K	18,576	28,576	-10,000	open	—	05-24 09:07
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	32	$46.5K	39,662	7,766	+31,897	open	—	06-02 15:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	27	$43.2K	21,885	21,885	+0	open	—	05-14 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	47	$42.7K	21,512	21,512	+0	Yes	+$255	05-10 12:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	75	$41.9K	60,000	0	+60,000	open	—	04-27 17:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	18	$41.8K	21,299	21,299	+0	open	—	05-14 11:51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	19	$40.8K	21,010	21,010	+0	open	—	05-01 01:05
spx up or down on april 17 2026	9	$40.7K	20,459	20,451	+8	open	—	04-17 22:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	19	$40.6K	22,815	18,222	+4,593	No	+$363	05-06 15:01
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?	6	$40.4K	20,341	20,336	+5	open	—	05-25 03:38
iran closes its airspace by june 8	15	$40.0K	20,578	20,578	+0	open	—	06-07 23:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 18:09:31	btc updown 15m 1783620000	Up	BUY	3,965	99¢	$3,921	0xbb5b21…
07-09 18:09:17	btc updown 15m 1783620000	Up	BUY	2,531	99¢	$2,504	0x5c8600…
07-09 17:53:53	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	769	100¢	$768	0xd9d83b…
07-09 17:53:47	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x40a347…
07-09 17:53:38	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	1,844	100¢	$1,842	0x401d37…
07-09 17:53:29	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x10cdb8…
07-09 17:48:22	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	2,673	99¢	$2,646	0x450625…
07-09 17:44:07	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	SELL	1,464	100¢	$1,462	0xe89e22…
07-09 17:41:59	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	BUY	482	99¢	$478	0xc8f22f…
07-09 17:41:32	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x048766…
07-09 17:41:28	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf11c8f…
07-09 17:41:28	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xd6717d…
07-09 17:41:28	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xa0801e…
07-09 17:41:28	btc updown 15m 1783618200	Up	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x33f720…
07-09 17:29:08	btc updown 15m 1783617300	Up	SELL	1,284	100¢	$1,283	0xbfe45f…
07-09 17:19:34	btc updown 15m 1783617300	Up	BUY	1,284	92¢	$1,187	0xee721c…
07-09 17:02:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	2,983	100¢	$2,980	0xe78054…
07-09 16:55:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	454	99¢	$450	0xeb0321…
07-09 16:54:47	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8cc0cb…
07-09 16:52:58	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xbf86eb…
07-09 16:51:41	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	581	99¢	$575	0x62f651…
07-09 16:51:23	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xb9dd43…
07-09 16:51:23	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	401	99¢	$397	0x6ca5c3…
07-09 16:51:23	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	346	99¢	$343	0x60464d…
07-09 16:51:22	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	374	99¢	$370	0x5afe5f…
07-09 16:51:22	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5302c5…
07-09 15:59:05	btc updown 15m 1783611900	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x173693…
07-09 15:59:04	btc updown 15m 1783611900	Down	BUY	519	99¢	$514	0xdb42ad…
07-09 15:58:46	btc updown 15m 1783611900	Down	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0xd22920…
07-09 15:44:59	will kanye west attend taylor swifts wedding	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xc607c1…
07-09 15:41:37	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	1,187	94¢	$1,115	0xab4b92…
07-09 15:39:43	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	3,603	100¢	$3,600	0xa65120…
07-09 15:39:19	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0f0d9f…
07-09 15:38:53	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xbe2d8d…
07-09 15:38:28	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x85df95…
07-09 15:38:01	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd3f8bb…
07-09 15:37:37	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x19ff76…
07-09 15:37:11	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x68f2f1…
07-09 15:36:49	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3adbc5…
07-09 15:36:28	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1de778…
07-09 15:36:07	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x7bd634…
07-09 15:35:43	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc29b5c…
07-09 15:35:23	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x740b03…
07-09 15:34:53	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xff04ce…
07-09 15:34:28	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe859d4…
07-09 15:34:01	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x942fad…
07-09 15:33:34	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xfffb9d…
07-09 15:33:07	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9f4953…
07-09 15:33:01	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	4,619	100¢	$4,614	0x5093d0…
07-09 15:32:46	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x49e526…
07-09 15:32:32	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	2,132	100¢	$2,129	0xbb3d17…
07-09 15:32:22	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf09b0f…
07-09 15:32:20	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x5ad29f…
07-09 15:32:20	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	931	100¢	$930	0x41df8c…
07-09 15:30:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	No	SELL	912	100¢	$911	0xdb3fb6…
07-09 15:27:05	bitcoin above 60k on july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	18,604	100¢	$18,585	0x05ec14…
07-09 15:25:11	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	SELL	4,462	100¢	$4,457	0x7b4cc3…
07-09 15:24:40	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	5,746	99¢	$5,688	0xc33b23…
07-09 15:24:40	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0xc339f3…
07-09 15:24:25	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf1f3e0…
07-09 15:24:25	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	885	99¢	$876	0xcc2768…
07-09 15:24:25	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x61c535…
07-09 15:24:23	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x9e4538…
07-09 15:24:23	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x684344…
07-09 15:24:23	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63af71…
07-09 15:24:22	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	1,782	99¢	$1,764	0xe69980…
07-09 15:23:35	btc updown 5m 1783610400	Up	BUY	2,638	95¢	$2,517	0x09ed83…
07-09 14:01:20	bitcoin up or down on july 9 2026	Up	BUY	6,620	98¢	$6,519	0x02ee04…
07-09 13:55:07	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x2c9813…
07-09 13:54:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x3a6c5d…
07-09 13:54:34	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x98a6e7…
07-09 13:54:16	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8e8fbf…
07-09 13:53:56	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xcec375…
07-09 13:53:52	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	2,292	100¢	$2,290	0x032c92…
07-09 13:45:16	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x846ba9…
07-09 13:45:16	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	1,055	96¢	$1,013	0x1ef137…
07-09 13:45:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xc4ab69…
07-09 13:45:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9cecad…
07-09 13:45:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x91bb51…
07-09 13:45:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	347	96¢	$333	0x5eeff6…
07-09 13:45:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x201eb4…
07-09 13:45:14	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x074cd4…
07-09 13:45:05	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	277	96¢	$266	0x54bc9c…
07-09 13:45:04	bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	720	96¢	$691	0x9d841c…
07-09 13:39:52	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0xe3c4ed…
07-09 13:39:44	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xb7d65c…
07-09 13:39:43	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xc46bd0…
07-09 13:39:43	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x1e3952…
07-09 13:39:43	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x15fde1…
07-09 13:39:37	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	642	98¢	$629	0x6351ec…
07-09 13:39:16	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	852	97¢	$825	0xe8184f…
07-09 13:39:10	btc updown 5m 1783604100	Up	BUY	808	98¢	$795	0x76571b…
07-09 13:11:29	btc updown 15m 1783602000	Up	BUY	985	100¢	$982	0xbce1a7…
07-09 12:46:25	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	635	95¢	$603	0x5fdf81…
07-09 12:46:08	iran successfully targets shipping on july 6 20260625225210247	No	SELL	2,012	96¢	$1,921	0x901302…
07-09 12:43:49	btc updown 15m 1783600200	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xde7691…
07-09 12:43:41	btc updown 15m 1783600200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3bbeb6…
07-09 12:43:29	btc updown 15m 1783600200	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb3db84…
07-09 12:43:26	btc updown 15m 1783600200	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26b24f…
07-09 12:43:25	btc updown 15m 1783600200	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfb6345…