Happy-Default — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$97.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

7,276

Trades

37,291

lifetime

Volume

$35.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$946

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 09-20 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 145 days

Categories

Other

59% 97% +$25,038

Crypto

29% 95% -$106,844

Politics

9% 90% +$7,902

Sports

4% 95% -$24,954

Tech

0% 100% +$963

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 558 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?	138	$257.4K	135,335	135,335	+0	No	+$9,110	08-21 10:01
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	43	$217.7K	110,777	110,777	+0	No	+$3,475	07-04 00:00
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	162	$197.0K	104,240	104,240	+0	No	+$11,020	04-23 22:04
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	48	$187.3K	98,276	98,275	+0	Yes	+$8,510	07-26 03:13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?	7	$183.3K	100,795	100,795	+0	Yes	+$18,042	08-21 21:12
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	50	$176.8K	89,576	89,576	+0	Yes	+$584	08-25 19:33
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	100	$161.9K	155,606	27,999	+127,607	No	+$21,470	07-09 21:33
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	40	$152.6K	89,573	89,573	+0	Yes	-$12,262	07-18 23:22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	72	$151.0K	82,668	82,668	+0	No	+$13,711	05-04 15:52
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?	9	$131.7K	68,332	68,332	+0	No	+$4,797	06-24 23:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	87	$124.4K	62,570	73,387	-10,817	No	+$5,350	05-25 09:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$121.2K	68,910	68,910	+0	No	+$16,496	07-29 18:11
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	41	$120.9K	78,772	78,772	+0	Spain	+$4,968	07-19 22:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	55	$119.3K	121,428	7,250	+114,178	No	+$9,232	08-08 22:45
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	97	$117.1K	110,513	25,001	+85,513	No	+$7,863	08-08 02:21
bitcoin above 74k on august 20 2026	49	$114.8K	59,938	57,592	+2,345	No	+$2,540	08-20 15:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	28	$109.7K	55,877	55,877	+0	Yes	+$1,018	07-25 16:00
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	28	$106.1K	53,422	53,422	+0	Yes	+$584	08-22 21:03
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	11	$105.5K	54,463	54,463	+0	Yes	+$3,331	06-24 03:58
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?	34	$105.0K	55,817	55,817	+0	No	+$6,543	08-19 21:22
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	26	$101.4K	51,802	51,802	+0	Yes	+$1,742	07-26 23:46
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	12	$100.9K	51,694	51,694	+0	No	+$2,404	06-16 20:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	28	$100.4K	76,142	28,092	+48,050	No	+$3,239	05-16 00:59
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	36	$99.0K	50,256	50,256	+0	No	+$986	07-14 20:56
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	3	$96.2K	49,500	49,500	+0	No	+$2,572	07-12 03:03
bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	34	$94.8K	48,000	48,000	+0	No	+$1,084	07-06 15:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	50	$91.1K	81,664	12,990	+68,674	No	+$3,292	05-19 01:40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	50	$89.5K	48,552	48,552	+0	No	+$7,127	07-19 21:14
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	2	$87.4K	91,000	0	+91,000	No	+$3,640	07-04 19:23
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	50	$85.5K	43,240	43,240	+0	No	+$684	08-11 00:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 15:25:09	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x2da1b9…
09-20 15:24:37	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	6,500	76¢	$4,940	0x68fd49…
09-11 16:48:21	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	298	86¢	$258	0xee12bb…
09-11 16:02:09	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	2,820	89¢	$2,507	0x909994…
09-11 16:01:46	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	3,145	89¢	$2,796	0x641056…
09-11 16:01:25	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	245	90¢	$220	0x8666cc…
09-11 16:01:16	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5,572	89¢	$4,978	0x365c4c…
09-11 15:59:09	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	322	92¢	$297	0x44c5ac…
09-11 15:59:01	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	2,062	90¢	$1,863	0x446944…
09-11 15:58:54	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	165	92¢	$151	0xc02ef3…
09-11 15:58:43	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	470	91¢	$428	0x0a8290…
09-11 15:51:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x50e834…
09-11 15:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	SELL	13,371	100¢	$13,358	0x0b5341…
09-11 15:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8462e6…
09-11 15:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3f3b71…
09-11 15:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x57fbdc…
09-11 15:11:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	585	94¢	$552	0x2eea3e…
09-11 15:10:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	420	95¢	$397	0xab69be…
09-11 15:10:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	614	94¢	$580	0xa54382…
09-11 15:10:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	460	94¢	$434	0x0212de…
09-11 15:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0xa8efe2…
09-11 15:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	340	96¢	$325	0x8c5495…
09-11 15:10:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x24f67f…
09-11 15:09:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x71e5e6…
09-11 15:09:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	916	96¢	$877	0x468e5c…
09-11 15:09:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	340	95¢	$324	0x3f4f70…
09-11 15:09:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	536	96¢	$512	0x27e4f2…
09-11 15:07:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	1,634	99¢	$1,617	0xca32b7…
09-11 15:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5,770	100¢	$5,764	0x4e2967…
09-11 15:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x478eac…
09-11 15:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33009a…
09-11 15:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2fefd2…
09-11 15:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x04ad7f…
09-11 13:14:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcda39d…
09-11 13:14:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	1,521	98¢	$1,494	0xf2fe13…
09-11 13:13:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	2,038	98¢	$2,002	0xad6616…
09-11 13:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 11?	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x410c7b…
09-11 13:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 11?	No	SELL	351	100¢	$351	0xc552ef…
09-11 13:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 11?	No	SELL	541	100¢	$541	0xbf8ebc…
09-11 13:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	No	SELL	552	100¢	$551	0x8146de…
09-11 13:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 11?	No	SELL	613	100¢	$612	0x93a99b…
09-11 13:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 11?	No	SELL	643	100¢	$643	0x8cca81…
09-11 13:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 11?	No	SELL	694	100¢	$694	0x7098f6…
09-11 09:58:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	2,810	98¢	$2,759	0x132bfc…
09-11 09:58:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,945	0xeafd41…
09-11 09:57:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	8,402	98¢	$8,247	0xaa5830…
09-11 01:12:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	1,400	98¢	$1,372	0x06a0d2…
09-11 01:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x19eb88…
09-11 01:12:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc2e44c…
09-11 01:11:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	703	97¢	$679	0x9238ea…
09-11 01:11:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2,114	100¢	$2,107	0x3d1c22…
09-10 22:31:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	90	91¢	$82	0x67272d…
09-10 22:31:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	2,222	91¢	$2,022	0x85ae95…
09-10 22:28:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	Yes	BUY	2,950	91¢	$2,685	0xc13d7f…
09-10 22:22:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	3,829	97¢	$3,709	0x280206…
09-10 22:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 11?	No	BUY	351	99¢	$348	0xda83a8…
09-10 22:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 11?	No	BUY	643	99¢	$637	0x4d57b6…
09-10 22:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 11?	No	BUY	541	99¢	$536	0x3039cc…
09-10 20:31:25	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	4,010	99¢	$3,982	0xa9f963…
09-10 20:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 11?	No	BUY	552	99¢	$546	0x8c821c…
09-10 20:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 11?	No	BUY	139	97¢	$135	0xebc7ed…
09-10 20:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 11?	No	BUY	694	99¢	$686	0x31c20e…
09-10 20:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 11?	No	BUY	613	99¢	$607	0x2ee307…
09-10 20:29:22	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	940	99¢	$933	0x146d53…
09-10 20:29:10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	570	99¢	$566	0x4937da…
09-10 20:28:54	Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	3,290	94¢	$3,093	0x41bae7…
09-10 20:27:37	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	1,011	99¢	$1,003	0xa9f706…
09-10 20:27:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0383fc…
09-10 20:27:19	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x60a472…
09-10 20:27:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xb02418…
09-10 20:26:40	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1c2e38…
09-10 20:25:16	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	4,562	100¢	$4,558	0x7902bf…
09-10 20:25:13	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7,221	100¢	$7,214	0x64669b…
09-10 16:20:30	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	1,058	98¢	$1,037	0x54231e…
09-10 16:20:30	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	227	98¢	$222	0x3eb9d2…
09-10 16:20:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 10?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$87	0xcd2335…
09-10 16:19:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 10?	No	SELL	512	100¢	$511	0xccdb6f…
09-10 16:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 10?	No	SELL	658	100¢	$658	0x48471b…
09-10 16:15:21	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	465	97¢	$451	0xd8fffc…
09-10 16:14:48	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	1,882	97¢	$1,826	0xba251d…
09-10 16:14:19	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	477	96¢	$458	0x55e950…
09-10 16:12:09	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3,796	98¢	$3,710	0x963f29…
09-10 16:08:19	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x991205…
09-10 16:08:07	LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	722	97¢	$698	0xa90e5f…
09-10 16:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x77576e…
09-10 16:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6c6772…
09-10 16:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	SELL	1,534	100¢	$1,532	0x3d819e…
09-10 16:04:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	2,177	100¢	$2,175	0xb8d322…
09-10 16:03:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?	No	SELL	3,394	100¢	$3,391	0xd3254c…
09-10 15:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	316	99¢	$313	0x789649…
09-10 15:35:33	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	325	96¢	$312	0xb4fcd6…
09-10 15:35:28	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xcccaf9…
09-10 15:35:25	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x5b292b…
09-10 15:35:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	3,472	96¢	$3,343	0x396897…
09-10 15:28:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	1,654	100¢	$1,652	0x4aa4ca…
09-10 15:28:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xe8848b…
09-10 15:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xcb26cd…
09-10 15:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xa80bb8…
09-10 15:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	434	100¢	$432	0xcd5788…
09-10 15:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?	Down	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,095	0xe3b785…