Sparkling-Prevalence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$678

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

1,595

Trades

15,022

lifetime

Volume

$14.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$940

Open exposure

$7.17K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 309 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 86% -$678

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 15?	No	+4,349	$4,345	100¢	$4.3K	$0	11-14 02:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 15?	No	+2,157	$2,153	100¢	$2.2K	+$1	11-14 13:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	+676	$675	100¢	$675	+$0	11-14 02:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on february 18	119	$234.5K	116,854	118,082	-1,228	No	-$105	02-18 14:46
bitcoin above 70k on february 20	89	$205.7K	105,258	101,008	+4,250	No	+$13	02-20 16:14
bitcoin above 70k on february 19	67	$201.1K	102,692	99,001	+3,691	No	-$26	02-19 15:07
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	94	$188.5K	94,396	94,396	+0	No	-$90	02-03 05:44
bitcoin above 72k on february 12	37	$156.1K	79,223	77,128	+2,095	No	-$54	02-12 15:57
bitcoin above 74k on march 7	151	$152.5K	76,417	76,416	+1	No	-$74	03-07 12:38
bitcoin above 70k on february 24	41	$138.6K	69,429	69,429	+0	No	-$60	02-24 05:57
bitcoin above 70k on march 17	85	$132.9K	67,359	65,824	+1,535	Yes	-$48	03-17 14:34
bitcoin above 66k on february 22	61	$128.8K	66,727	62,387	+4,340	Yes	+$45	02-22 16:22
bitcoin above 70k on february 27	80	$121.0K	61,542	59,924	+1,618	No	-$31	02-27 14:37
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	121	$119.1K	59,693	59,693	+0	No	+$12	02-05 13:41
bitcoin above 84k on february 4	72	$117.0K	58,583	58,583	+0	No	-$6	02-04 06:32
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	185	$110.4K	54,836	55,823	-987	No	+$5	01-30 14:09
bitcoin above 72k on march 1	100	$109.8K	54,990	54,990	+0	No	-$46	03-01 11:14
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	49	$106.6K	53,392	53,392	+0	No	-$32	02-09 08:42
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	43	$102.5K	52,624	50,131	+2,494	Yes	-$1	04-01 12:35
bitcoin above 72k on february 11	59	$100.3K	50,291	50,291	+0	No	+$24	02-11 15:30
bitcoin above 64k on february 15	59	$94.8K	48,450	46,496	+1,955	Yes	-$38	02-15 14:19
bitcoin above 74k on february 14	49	$94.4K	47,291	47,291	+0	No	-$38	02-14 15:06
bitcoin above 74k on february 7	40	$93.9K	49,611	44,530	+5,081	No	+$48	02-07 14:50
bitcoin above 68k on april 10	46	$93.0K	47,507	45,681	+1,826	Yes	-$21	04-10 13:47
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	39	$92.3K	46,230	46,230	+0	No	-$7	02-10 16:22
bitcoin above 78k on february 8	16	$91.5K	45,816	45,816	+0	No	-$46	02-08 00:21
bitcoin above 68k on march 13	53	$90.8K	46,319	44,626	+1,693	Yes	-$5	03-13 13:37
bitcoin above 72k on february 13	65	$90.0K	44,329	45,864	-1,535	No	-$22	02-13 16:17
bitcoin above 92k on january 29	107	$90.0K	46,293	43,892	+2,401	No	-$18	01-29 13:34
bitcoin above 84k on february 1	53	$89.8K	46,979	43,056	+3,923	No	+$4	02-01 14:19
bitcoin above 72k on february 16	29	$89.8K	47,380	42,665	+4,715	No	+$85	02-16 15:18
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	72	$87.5K	44,848	42,779	+2,069	Yes	-$32	03-26 14:05
bitcoin above 74k on march 24	47	$87.1K	43,680	43,680	+0	No	+$3	03-24 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 13:43:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$315	0x2b8010…
11-14 13:42:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0xafd6d4…
11-14 13:42:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x52f416…
11-14 13:41:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	1,234	100¢	$1,233	0x905ef8…
11-14 06:51:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x2f4fd2…
11-14 06:51:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39cc29…
11-14 06:50:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	1,674	100¢	$1,671	0x37b606…
11-14 06:50:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45cbfd…
11-14 06:50:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	1,790	100¢	$1,788	0x7b564e…
11-14 04:05:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x476565…
11-14 02:03:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 15?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x996f00…
11-14 02:02:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 15?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x4d8eef…
11-14 02:02:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 15?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7a35d2…
11-14 02:01:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	391	100¢	$391	0x4ccf39…
11-14 02:01:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0xe01413…
11-14 02:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x159f56…
11-14 02:00:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	375	100¢	$374	0xf0c3c7…
11-14 02:00:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c36d0…
11-14 01:58:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x927bd4…
11-14 01:58:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x769b4e…
11-14 01:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 14?	No	SELL	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0x7584ed…
11-14 01:56:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	3,958	100¢	$3,954	0xfd5f3f…
11-14 01:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6a47ee…
11-14 01:55:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4c867b…
11-14 01:55:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57917f…
11-13 13:29:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	637	100¢	$636	0x5f1107…
11-13 13:27:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	842	100¢	$840	0xb0f88a…
11-13 13:27:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,064	0x601401…
11-13 13:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	SELL	2,542	100¢	$2,539	0xc6927c…
11-13 13:23:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	811	100¢	$809	0x1229f8…
11-13 13:20:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf19e03…
11-13 13:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 13?	No	SELL	664	100¢	$663	0x432d40…
11-13 07:33:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	428	96¢	$413	0xd3697b…
11-13 07:10:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,233	0xcf306b…
11-13 07:10:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	219	96¢	$210	0x8de8a0…
11-13 03:10:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	319	98¢	$312	0xad3fcb…
11-13 03:09:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	380	98¢	$372	0x065f3b…
11-13 03:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xcbbfad…
11-13 03:08:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x7f1fd0…
11-13 03:07:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 14?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0xd98a7b…
11-13 03:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	414	98¢	$404	0x86c8b0…
11-13 03:05:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5c85b4…
11-13 03:04:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$483	0x2c32b4…
11-13 03:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	219	98¢	$214	0xb9e527…
11-13 03:02:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0504a2…
11-13 02:58:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xea9756…
11-13 02:58:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb91ccf…
11-13 02:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x05044c…
11-13 02:57:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd95009…
11-12 13:51:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xd9d262…
11-12 13:28:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0x81e5f1…
11-12 13:27:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xf16278…
11-12 13:23:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	848	100¢	$845	0x1b0f25…
11-12 13:23:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	1,079	100¢	$1,076	0xd8dbb1…
11-12 13:23:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x4d06fc…
11-12 13:22:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x398961…
11-12 13:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$313	0xc4fab4…
11-12 13:22:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d8cc1…
11-12 13:21:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	219	99¢	$218	0x58f0c1…
11-12 13:21:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d1692…
11-12 13:21:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x536a7a…
11-12 13:20:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa69cc6…
11-12 13:19:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3551b7…
11-12 13:19:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	3,544	100¢	$3,540	0xa4c70a…
11-12 12:51:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	376	100¢	$375	0x89362d…
11-12 12:50:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f1a17…
11-12 12:50:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0xa70b3f…
11-12 12:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0f3f78…
11-12 12:49:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	234	99¢	$233	0x4c1878…
11-12 12:49:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe83a30…
11-12 12:49:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x52d70d…
11-12 12:49:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x1ba0a6…
11-12 12:49:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 13?	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x536389…
11-12 12:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 12?	No	SELL	1,103	100¢	$1,101	0xefabfc…
11-12 03:09:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	1,020	100¢	$1,017	0x0bf897…
11-12 02:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9e7280…
11-12 02:29:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x364cc2…
11-12 02:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc8f2af…
11-12 02:19:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	1,034	100¢	$1,030	0xc4fa19…
11-12 02:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0xad95fd…
11-11 16:19:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on November 12?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x33d288…
11-11 15:07:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x5d806d…
11-11 15:06:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xfde8c5…
11-11 15:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xfa5d9f…
11-11 15:06:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5914f8…
11-11 13:18:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$58	0x54fb1c…
11-11 13:18:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0x295bf0…
11-11 13:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	375	100¢	$375	0x291044…
11-11 13:17:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	520	100¢	$519	0x6b486f…
11-11 13:16:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0x3084dc…
11-11 13:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	845	99¢	$840	0x44a381…
11-11 13:15:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	427	99¢	$424	0x2986f7…
11-11 13:14:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$213	0xa97541…
11-11 13:14:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	870	99¢	$863	0x0ca732…
11-11 13:14:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x88bed8…
11-11 13:14:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x67a438…
11-11 13:14:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x400649…
11-11 13:13:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 12?	Yes	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x8f8ec3…
11-11 13:13:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	SELL	2,872	100¢	$2,869	0xb6b9dd…
11-11 13:11:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0xf270fe…