Realized P&L
-$42.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$142
Hit rate
12.2%
Resolved
560
Trades
8,774
lifetime
Volume
$124.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$625
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-26 05:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Crypto
38%
15%
-$23,746
Other
38%
10%
-$11,782
Politics
19%
24%
-$6,332
Sports
4%
43%
-$278
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-26).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +2,060 | $291 | 17¢ | $350 | +$59 | 06-25 20:03 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | +3,314 | $340 | 6¢ | $215 | -$124 | 06-26 05:49 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | +1,141 | $97 | 3¢ | $36 | -$61 | 06-22 21:21 | |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | +3,331 | $28 | 0¢ | $15 | -$13 | 06-26 05:50 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | +57 | $11 | 14¢ | $8 | -$3 | 06-26 05:46 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 489 | $14.4K | 546,299 | 77,538 | +468,761 | No | -$3,430 | 04-30 16:55 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 468 | $13.2K | 542,882 | 234,257 | +308,625 | No | -$4,544 | 05-28 14:57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 186 | $7.0K | 146,673 | 76,537 | +70,136 | No | -$1,098 | 06-22 01:13 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 289 | $6.9K | 51,848 | 50,330 | +1,518 | No | -$885 | 03-30 19:46 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 311 | $6.8K | 118,898 | 108,425 | +10,474 | No | -$3,097 | 03-30 20:03 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 185 | $5.4K | 49,716 | 35,259 | +14,457 | No | -$269 | 05-29 18:14 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 102 | $2.3K | 43,571 | 17,621 | +25,949 | No | -$470 | 04-30 20:01 |
| bitcoin above 72k on april 8 | 78 | $1.9K | 14,408 | 4,128 | +10,280 | No | +$781 | 04-08 15:57 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 63 | $1.6K | 7,534 | 7,534 | +0 | No | +$135 | 03-13 06:08 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 49 | $1.5K | 8,375 | 8,375 | +0 | No | -$49 | 05-12 01:59 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12? | 66 | $1.5K | 10,389 | 85 | +10,304 | No | -$1,488 | 05-12 15:56 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 85 | $1.4K | 44,936 | 44,503 | +433 | No | -$439 | 05-14 22:46 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026 | 100 | $1.3K | 26,373 | 16,747 | +9,625 | No | -$969 | 03-28 01:24 |
| ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:35 UTC | 31 | $1.2K | 1,433 | 1,140 | +292 | Up | +$1,325 | 03-18 08:41 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 28 | $1.0K | 2,441 | 2,441 | +0 | No | +$126 | 03-26 05:46 |
| bitcoin above 70k on april 7 | 59 | $977 | 3,947 | 431 | +3,516 | No | -$585 | 04-07 06:27 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 104 | $959 | 26,006 | 4,076 | +21,930 | No | -$336 | 03-15 01:57 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 55 | $926 | 29,841 | 17,949 | +11,892 | No | -$382 | 06-20 20:01 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 18 | 65 | $866 | 3,804 | 3,070 | +734 | No | +$1,105 | 03-18 14:53 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | 70 | $833 | 4,203 | 3,670 | +534 | No | -$132 | 06-20 20:03 |
| bitcoin above 72k on april 7 | 111 | $828 | 21,245 | 0 | +21,245 | No | -$828 | 04-07 06:26 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 14 | $826 | 3,921 | 1,861 | +2,060 | open | — | 06-25 20:03 |
| bitcoin above 78k on march 19 | 70 | $820 | 30,717 | 78 | +30,640 | No | -$800 | 03-19 06:11 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 19 | 47 | $792 | 2,202 | 1,147 | +1,056 | No | -$119 | 03-19 08:11 |
| bitcoin above 72k on april 9 | 26 | $780 | 1,518 | 1,428 | +90 | Yes | +$338 | 04-08 02:24 |
| bitcoin above 78k on march 18 | 72 | $753 | 19,919 | 2,194 | +17,725 | No | -$391 | 03-18 10:51 |
| bitcoin above 74k on march 18 | 43 | $750 | 694 | 684 | +11 | No | +$23 | 03-18 10:47 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | 78 | $734 | 56,452 | 50,897 | +5,555 | No | -$196 | 04-30 16:53 |
| bitcoin above 74k on april 9 | 36 | $720 | 5,794 | 3,470 | +2,324 | No | -$40 | 04-08 22:22 |
| bitcoin above 70k on april 6 | 53 | $712 | 3,166 | 1,537 | +1,630 | No | -$45 | 04-06 16:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||