Annual-Capon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$265

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

3,004

Trades

6,328

lifetime

Volume

$227.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$40

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-30 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Other

49% 97% -$514

Crypto

49% 95% +$271

Politics

2% 86% -$24

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 83% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	-28	-$27	97¢	$-27	-$1	05-06 10:08
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-5	-$5	99¢	$-5	$0	04-28 17:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	05-14 13:20
New pandemic in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	04-30 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	05-13 06:17
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	05-02 09:22
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	05-04 17:15
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	06-04 07:54
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	100¢	$-1	$0	05-18 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 2?	9	$2.4K	1,208	1,208	+0	No	+$6	06-02 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 3?	1	$1.5K	1,532	0	+1,532	No	+$2	06-03 10:34
ethereum up or down june 5 2026 2am et	2	$1.4K	1,358	0	+1,358	Down	+$1	06-05 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	44	$1.0K	909	108	+802	No	+$5	05-06 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 16?	3	$1.0K	1,007	0	+1,007	No	+$2	05-16 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?	19	$1.0K	891	503	+388	Yes	-$704	05-11 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on May 7?	24	$945	909	40	+869	No	+$3	05-07 13:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	4	$924	929	0	+929	No	+$5	06-02 16:51
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 17?	4	$897	898	0	+898	No	+$1	05-17 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 24?	9	$882	446	446	-0	No	+$9	05-24 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?	2	$857	860	0	+860	Yes	+$3	06-12 20:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 8?	7	$804	491	316	+176	No	+$1	05-08 12:36
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	1	$753	753	0	+753	No	+$1	05-20 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 7?	3	$728	729	0	+729	No	+$1	05-07 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?	9	$718	720	0	+720	Yes	+$2	06-04 08:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 9?	1	$707	708	0	+708	No	+$1	05-09 20:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 27?	4	$703	704	0	+704	No	+$1	07-27 09:21
Bitcoin above 80,600 on May 3, 9AM ET?	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	05-03 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?	1	$695	696	0	+696	Yes	+$1	06-01 19:28
Ethereum above 2,055 on May 20, 3AM ET?	1	$691	692	0	+692	Yes	+$1	05-20 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 29?	1	$685	686	0	+686	No	+$1	06-29 07:01
Ethereum above 2,380 on May 12, 4AM ET?	1	$667	667	0	+667	No	+$1	05-12 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 10?	1	$647	647	0	+647	No	+$1	05-10 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 22?	2	$635	636	0	+636	No	+$1	09-22 11:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 3?	1	$622	623	0	+623	No	+$1	09-03 15:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?	1	$621	621	0	+621	No	+$1	08-21 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on May 22?	10	$600	603	0	+603	No	+$3	05-22 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	15	$590	601	0	+601	Yes	+$11	05-24 15:30
Ethereum above 2,190 on May 20, 3AM ET?	1	$568	569	0	+569	No	+$1	05-20 06:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	3	$559	281	281	+0	No	+$1	05-25 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:42:33	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7dc1e4…
10-30 20:41:34	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x2fa4cd…
10-30 14:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xa76509…
10-30 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xef765b…
10-30 12:54:39	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x20e5e6…
10-30 08:11:51	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0xab7e54…
10-30 07:54:40	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x77cea8…
10-30 07:30:51	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa64624…
10-30 07:15:36	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x66744d…
10-29 10:54:26	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x6649f6…
10-28 17:16:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x014ea2…
10-27 14:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xc43872…
10-27 14:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1111b5…
10-26 12:01:24	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xf01583…
10-24 10:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x363b52…
10-24 09:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x030a50…
10-24 09:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x805a7a…
10-24 09:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x90be37…
10-20 12:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 19?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x64422b…
10-20 10:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x399290…
10-20 09:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ad7ee…
10-20 09:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56cc66…
10-20 08:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x498721…
10-17 18:01:12	will trumps midterm rally in kentucky not air october 17	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x0ea7a0…
10-17 15:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 17?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x246a9d…
10-16 09:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xfa0ac2…
10-11 16:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$66	0xa62de8…
10-11 16:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f4698…
10-10 20:08:42	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Tennessee not air?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xc383b7…
10-10 13:03:45	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Tennessee not air?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x690000…
10-10 13:02:21	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x89999b…
10-10 13:01:55	Will Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x2a68af…
10-10 13:01:40	Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x8910c4…
10-09 18:37:49	Will JD Vance say "Family" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xe4b543…
10-09 16:40:26	will jd vances midterm rally in ohio not air	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1b6e0…
10-09 16:40:07	Will JD Vance say "Plague" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1e2726…
10-09 15:20:13	Will JD Vance say "Family" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x1408f7…
10-09 13:28:24	Will JD Vance say "Family" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x686b8a…
10-09 08:05:42	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$95	0x2897f1…
10-09 08:04:04	Will Hussam Abu Safiya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x88d82e…
09-30 15:20:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x587e52…
09-30 14:43:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xf6116f…
09-30 06:49:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on September 30?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x490ee0…
09-28 16:56:06	bitcoin above 83000 on september 28 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x142d93…
09-28 16:55:54	bitcoin above 84400 on september 28 2026 1pm et	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd3069…
09-28 16:55:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x47053a…
09-28 16:55:06	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x169b8f…
09-28 15:15:03	bitcoin up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd34c69…
09-26 17:17:05	will bitcoin reach 91k on september 26 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb58b80…
09-23 08:53:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0db0e9…
09-22 11:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	256	100¢	$256	0x7702dc…
09-22 11:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0x9498df…
09-21 13:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?	No	BUY	314	100¢	$314	0x84edd0…
09-20 19:25:26	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x6dfaa5…
09-20 19:24:08	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x62fb28…
09-20 19:24:01	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0xa4230d…
09-19 20:56:09	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x8bff6f…
09-19 14:19:54	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x086607…
09-19 09:29:16	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x0d8113…
09-19 09:14:10	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb8c464…
09-19 09:13:52	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0b2c17…
09-19 09:10:39	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x0646da…
09-19 09:09:43	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x44029a…
09-19 09:02:27	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5b5d5b…
09-17 14:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xbdba3c…
09-17 12:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbae19d…
09-17 11:59:51	bitcoin above 76600 on september 17 2026 8am et	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf23d5b…
09-17 11:59:18	bitcoin above 75800 on september 17 2026 8am et	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bba0e…
09-17 11:59:10	bitcoin above 77000 on september 17 2026 8am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d4174…
09-17 11:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x09d455…
09-17 11:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x461f87…
09-17 10:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x620a7e…
09-17 10:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe84954…
09-17 10:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bbb08…
09-17 09:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6abff8…
09-17 09:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf9c386…
09-17 09:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x008408…
09-17 09:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xf1848f…
09-17 08:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xef5372…
09-17 08:43:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xd60638…
09-17 06:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb8f504…
09-16 15:49:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfff42d…
09-16 15:49:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x35bfaf…
09-16 15:49:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x720f02…
09-16 14:55:56	ethereum above 2370 on september 16 2026 11am et	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdb9269…
09-16 14:55:06	ethereum above 2360 on september 16 2026 11am et	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92b765…
09-16 14:54:39	ethereum above 2430 on september 16 2026 11am et	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x148ef7…
09-16 13:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x827016…
09-16 12:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa61e5f…
09-16 10:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36be1b…
09-13 14:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa390c5…
09-13 13:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0be38…
09-13 12:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd30d0c…
09-13 12:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x447798…
09-13 11:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x175cdc…
09-13 11:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe04e66…
09-13 11:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa3f2fc…
09-13 11:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd27b0…
09-13 11:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x88eec8…
09-13 11:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x089c53…