Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$407
$1,848 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$656
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 08:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $13 | $368 | $356 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $129 | $128 |
| Median | 4 | $0 | $32 | $32 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $10 | $59 | $49 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $148 | $148 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | +118 | $114 | $114 | 1 | 05-10 14:01 |
| Essential-Retina 0xaf34…063e | Yes | +110 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 23:18 |
| Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | No | +76 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 05-11 02:25 |
| Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | +65 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-10 12:19 |
| Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | +61 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-11 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1679…f6e7 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:23 |
| Hairy-Emergent 0x4c79…b36f | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:44 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 07:08 |
| Messy-Goodness 0xd243…0c11 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 08:20 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 07:08 |
| Terrific-Intention 0x595c…45e5 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 03:10 |
| Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:30 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 04:54 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 05:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:16 |
| Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | +3 | $5 | $34 | 4 | 05-11 02:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 08:20:16 | Messy-Goodness 0xd243…0c11 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x14bf2a… |
| 05-11 05:44:12 | Hairy-Emergent 0x4c79…b36f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfe062f… |
| 05-11 05:03:11 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x779051… |
| 05-11 04:54:00 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1478a4… |
| 05-11 03:11:43 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xaf58f3… |
| 05-11 03:10:45 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe10ede… |
| 05-11 03:07:11 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x4441e3… |
| 05-11 02:51:11 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x74520c… |
| 05-11 02:49:57 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xf2fa03… |
| 05-11 02:45:47 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x16fc57… |
| 05-11 02:25:34 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x81b5ad… |
| 05-11 02:25:22 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x6d3ed0… |
| 05-11 02:25:11 | Near-Device 0x3eb9…901e | No | BUY | 26 | 93¢ | $24 | 0xfd9a17… |
| 05-10 23:18:07 | Essential-Retina 0xaf34…063e | Yes | BUY | 110 | 9¢ | $10 | 0x110261… |
| 05-10 23:08:00 | Sweltering-Enemy 0x8e1f…bbd6 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xab61a7… |
| 05-10 19:03:29 | Terrific-Intention 0x595c…45e5 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xf43a16… |
| 05-10 16:30:43 | Helpful-Eddy 0x40e8…9a56 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9ed27b… |
| 05-10 14:01:30 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | No | BUY | 118 | 97¢ | $114 | 0x70ad92… |
| 05-10 12:19:46 | Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | BUY | 65 | 95¢ | $62 | 0x927427… |
| 05-10 10:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x1679…f6e7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa2befa… |
| 05-10 08:16:41 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x4f7a7a… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe584a8… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xec4589… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x351980… |
| 05-10 07:08:42 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $14 | 0x64b3b2… |