Messy-Goodness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

721

Trades

9,888

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-06 23:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-30

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 2130 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	10	$464	256	219	+38	Down	+$1	05-12 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$464	256	219	+37	Up	+$0	05-12 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	9	$401	206	206	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	7	$299	155	152	+3	Down	+$2	05-12 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$201	102	102	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$199	103	102	+1	Up	+$1	05-13 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$199	103	101	+2	Up	+$1	05-12 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$198	104	100	+3	Up	+$2	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Down	+$1	05-12 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$198	102	100	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 14:09
btc updown 5m 1776909900	81	$160	164	124	+40	open	—	04-23 02:10
btc updown 5m 1776910200	44	$151	146	93	+53	open	—	04-23 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	109	$148	265	0	+265	open	—	05-26 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	103	$142	221	0	+221	open	—	05-26 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	99	$135	222	0	+222	open	—	05-26 15:59
btc updown 5m 1776743700	24	$133	110	69	+41	open	—	04-21 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	100	$124	255	0	+255	open	—	05-26 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	89	$113	216	0	+216	open	—	05-26 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$112	62	53	+9	Up	+$1	05-12 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	101	$110	221	0	+221	open	—	05-26 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	78	$102	200	0	+200	open	—	05-26 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	74	$102	168	0	+168	open	—	05-26 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$101	71	70	+1	open	—	05-21 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$100	51	50	+1	Up	+$1	05-13 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$99	52	50	+1	Up	+$1	05-12 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$99	52	50	+1	Down	+$1	05-12 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 23:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780789200	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x60771a…
06-04 13:16:16	btc updown 5m 1780578900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ead58…
06-04 13:13:07	btc updown 5m 1780578600	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea978b…
06-04 13:11:55	btc updown 5m 1780578600	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x457539…
06-04 13:09:28	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb25695…
06-04 13:06:24	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xee2950…
06-04 13:00:19	btc updown 5m 1780578000	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x330ad5…
06-04 12:53:33	btc updown 5m 1780577400	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfe4150…
06-04 12:46:54	btc updown 5m 1780577100	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa9b68c…
06-04 12:43:42	btc updown 5m 1780576800	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x946600…
06-04 12:40:15	btc updown 5m 1780576800	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb7195c…
06-04 12:30:51	btc updown 5m 1780576200	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x07c613…
06-03 23:18:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfb4903…
06-03 23:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8b67e1…
06-01 14:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7adc5c…
06-01 14:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc8f4e8…
06-01 13:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x1ddb05…
06-01 13:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xec5392…
06-01 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5cd06b…
06-01 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8ca2c7…
06-01 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc6478…
06-01 13:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4a04f6…
06-01 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x289c9f…
06-01 13:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x365c43…
06-01 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc1fd2c…
06-01 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa13b85…
05-30 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xb97cd7…
05-30 09:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x1f5e4f…
05-30 09:35:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x09a0d5…
05-30 09:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xaec9a3…
05-30 09:35:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x18e1c4…
05-30 09:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x34a686…
05-30 09:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xb3ebfa…
05-30 09:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcd4bb6…
05-30 09:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb994cd…
05-30 09:23:48	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbbba6f…
05-30 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x48a75b…
05-30 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcef1b3…
05-30 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x15ef41…
05-30 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x90de33…
05-30 09:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x789ddd…
05-30 09:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xfd18f3…
05-30 09:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2b24f5…
05-30 09:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xf58703…
05-30 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x64f4e9…
05-30 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x5fea1b…
05-30 03:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0xdd9961…
05-30 03:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xb218f2…
05-30 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0x9483b4…
05-30 03:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x191b9a…
05-30 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x671dc1…
05-30 03:52:14	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x2bcc8f…
05-30 03:50:08	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xf3fb47…
05-30 03:50:03	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0xdbf3a9…
05-30 03:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0xc96668…
05-30 03:40:08	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x506082…
05-30 03:40:06	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xcb29a5…
05-30 03:39:26	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x557046…
05-30 03:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x95949f…
05-30 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x90b21d…
05-30 03:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x026f4d…
05-30 03:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xb746af…
05-30 03:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x36c323…
05-30 03:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd0154f…
05-30 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x64af01…
05-30 03:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x316f8e…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc30160…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xbeec1b…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x712210…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4c15e3…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x429734…
05-30 03:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c5c8b…
05-30 03:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6e8445…
05-30 03:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x431969…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xef9123…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xed2455…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7d9407…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x11dcd3…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0823df…
05-30 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf4632…
05-30 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa17ca7…
05-30 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x933ab4…
05-30 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x021483…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbf49ee…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xb161da…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xaaa739…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x96f64c…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6e9860…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x54e43f…
05-30 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0f3929…
05-30 03:26:11	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x40fa37…
05-30 03:26:08	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcbdbb6…
05-30 03:26:08	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0f455a…
05-30 03:26:01	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x19b6f0…
05-30 03:25:12	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x0a12d6…
05-30 03:25:12	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x0719a2…
05-30 03:24:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x33821e…
05-30 03:23:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xdeed46…
05-30 03:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x327f65…
05-30 03:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x165a98…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	967	$1.97K	5,028	05-30 09:45
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	966	$162.5K	8,778	05-30 09:43
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	966	$2.14K	5,653	05-30 09:45
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	962	$303.9K	48,315	05-30 09:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	962	$270.9K	41,841	05-30 09:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	960	$279.5K	78,005	05-30 09:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	960	$275.9K	77,152	05-30 09:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	945	$606.9K	25,866	05-30 09:44