Messy-Goodness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$434

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

4,109

Trades

10,294

lifetime

Volume

$37.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 10-11 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 67% -$416

Other

5% 91% -$18

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	10	$464	256	219	+38	Down	+$1	05-12 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	10	$464	256	219	+37	Up	+$0	05-12 09:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	9	$401	206	206	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	7	$299	155	152	+3	Down	+$2	05-12 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$201	102	102	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$199	103	102	+1	Up	+$1	05-13 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	4	$199	103	101	+2	Up	+$1	05-12 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$198	104	100	+3	Up	+$2	05-12 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Down	+$1	05-12 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$198	102	100	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$198	103	101	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:05 UTC	81	$160	164	124	+40	Up	+$1	04-23 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:10 UTC	44	$151	146	93	+53	Down	+$4	04-23 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	109	$148	265	0	+265	Down	-$1	05-26 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	103	$142	221	0	+221	Down	+$9	05-26 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	99	$135	222	0	+222	Down	-$6	05-26 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 03:55 UTC	24	$133	110	69	+41	Up	+$5	04-21 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	100	$124	255	0	+255	Up	+$24	05-26 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	89	$113	216	0	+216	Up	-$20	05-26 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$112	62	53	+9	Up	+$1	05-12 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	101	$110	221	0	+221	Up	-$22	05-26 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	78	$102	200	0	+200	Down	-$2	05-26 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	74	$102	168	0	+168	Up	$0	05-26 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$101	71	70	+1	Up	+$3	05-21 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$100	51	50	+1	Up	+$1	05-13 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$99	52	50	+1	Down	+$1	05-12 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$99	52	50	+1	Up	+$1	05-12 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 11:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe5e4da…
09-29 09:44:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4e2a0e…
09-29 09:43:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf4f0d…
09-29 09:23:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x580066…
09-29 09:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8ee4b9…
09-13 12:17:36	Will Psim Yogyakarta win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9de598…
09-13 12:17:34	Will Persebaya Surabaya vs. Psim Yogyakarta end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb54978…
09-10 00:13:51	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	82	27¢	$22	0x3f2590…
09-10 00:09:39	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	77	31¢	$24	0xbda88e…
09-09 13:28:16	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xe3ce0a…
09-04 01:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc78511…
06-16 12:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8b57f4…
06-16 12:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfbb1d3…
06-13 12:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xb5df40…
06-13 10:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 13?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc5ad03…
06-13 10:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe05fc5…
06-13 10:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4c74e4…
06-11 23:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd27b3c…
06-06 23:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6ed877…
06-06 23:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x60771a…
06-04 13:16:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ead58…
06-04 13:13:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea978b…
06-04 13:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x457539…
06-04 13:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb25695…
06-04 13:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xee2950…
06-04 13:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x441839…
06-04 13:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x330ad5…
06-04 12:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfe4150…
06-04 12:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa9b68c…
06-04 12:43:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x946600…
06-04 12:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb7195c…
06-04 12:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x07c613…
06-03 23:18:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xfb4903…
06-03 23:06:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8b67e1…
06-01 14:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7adc5c…
06-01 14:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc8f4e8…
06-01 13:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0x1ddb05…
06-01 13:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xec5392…
06-01 13:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5cd06b…
06-01 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8ca2c7…
06-01 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc6478…
06-01 13:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4a04f6…
06-01 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x289c9f…
06-01 13:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x365c43…
06-01 13:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc1fd2c…
06-01 13:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa13b85…
05-30 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xb97cd7…
05-30 09:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x1f5e4f…
05-30 09:35:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x09a0d5…
05-30 09:35:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xaec9a3…
05-30 09:35:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x18e1c4…
05-30 09:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x34a686…
05-30 09:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xb3ebfa…
05-30 09:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xcd4bb6…
05-30 09:27:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb994cd…
05-30 09:23:48	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbbba6f…
05-30 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x48a75b…
05-30 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcef1b3…
05-30 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x15ef41…
05-30 09:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x90de33…
05-30 09:20:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x789ddd…
05-30 09:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xfd18f3…
05-30 09:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2b24f5…
05-30 09:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xf58703…
05-30 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x64f4e9…
05-30 03:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x5fea1b…
05-30 03:55:32	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0xdd9961…
05-30 03:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xb218f2…
05-30 03:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$8	0x9483b4…
05-30 03:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x191b9a…
05-30 03:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x671dc1…
05-30 03:52:14	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	65¢	$7	0x2bcc8f…
05-30 03:50:08	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0xf3fb47…
05-30 03:50:03	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0xdbf3a9…
05-30 03:40:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0xc96668…
05-30 03:40:08	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x506082…
05-30 03:40:06	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xcb29a5…
05-30 03:39:26	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x557046…
05-30 03:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x95949f…
05-30 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x90b21d…
05-30 03:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x026f4d…
05-30 03:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xb746af…
05-30 03:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x36c323…
05-30 03:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd0154f…
05-30 03:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x64af01…
05-30 03:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x316f8e…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc30160…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xbeec1b…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x712210…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4c15e3…
05-30 03:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x429734…
05-30 03:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c5c8b…
05-30 03:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6e8445…
05-30 03:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x431969…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xef9123…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xed2455…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7d9407…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x11dcd3…
05-30 03:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0823df…
05-30 03:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbf4632…