Realized P&L
+$31.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.79K
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
56,313
Trades
327,352
lifetime
Volume
$4.84M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$47.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-27 01:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 202 days
Categories
Other
78% 88% +$34,188
Politics
10% 85% -$1,404
Sports
10% 91% +$4,013
Tech
1% 80% -$5,720
Crypto
0% 82% -$537
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$830
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3531 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,840 $3,831 100¢ $3.8K +$5 09-11 23:06
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,230 $3,221 100¢ $3.2K +$4 09-05 22:43
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +2,911 $2,606 99¢ $2.9K +$289 10-18 16:30
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,276 $2,273 100¢ $2.3K $0 09-01 14:08
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,080 $2,021 100¢ $2.1K +$55 10-01 15:22
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2,027 $1,903 100¢ $2.0K +$123 09-25 08:48
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,972 $1,968 100¢ $2.0K +$0 09-20 03:27
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,953 $1,944 100¢ $2.0K +$7 10-10 01:03
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,914 $1,909 100¢ $1.9K $0 10-25 15:19
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,483 $1,478 100¢ $1.5K +$2 09-11 04:54
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,455 $1,429 95¢ $1.4K -$48 10-26 08:24
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,375 $1,369 100¢ $1.4K +$4 10-26 12:13
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,355 $1,206 99¢ $1.3K +$131 09-08 22:34
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,284 $1,282 100¢ $1.3K +$1 10-05 06:33
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,274 $1,265 100¢ $1.3K +$5 10-22 21:29
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,258 $1,257 100¢ $1.3K -$1 09-22 21:52
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,340 $1,180 94¢ $1.3K +$73 10-26 09:23
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,220 $1,216 100¢ $1.2K +$3 09-08 22:08
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,222 $1,217 100¢ $1.2K +$0 10-22 21:29
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,209 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$2 09-22 21:18
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,198 $1,190 100¢ $1.2K +$5 09-11 23:07
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,210 $325 98¢ $1.2K +$860 10-25 22:14
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,185 $1,126 99¢ $1.2K +$43 09-30 20:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,173 $1,165 99¢ $1.2K -$3 10-25 14:20
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? No +1,142 $1,127 100¢ $1.1K +$14 10-25 20:13
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,140 $1,137 100¢ $1.1K +$1 10-22 13:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,201 $1,032 94¢ $1.1K +$101 10-23 20:49
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,130 $1,126 100¢ $1.1K +$2 09-03 06:19
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,129 $1,124 100¢ $1.1K +$2 10-25 17:16
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,125 $1,018 100¢ $1.1K +$105 10-12 05:10