Realized P&L
+$30.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.36K
Hit rate
89.8%
Resolved
59,649
Trades
335,946
lifetime
Volume
$5.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$48.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 11-07 09:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Other
78% 88% +$32,808
Politics
11% 83% -$2,198
Sports
10% 91% +$3,432
Tech
1% 80% -$4,215
Crypto
0% 82% -$475
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$787
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2166 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,840 $3,831 100¢ $3.8K +$3 09-11 23:06
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +3,230 $3,221 100¢ $3.2K +$4 09-05 22:43
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +2,911 $2,606 100¢ $2.9K +$301 10-18 16:30
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,120 $2,114 100¢ $2.1K +$3 09-05 02:50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,080 $2,021 100¢ $2.1K +$53 10-01 15:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,082 $2,036 99¢ $2.1K +$33 11-06 13:32
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,972 $1,968 100¢ $2.0K +$1 09-20 03:27
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,914 $1,909 100¢ $1.9K +$2 10-25 15:19
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,483 $1,478 100¢ $1.5K +$2 09-11 04:54
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,435 $1,429 100¢ $1.4K +$4 11-05 19:48
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,515 $1,485 94¢ $1.4K -$60 10-28 19:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,418 $1,409 99¢ $1.4K +$0 11-06 13:30
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,372 $1,362 100¢ $1.4K +$6 11-04 21:09
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,355 $1,206 99¢ $1.3K +$133 09-08 22:34
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,285 $1,281 100¢ $1.3K +$0 11-06 18:12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? No +1,283 $1,267 100¢ $1.3K +$12 11-06 07:07
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,269 $1,265 100¢ $1.3K +$2 10-30 15:14
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,258 $1,257 100¢ $1.3K -$1 09-22 21:52
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,340 $1,180 94¢ $1.3K +$73 10-26 09:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,306 $1,131 96¢ $1.2K +$117 10-28 17:41
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,234 $1,229 100¢ $1.2K +$3 10-31 17:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,770 $646 70¢ $1.2K +$584 11-03 23:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,236 $1,162 99¢ $1.2K +$65 11-06 14:37
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,235 $1,176 99¢ $1.2K +$49 10-31 17:10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,222 $1,217 100¢ $1.2K +$2 10-22 21:29
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,220 $1,216 100¢ $1.2K +$3 09-08 22:08
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,198 $1,190 100¢ $1.2K +$6 09-11 23:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1,196 $1,143 100¢ $1.2K +$47 11-01 11:09
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +1,556 $1,270 76¢ $1.2K -$90 11-06 00:38
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,170 $1,167 100¢ $1.2K +$1 09-30 11:52