Realized P&L (7d)
-$4.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.31K
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved (7d)
1,722
Trades (7d)
7,387
329,795 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$186.3K
$4.90M lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$45.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 10-30 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 205 days
Categories
Other
78% 88% +$34,354
Politics
10% 85% -$1,863
Sports
10% 91% +$3,835
Tech
1% 80% -$5,720
Crypto
0% 82% -$515
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$830
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2927 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +2,911 $2,606 100¢ $2.9K +$295 10-18 16:30
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,767 $2,750 100¢ $2.8K +$13 10-28 10:55
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,080 $2,021 100¢ $2.1K +$49 10-01 15:22
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2,027 $1,903 100¢ $2.0K +$123 09-25 08:48
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,972 $1,968 100¢ $2.0K +$1 09-20 03:27
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,953 $1,944 100¢ $2.0K +$7 10-10 01:03
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,914 $1,909 99¢ $1.9K -$12 10-25 15:19
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,852 $903 100¢ $1.9K +$949 10-26 18:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,807 $1,769 98¢ $1.8K +$5 10-29 01:29
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,483 $1,478 100¢ $1.5K +$2 09-11 04:54
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,515 $1,485 91¢ $1.4K -$104 10-28 19:42
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,375 $1,345 100¢ $1.4K +$30 10-28 12:24
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,375 $1,369 100¢ $1.4K +$4 10-26 12:13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,342 $1,332 100¢ $1.3K +$6 10-28 17:14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,355 $1,206 99¢ $1.3K +$130 09-08 22:34
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,290 $1,287 100¢ $1.3K +$1 10-28 21:01
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,284 $1,282 100¢ $1.3K +$1 10-05 06:33
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,258 $1,257 100¢ $1.3K -$1 09-22 21:52
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,340 $1,180 94¢ $1.3K +$73 10-26 09:23
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,251 $1,101 99¢ $1.2K +$140 10-28 04:31
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,239 $1,235 100¢ $1.2K +$2 10-27 09:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,306 $1,131 94¢ $1.2K +$103 10-28 17:41
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,220 $1,216 100¢ $1.2K +$3 09-08 22:08
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,222 $1,217 100¢ $1.2K +$1 10-22 21:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,740 $627 70¢ $1.2K +$582 10-06 14:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,203 $1,195 100¢ $1.2K +$4 10-28 18:00
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,198 $1,190 100¢ $1.2K +$6 09-11 23:07
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,210 $325 97¢ $1.2K +$848 10-25 22:14
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,185 $1,126 99¢ $1.2K +$47 09-30 20:15
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,170 $1,167 100¢ $1.2K +$1 09-30 11:52