Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.78K
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved (30d)
6,623
Trades (30d)
20,056
331,327 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$409.2K
$4.93M lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$43.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 11-01 05:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 207 days
Categories
Other
78% 88% +$31,718
Politics
10% 85% -$1,650
Sports
10% 91% +$3,835
Tech
1% 80% -$4,280
Crypto
0% 82% -$443
Pop-Culture
0% 88% +$769
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2627 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +2,911 $2,606 100¢ $2.9K +$293 10-18 16:30
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,120 $2,114 100¢ $2.1K +$3 09-05 02:50
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +2,080 $2,021 100¢ $2.1K +$48 10-01 15:22
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +2,027 $1,903 100¢ $2.0K +$123 09-25 08:48
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,972 $1,968 100¢ $2.0K +$1 09-20 03:27
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,914 $1,909 100¢ $1.9K -$1 10-25 15:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,837 $1,799 98¢ $1.8K +$10 10-31 08:50
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,483 $1,478 100¢ $1.5K +$2 09-11 04:54
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,515 $1,485 93¢ $1.4K -$81 10-28 19:42
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,375 $1,369 100¢ $1.4K +$4 10-26 12:13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,342 $1,332 100¢ $1.3K +$6 10-28 17:14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +1,355 $1,206 99¢ $1.3K +$131 09-08 22:34
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +1,335 $442 97¢ $1.3K +$857 10-30 07:28
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,290 $1,287 100¢ $1.3K +$2 10-28 21:01
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,284 $1,282 100¢ $1.3K +$1 10-05 06:33
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,269 $1,265 100¢ $1.3K +$2 10-30 15:14
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,258 $1,257 100¢ $1.3K -$1 09-22 21:52
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,340 $1,180 92¢ $1.2K +$60 10-26 09:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,306 $1,131 94¢ $1.2K +$101 10-28 17:41
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,234 $1,229 100¢ $1.2K +$3 10-31 17:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,235 $1,176 99¢ $1.2K +$48 10-31 17:10
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +1,222 $1,217 100¢ $1.2K +$2 10-22 21:29
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,220 $1,216 100¢ $1.2K +$1 09-08 22:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,203 $1,195 100¢ $1.2K +$4 10-28 18:00
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1,198 $1,190 100¢ $1.2K +$6 09-11 23:07
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,170 $1,167 100¢ $1.2K +$1 09-30 11:52
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,160 $1,154 100¢ $1.2K +$5 10-28 22:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1,166 $1,114 99¢ $1.1K +$36 10-30 20:46
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,130 $1,126 100¢ $1.1K +$2 09-03 06:19
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,125 $1,018 100¢ $1.1K +$105 10-12 05:10