Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
open
Total volume
$62,872
$2,900 in 24h
Trades
1,489
Unique wallets
198
Liquidity
$35,284
Latest YES mid
69¢
Latest NO mid
31¢
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-14 23:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-16.7¢
(top1%: 15% YES on $22.7K
vs crowd: 32% YES on $59.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 68 | $4.4K | $30.9K | $26.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 62 | $2.8K | $5.1K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 46 | $11.9K | $4.6K | +$7.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $158 | $112 | +$46 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 58 | $3.5K | $19.2K | $15.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 34 | $514 | $5.0K | $4.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $71 | $33 | +$38 |
| Median | 12 | $34 | $150 | $116 |
| Below median | 13 | $11.2K | $359 | +$10.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 15 | $130 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 22 | $1.4K | $289 | +$1.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 41 | $2.5K | $14.1K | $11.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | +25,704 | $11,112 | $11,127 | 66 | 11-14 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | +9,501 | $1,619 | $1,619 | 53 | 11-13 16:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | +9,039 | $6,688 | $6,688 | 73 | 11-14 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +5,641 | $3,165 | $3,165 | 10 | 11-14 05:21 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | +4,743 | -$878 | $3,639 | 96 | 11-14 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xba16…e4c4 | No | +3,949 | $3,300 | $3,300 | 9 | 11-13 00:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +3,871 | $2,337 | $2,337 | 46 | 11-14 09:02 |
| Productive-Table 0x072a…cee6 | Yes | +3,858 | $777 | $777 | 9 | 11-13 12:12 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +3,650 | $2,238 | $2,238 | 20 | 11-14 05:21 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +2,959 | $1,669 | $1,669 | 10 | 11-14 05:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +2,805 | $2,049 | $2,049 | 27 | 11-14 16:17 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +2,530 | $2,061 | $2,061 | 22 | 11-14 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +2,219 | $1,839 | $1,839 | 17 | 11-13 00:49 |
| Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | No | +1,959 | $1,631 | $1,631 | 10 | 11-12 17:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +1,588 | $586 | $598 | 69 | 11-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +1,500 | $989 | $989 | 53 | 11-14 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5317…9a3b | Yes | +1,322 | $521 | $521 | 9 | 11-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x5317…9a3b | No | +1,230 | $839 | $839 | 9 | 11-14 00:05 |
| Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | +880 | $634 | $634 | 1 | 11-14 16:17 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +874 | $247 | $247 | 32 | 11-14 10:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +784 | $605 | $605 | 39 | 11-14 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +763 | $155 | $158 | 45 | 11-14 16:15 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +601 | $569 | $569 | 4 | 11-08 22:20 |
| DataDog 0x56d7…3d6b | Yes | +600 | $443 | $443 | 1 | 11-14 23:42 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +539 | $497 | $497 | 6 | 11-12 06:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +512 | $342 | $342 | 5 | 11-13 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | +500 | $80 | $80 | 4 | 11-09 18:28 |
| FrankyFourFingers 0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | +477 | $67 | $67 | 10 | 11-05 23:13 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | Yes | +460 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 09-21 08:11 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | No | +460 | $340 | $340 | 1 | 08-02 12:33 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +460 | $424 | $424 | 9 | 11-08 22:20 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +370 | $294 | $294 | 11 | 11-12 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd7e5…4c4a | No | +331 | $197 | $197 | 5 | 11-14 05:21 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | Yes | +326 | $94 | $94 | 19 | 11-13 00:49 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +316 | $66 | $66 | 8 | 08-01 11:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | +308 | $259 | $259 | 10 | 11-14 03:42 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +304 | $213 | $213 | 15 | 10-29 15:14 |
| Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | +301 | $208 | $208 | 22 | 11-14 05:21 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +300 | $236 | $236 | 1 | 11-13 07:16 |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | +283 | $238 | $238 | 8 | 11-14 05:23 |
| Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat 0x69f0…fb27 | No | +280 | $242 | $242 | 6 | 11-11 19:38 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +269 | $248 | $248 | 6 | 11-11 19:38 |
| Pure-Eyeliner 0x1abc…45e7 | No | +262 | $229 | $229 | 8 | 11-11 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc732…3561 | No | +250 | $180 | $180 | 1 | 11-12 11:41 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +225 | $149 | $149 | 7 | 11-14 05:21 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +132 | $26 | $26 | 4 | 09-16 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5eb…6409 | Yes | +125 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 11-10 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +110 | $36 | $36 | 7 | 10-05 20:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +100 | $30 | $30 | 6 | 10-11 23:41 |
| Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | +88 | $64 | $64 | 3 | 11-14 23:42 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +84 | $49 | $153 | 20 | 11-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xa410…0e3e | Yes | +78 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-03 22:56 |
| Rubbery-Policy 0x2cfe…e4de | Yes | +60 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-01 12:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +60 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 11-04 23:43 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +40 | $9 | $10 | 3 | 09-21 22:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Yes | +40 | $15 | $15 | 4 | 11-14 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x17b8…d5d1 | Yes | +38 | $24 | $68 | 11 | 11-13 05:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 23:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x0680…4ba7 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0x24023a… |
| 11-14 23:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x5317…9a3b | Yes | BUY | 110 | 70¢ | $77 | 0x24023a… |
| 11-14 23:42:31 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | Yes | SELL | 120 | 71¢ | $84 | 0x24023a… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | Yes | SELL | 1,064 | 74¢ | $783 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x289e…85fd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 72¢ | $6 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | DataDog 0x56d7…3d6b | Yes | BUY | 600 | 74¢ | $443 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x5317…9a3b | Yes | BUY | 281 | 73¢ | $204 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 72¢ | $32 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 23:42:04 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 75¢ | $37 | 0xdbdd93… |
| 11-14 21:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x5508…7a59 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 75¢ | $29 | 0x20d726… |
| 11-14 21:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 75¢ | $29 | 0x20d726… |
| 11-14 21:33:44 | (anonymous) 0x37bd…c5b6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xa409e0… |
| 11-14 21:33:44 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xa409e0… |
| 11-14 21:13:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x172519… |
| 11-14 21:13:46 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | SELL | 17 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x172519… |
| 11-14 18:30:40 | Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | No | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0x89e0b8… |
| 11-14 18:30:40 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | SELL | 500 | 76¢ | $380 | 0x89e0b8… |
| 11-14 18:30:40 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | BUY | 521 | 76¢ | $396 | 0x89e0b8… |
| 11-14 18:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x9c99…b985 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 76¢ | $11 | 0x9e3a26… |
| 11-14 18:15:01 | Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389 | No | BUY | 14 | 24¢ | $3 | 0x9e3a26… |
| 11-14 16:17:56 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x94e44a… |
| 11-14 16:17:56 | (anonymous) 0xa441…bd35 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $10 | 0x94e44a… |
| 11-14 16:17:32 | Considerate-Freight 0x413d…d704 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0xe434f7… |
| 11-14 16:17:32 | (anonymous) 0x0252…91a2 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xbe39e6… |
| 11-14 16:17:32 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 11 | 27¢ | $3 | 0xe434f7… |
| 11-14 16:17:32 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | No | BUY | 31 | 27¢ | $8 | 0x2ff762… |
| 11-14 16:17:32 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 73¢ | $22 | 0x2ff762… |
| 11-14 16:17:32 | Grounded-Flick 0x4e94…d649 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xbe39e6… |
| 11-14 16:17:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x947ec8… |
| 11-14 16:17:20 | (anonymous) 0xe1f9…1086 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x52e681… |
| 11-14 16:17:20 | (anonymous) 0x9704…2c88 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x947ec8… |
| 11-14 16:17:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x52e681… |
| 11-14 16:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x4e2d…4936 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 73¢ | $10 | 0xc6d864… |
| 11-14 16:17:19 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 13 | 27¢ | $4 | 0xc6d864… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x71a2…7c58 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xc6055a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 50 | 29¢ | $14 | 0xa2908a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x0252…91a2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xc6055a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 20 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xa2908a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0xa2908a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 180 | 27¢ | $49 | 0xa2908a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | SELL | 500 | 72¢ | $360 | 0xa2908a… |
| 11-14 16:17:17 | Trained-Sniffle 0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | BUY | 880 | 72¢ | $634 | 0xa2908a… |
| 11-14 16:15:26 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 71¢ | $35 | 0x5dbf65… |
| 11-14 16:15:26 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x5dbf65… |
| 11-14 16:15:26 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | SELL | 120 | 71¢ | $85 | 0x5dbf65… |
| 11-14 14:11:53 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 20 | 32¢ | $6 | 0x958593… |
| 11-14 14:11:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x958593… |
| 11-14 10:17:07 | (anonymous) 0xc216…888c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x0b1673… |
| 11-14 10:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x0b1673… |
| 11-14 10:16:49 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | SELL | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xb12bb5… |
| 11-14 10:16:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 62¢ | $4 | 0xb12bb5… |
| 11-14 09:02:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x9bc939… |
| 11-14 09:02:01 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0x9bc939… |
| 11-14 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | BUY | 579 | 62¢ | $359 | 0x1f2356… |
| 11-14 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0xe39f…f224 | No | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x1f2356… |
| 11-14 08:21:58 | Muted-Primary 0x9163…82ae | Yes | SELL | 500 | 62¢ | $310 | 0x1f2356… |
| 11-14 08:21:58 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 19 | 38¢ | $7 | 0x1f2356… |
| 11-14 08:21:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x1f2356… |
| 11-14 05:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x5508…7a59 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 57¢ | $22 | 0x94bede… |
| 11-14 05:28:22 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x94bede… |
| 11-14 05:28:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x94bede… |
| 11-14 05:24:28 | Knowing-Arthur-Ash 0x3653…ef74 | No | BUY | 101 | 46¢ | $46 | 0xcf0a10… |
| 11-14 05:24:28 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 52¢ | $0 | 0xcf0a10… |
| 11-14 05:23:34 | Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon 0x16c7…22cd | No | BUY | 27 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xf48d0c… |
| 11-14 05:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 54¢ | $15 | 0xf48d0c… |
| 11-14 05:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | BUY | 549 | 55¢ | $302 | 0x04d079… |
| 11-14 05:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 29 | 45¢ | $13 | 0x04d079… |
| 11-14 05:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 500 | 45¢ | $225 | 0x04d079… |
| 11-14 05:23:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0x04d079… |
| 11-14 05:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 55¢ | $20 | 0x60c968… |
| 11-14 05:23:13 | Classic-Loggia 0x8b8b…2512 | No | BUY | 36 | 45¢ | $16 | 0x08aa15… |
| 11-14 05:23:13 | Hasty-Worker 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | BUY | 77 | 45¢ | $34 | 0x60c968… |
| 11-14 05:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 55¢ | $13 | 0x08aa15… |
| 11-14 05:23:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 55¢ | $17 | 0x60c968… |
| 11-14 05:23:13 | (anonymous) 0xc216…888c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x60c968… |
| 11-14 05:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 19 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x4a2d8e… |
| 11-14 05:22:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x4a2d8e… |
| 11-14 05:21:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x4e7dec… |
| 11-14 05:21:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0x4e7dec… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $27 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x9da0…98c4 | No | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $15 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 46¢ | $46 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9 | No | BUY | 25 | 54¢ | $13 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0xb410…502f | No | BUY | 50 | 48¢ | $24 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | No | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | No | BUY | 206 | 46¢ | $96 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 914 | 45¢ | $415 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 46¢ | $455 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0xc216…888c | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0xd7e5…4c4a | No | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x7e59…7b8b | No | BUY | 200 | 49¢ | $98 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x1d99…465f | Yes | BUY | 11,033 | 53¢ | $5,890 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x9be9…c030 | No | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $23 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 4,262 | 46¢ | $1,956 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 05:21:28 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 50¢ | $23 | 0x14f8ef… |
| 11-14 03:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 30 | 53¢ | $16 | 0x92d879… |
| 11-14 03:42:19 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 47¢ | $20 | 0x85ba0b… |