Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
82.0%
Resolved
48
Trades
481
lifetime
Volume
$4.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$723
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 10-31 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
58% 74% -$29
Politics
35% — —
Sports
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
2% 100% +$0
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +105 $62 98¢ $103 +$42 10-28 15:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? No +193 $52 20¢ $38 -$14 10-31 10:10
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +34 $34 99¢ $34 $0 10-31 02:24
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 10-30 18:49
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? No +27 $18 90¢ $24 +$6 10-30 15:28
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +24 $24 99¢ $24 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +24 $23 98¢ $24 +$0 10-31 02:24
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 10-30 22:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 10-30 22:17
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 02:14
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$1 10-28 14:33
Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-31 07:37