Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$66
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
123
Trades
617
lifetime
Volume
$7.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.02K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-01 19:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
63% 79% -$84
Politics
28% 71% +$4
Sports
5% 100% +$0
Tech
3% 100% +$34
Crypto
2% 14% -$10
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 184 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +178 $94 56¢ $100 +$5 11-01 00:52
Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +95 $25 98¢ $93 +$67 10-29 10:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +250 $78 30¢ $74 -$4 10-30 19:12
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +84 $78 84¢ $70 -$7 10-31 23:12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +66 $56 93¢ $61 +$6 10-30 10:38
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +51 $50 97¢ $49 -$1 11-01 00:09
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 $0 11-01 02:39
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $38 96¢ $38 $0 11-01 02:39
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +40 $31 76¢ $31 -$1 11-01 02:39
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Alaska and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +28 $28 100¢ $28 $0 10-30 23:15
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? No +28 $28 99¢ $28 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +37 $28 74¢ $28 -$1 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +27 $27 99¢ $27 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? No +24 $24 100¢ $24 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 $0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +22 $22 99¢ $22 $0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? No +21 $21 100¢ $21 +$0 11-01 00:31
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 10-30 23:08
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 $0 10-31 02:24
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-31 02:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-31 07:37
Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 $0 10-31 03:37
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? No +19 $19 99¢ $19 +$0 10-31 02:14
Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 10-30 22:17
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 11-01 00:31