Realized P&L
+$246.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.81K
Hit rate
67.1%
Resolved
15,499
Trades
256,262
lifetime
Volume
$18.9M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$33.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-26 21:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
61% 55% +$205,662
Politics
33% 57% +$36,213
Sports
3% 64% +$4,217
Tech
2% 56% +$1,493
Crypto
0% 48% -$1,018
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 8469 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,000 $1,916 92¢ $1.8K -$73 10-26 20:54
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +1,868 $1,705 97¢ $1.8K +$99 07-15 03:36
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $1,787 86¢ $1.7K -$77 10-24 05:25
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,994 $1,725 86¢ $1.7K -$21 10-26 21:26
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +1,658 $1,439 97¢ $1.6K +$172 09-19 12:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,887 $1,758 84¢ $1.6K -$164 10-26 21:22
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +1,987 $1,003 80¢ $1.6K +$576 10-26 20:19
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +2,000 $1,524 78¢ $1.6K +$45 10-25 22:04
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +2,012 $1,076 78¢ $1.6K +$488 10-26 21:40
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,941 $1,493 78¢ $1.5K +$11 10-26 19:28
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,997 $1,083 66¢ $1.3K +$225 10-22 15:38
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +1,293 $964 98¢ $1.3K +$307 10-17 03:04
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,364 $935 84¢ $1.1K +$206 10-26 18:44
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,085 $900 94¢ $1.0K +$120 10-26 13:47
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,807 $985 56¢ $1.0K +$18 10-26 06:56
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 No +1,000 $920 90¢ $901 -$19 09-08 15:51
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +1,997 $800 42¢ $849 +$49 10-23 14:51
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +996 $787 85¢ $847 +$60 09-09 21:53
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,277 $769 64¢ $816 +$47 10-26 20:32
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +1,991 $516 38¢ $757 +$241 10-26 21:12
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,276 $778 59¢ $753 -$25 10-26 21:26
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 Yes +1,988 $807 36¢ $724 -$82 10-26 21:09
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,283 $755 55¢ $703 -$52 10-26 21:40
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +980 $305 68¢ $671 +$367 10-01 21:41
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +691 $498 96¢ $662 +$164 10-25 20:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 No +997 $551 64¢ $634 +$83 10-23 07:07
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,000 $628 32¢ $630 +$2 10-26 21:24
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,000 $620 30¢ $610 -$10 10-26 21:25
next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $607 60¢ $605 -$2 10-22 17:04
will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232 Yes +1,124 $542 54¢ $601 +$59 10-07 15:49