Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$717
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
28,364
lifetime
Volume
$3.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$8.64K
23 positions
First seen
2026-06-23
last 07-16 18:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61%
Politics
31%
Tech
7%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 2787 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? Yes +3,884 $3,817 95¢ $3.7K $-114 06-30 08:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,500 $1,318 56¢ $1.4K +$69 07-14 17:53
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +1,020 $954 96¢ $982 +$29 07-15 20:49
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,006 $513 56¢ $568 +$55 07-08 13:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +2,499 $424 20¢ $512 +$89 07-16 20:12
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +1,006 $518 44¢ $438 $-80 07-15 12:53
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +793 $296 32¢ $258 $-38 07-15 17:14
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,657 $310 15¢ $240 $-70 07-14 01:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +200 $116 90¢ $179 +$63 07-02 08:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +188 $-32 78¢ $146 +$178 07-13 16:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +2,500 $98 $100 +$2 07-16 16:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +590 $124 $44 $-80 07-16 15:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +188 $45 22¢ $42 $-3 07-05 13:17
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $29 11¢ $21 $-8 06-30 20:59
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +360 $-15 $10 +$24 06-26 14:07
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes +75 $3 $2 $-1 07-08 13:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +38 $0 $2 +$1 07-14 13:07
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $1 $1 $-0 06-30 09:03
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +26 $-172 $1 +$172 07-14 17:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +0 $-449 99¢ $0 +$449 07-14 16:45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $96 93¢ $0 $-96 07-14 10:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +0 $17 22¢ $0 $-17 07-05 13:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +0 $-92 $0 +$92 07-14 17:59