Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved
139
Trades
13,209
lifetime
Volume
$2.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$27
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-09 22:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
66% 11% +$15
Crypto
15% 9% $-4
Politics
14% 17% $-2
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 331 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding? Yes +10 $0 40¢ $4 +$4 07-01 06:02
Amazon 2026 capex above $210B? Yes +5 $0 70¢ $4 +$3 06-07 16:36
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? No +5 $0 65¢ $3 +$3 06-09 08:49
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +5 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 07-07 05:02
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +5 $1 38¢ $2 +$1 07-01 09:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 34¢ $2 +$1 06-05 11:12
Amazon 2026 capex above $220B? No +3 $0 40¢ $1 +$1 07-09 11:42
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? No -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-16 08:43
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-01 13:40
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +5 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 07-03 15:46
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-17 20:34
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-19 07:57
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +5 $0 11¢ $1 +$0 07-09 12:52
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? No +5 $0 10¢ $1 +$0 06-15 01:24
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass? No +1 $0 45¢ $0 +$0 05-27 20:43
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +5 $1 10¢ $0 $-0 06-20 02:17
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-13 12:15
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 17:20
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-24 17:44
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-0 06-15 03:38
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? No +5 $1 $0 $-0 06-16 07:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 $0 $-1 06-02 10:57
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-0 06-15 13:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 07-04 23:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-07 16:45
Pro Football: A.J. Brown to join Patriots by regular season start? No +4 $0 $0 +$0 06-01 12:31
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-19 16:39
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-16 18:49
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-26 08:52
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026? No +5 $0 $0 $-0 06-25 02:19