Realized P&L
-$3.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$400
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved
2,986
Trades
68,769
lifetime
Volume
$561.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$4.78K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-27 12:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
47% 12% -$2,187
Politics
45% 11% -$818
Sports
6% 16% -$93
Tech
1% 11% -$82
Crypto
1% 4% -$35
Pop-Culture
0% 7% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 2062 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +424 $237 74¢ $316 +$79 10-07 01:23
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +296 $262 86¢ $256 -$6 10-15 17:56
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +258 $223 92¢ $236 +$13 09-26 07:18
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +305 $88 68¢ $207 +$119 10-12 08:22
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +210 $186 96¢ $203 +$17 09-22 09:46
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $198 76¢ $199 +$1 10-20 21:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +197 $159 97¢ $191 +$32 10-06 11:15
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $168 86¢ $171 +$3 10-21 15:17
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +227 $163 73¢ $165 +$2 10-27 01:15
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $156 92¢ $163 +$8 09-17 12:39
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +206 $150 76¢ $157 +$7 10-20 23:34
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +210 $167 74¢ $154 -$13 10-05 12:15
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +183 $137 82¢ $150 +$13 10-07 00:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +170 $144 87¢ $149 +$5 10-04 11:17
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +196 $161 75¢ $147 -$14 10-17 09:21
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +224 $118 64¢ $145 +$27 10-20 22:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $109 78¢ $139 +$30 10-16 21:20
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +234 $120 59¢ $138 +$18 10-20 00:58
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +190 $146 72¢ $138 -$8 10-18 02:26
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $130 92¢ $137 +$7 09-26 14:30
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +151 $103 90¢ $136 +$33 10-12 03:50
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +170 $135 80¢ $136 +$1 10-19 09:22
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +131 $112 99¢ $129 +$18 09-24 10:36
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +137 $108 92¢ $127 +$19 10-26 17:39
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +189 $146 64¢ $120 -$26 10-15 14:42
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? Yes +200 $128 58¢ $117 -$12 10-22 20:28
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +132 $108 88¢ $116 +$8 10-21 00:31
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +131 $100 88¢ $116 +$16 09-28 21:22
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +120 $111 94¢ $113 +$2 10-12 20:07
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes +128 $113 88¢ $113 $0 10-17 13:10