Realized P&L (24h)
-$115
Unrealized P&L
+$547
Hit rate
4.0%
Resolved (24h)
90
Trades (24h)
1,010
73,702 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$8.28K
$609.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$5.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 11-03 06:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Politics
48% 11% -$939
Other
44% 11% -$2,937
Sports
6% 13% -$151
Tech
1% 15% -$106
Crypto
1% 4% -$35
Pop-Culture
0% 7% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 2062 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +424 $237 90¢ $381 +$145 10-07 01:23
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +296 $262 89¢ $264 +$2 10-29 08:28
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +258 $223 90¢ $233 +$11 09-26 07:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +306 $238 74¢ $225 -$13 10-29 17:50
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? No +298 $187 72¢ $216 +$29 10-21 00:15
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +265 $179 78¢ $206 +$27 10-21 14:19
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $198 76¢ $199 +$1 10-20 21:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +197 $159 99¢ $195 +$36 10-06 11:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +272 $197 70¢ $192 -$5 11-01 07:01
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? Yes +282 $147 68¢ $190 +$43 10-17 16:03
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $156 94¢ $167 +$11 09-17 12:39
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +183 $137 90¢ $166 +$29 10-07 00:29
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $168 82¢ $165 -$3 10-21 15:17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $109 94¢ $165 +$56 10-16 21:20
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +234 $120 68¢ $160 +$40 10-20 00:58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +206 $150 76¢ $157 +$7 10-20 23:34
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +262 $79 59¢ $155 +$76 10-20 21:25
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +224 $118 68¢ $152 +$34 10-20 22:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +170 $144 90¢ $152 +$8 10-04 11:17
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +295 $112 52¢ $152 +$40 10-19 10:24
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +295 $189 48¢ $143 -$46 10-19 10:24
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $130 94¢ $142 +$12 09-26 14:30
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +170 $135 82¢ $139 +$4 10-19 09:22
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +157 $125 86¢ $135 +$10 11-01 02:44
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +196 $161 69¢ $135 -$26 10-17 09:21
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +151 $103 88¢ $133 +$30 10-12 03:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +151 $108 86¢ $131 +$23 10-20 22:12
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +210 $167 62¢ $129 -$38 10-05 12:15
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? No +150 $104 84¢ $127 +$23 09-25 05:43
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +190 $146 66¢ $126 -$20 10-18 02:26