Realized P&L (24h)
-$315
Unrealized P&L
+$625
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved (24h)
211
Trades (24h)
605
72,180 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$5.48K
$596.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$5.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 11-01 07:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
47% 11% -$917
Other
44% 12% -$2,733
Sports
6% 14% -$136
Tech
1% 14% -$106
Crypto
1% 4% -$35
Pop-Culture
0% 7% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 2062 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +305 $88 94¢ $286 +$198 10-12 08:22
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +424 $237 68¢ $286 +$50 10-07 01:23
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +296 $262 90¢ $268 +$6 10-29 08:28
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +258 $223 89¢ $230 +$7 09-26 07:18
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +265 $179 78¢ $206 +$27 10-21 14:19
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +272 $197 74¢ $201 +$4 11-01 07:01
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $198 76¢ $199 +$1 10-20 21:43
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +197 $159 96¢ $190 +$31 10-06 11:15
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $168 88¢ $175 +$7 10-21 15:17
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $156 94¢ $167 +$11 09-17 12:39
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +262 $79 62¢ $161 +$83 10-20 21:25
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +183 $137 88¢ $161 +$24 10-07 00:29
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +170 $144 90¢ $153 +$10 10-04 11:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +206 $150 74¢ $153 +$3 10-20 23:34
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +295 $112 52¢ $152 +$40 10-19 10:24
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +234 $120 64¢ $150 +$30 10-20 00:58
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +158 $36 94¢ $148 +$112 10-12 04:03
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +210 $167 70¢ $146 -$21 10-05 12:15
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +224 $118 64¢ $145 +$27 10-20 22:47
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +295 $189 48¢ $143 -$46 10-19 10:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +170 $135 83¢ $141 +$6 10-19 09:22
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $130 94¢ $140 +$10 09-26 14:30
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +196 $161 71¢ $139 -$22 10-17 09:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $109 78¢ $139 +$30 10-16 21:20
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +424 $195 32¢ $138 -$57 10-07 01:23
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +157 $125 86¢ $134 +$9 11-01 02:44
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +190 $146 70¢ $134 -$11 10-18 02:26
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +151 $103 88¢ $133 +$30 10-12 03:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +151 $108 86¢ $129 +$21 10-20 22:12
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +138 $116 90¢ $124 +$8 10-19 14:46