Realized P&L (90d)
-$3.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$710
Hit rate
8.2%
Resolved (90d)
3,301
Trades (90d)
71,855
71,855 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$593.2K
$593.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$5.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-20
last 10-31 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
47% 11% -$862
Other
45% 12% -$2,572
Sports
6% 14% -$136
Tech
1% 14% -$105
Crypto
1% 4% -$35
Pop-Culture
0% 7% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 2062 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +424 $237 72¢ $307 +$71 10-07 01:23
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? No +305 $88 91¢ $278 +$189 10-12 08:22
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +296 $262 90¢ $268 +$6 10-29 08:28
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +258 $223 88¢ $227 +$4 09-26 07:18
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +210 $186 99¢ $209 +$23 09-22 09:46
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? Yes +265 $179 77¢ $204 +$26 10-21 14:19
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? Yes +260 $198 76¢ $199 +$1 10-20 21:43
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +252 $182 75¢ $189 +$7 10-31 07:14
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +197 $159 96¢ $188 +$30 10-06 11:15
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +200 $168 87¢ $174 +$6 10-21 15:17
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +179 $156 94¢ $167 +$11 09-17 12:39
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +262 $79 62¢ $161 +$83 10-20 21:25
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +183 $137 88¢ $161 +$24 10-07 00:29
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +295 $112 54¢ $158 +$46 10-19 10:24
Blue tsunami in 2026? Yes +234 $120 66¢ $156 +$36 10-20 00:58
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +170 $144 90¢ $154 +$10 10-04 11:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +206 $150 74¢ $151 +$1 10-20 23:34
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +210 $167 70¢ $147 -$20 10-05 12:15
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +224 $118 64¢ $143 +$25 10-20 22:47
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $109 81¢ $143 +$34 10-16 21:20
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +158 $36 91¢ $143 +$107 10-12 04:03
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +150 $130 94¢ $140 +$10 09-26 14:30
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +196 $161 70¢ $138 -$23 10-17 09:21
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +295 $189 46¢ $137 -$52 10-19 10:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +170 $135 80¢ $137 +$2 10-19 09:22
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +190 $146 72¢ $136 -$9 10-18 02:26
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +151 $103 88¢ $133 +$30 10-12 03:50
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes +151 $108 84¢ $127 +$19 10-20 22:12
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +137 $108 87¢ $120 +$12 10-26 17:39
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +145 $116 82¢ $119 +$3 10-29 13:01