Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?
open
Total volume
$3,038
$320 in 24h
Trades
241
Unique wallets
67
Liquidity
$11,127
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-27 09:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.0¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $290
vs crowd: 19% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 26 | $141 | $948 | $807 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $221 | $475 | $254 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $26 | $301 | $275 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 15 | $2 | $287 | $285 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $33 | $131 | $98 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $8 | $257 | $248 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $10 | $18 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $49 | $79 | $30 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 28 | $235 | $912 | $678 |
| unranked | 2 | $61 | $35 | +$26 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +465 | $62 | $62 | 17 | 10-27 09:24 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +257 | $206 | $206 | 13 | 10-19 14:55 |
| Spiffy-Caviar 0xb777…e4e0 | No | +255 | $215 | $215 | 1 | 09-14 04:29 |
| Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | +160 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 09-26 11:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +160 | $33 | $33 | 12 | 10-27 09:21 |
| Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | No | +81 | $71 | $145 | 2 | 10-27 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | +69 | -$1 | $124 | 3 | 09-28 00:38 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +40 | $35 | $101 | 3 | 10-23 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 09-08 06:10 |
| Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | +39 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-27 09:21 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +39 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 10-27 09:21 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +39 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-27 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +35 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-18 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +33 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 10-21 09:51 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +31 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 10-17 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +27 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 09-08 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-19 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | +26 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 10-19 14:55 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-10 03:18 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +22 | $2 | $9 | 9 | 10-27 09:21 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +21 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-21 13:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-27 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-08 05:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $14 | 3 | 09-26 11:02 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-12 05:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-27 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-19 14:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-27 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-27 09:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-27 09:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-19 14:55 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +20 | $19 | $93 | 3 | 10-27 09:56 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-27 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-26 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 08-30 15:32 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-12 05:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-27 09:21 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-25 00:33 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-31 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $9 | 2 | 10-23 19:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-31 12:02 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-21 13:53 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 09-25 00:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 09-08 23:05 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 08-31 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-18 21:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9f47…b00f | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-10 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +7 | $6 | $7 | 2 | 09-02 10:11 |
| Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 09-02 05:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-27 01:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 09:56:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xf2a2a4… |
| 10-27 09:56:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xf2a2a4… |
| 10-27 09:52:09 | (anonymous) 0x71a3…3fb4 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xa3e689… |
| 10-27 09:52:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xa3e689… |
| 10-27 09:25:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x26df21… |
| 10-27 09:25:36 | Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | No | SELL | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x26df21… |
| 10-27 09:25:36 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x26df21… |
| 10-27 09:24:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 93¢ | $56 | 0xfc12e6… |
| 10-27 09:24:29 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xfc12e6… |
| 10-27 09:21:32 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7e02de… |
| 10-27 09:21:32 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x7e02de… |
| 10-27 09:21:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x6244b1… |
| 10-27 09:21:14 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 86¢ | $0 | 0x6244b1… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x66305a… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5a60e0… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x66305a… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Antique-Calcification 0xc3de…e227 | No | BUY | 121 | 89¢ | $108 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x047cc9… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4601b3… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 19 | 91¢ | $17 | 0x4601b3… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x5a60e0… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | (anonymous) 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x18d314… |
| 10-27 09:21:12 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x047cc9… |
| 10-24 16:32:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x044b21… |
| 10-24 16:32:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x044b21… |
| 10-23 19:33:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xb09f03… |
| 10-23 19:33:18 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xb09f03… |
| 10-21 13:53:33 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0x94384c… |
| 10-21 13:53:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x94384c… |
| 10-21 13:53:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 31 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x94384c… |
| 10-21 13:53:33 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0x94384c… |
| 10-21 09:51:53 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xa741f3… |
| 10-21 09:51:53 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xa741f3… |
| 10-21 09:51:51 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xab9d4e… |
| 10-21 09:51:51 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xab9d4e… |
| 10-19 14:55:21 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x72c457… |
| 10-19 14:55:21 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x72c457… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7f4191… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x9d3a41… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xfda101… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x9d3a41… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7f4191… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xfda101… |
| 10-19 14:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | Yes | BUY | 27 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xfda101… |
| 10-19 00:06:38 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcd2fe0… |
| 10-19 00:06:38 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xcd2fe0… |
| 10-18 21:06:23 | (anonymous) 0xf2ee…7658 | No | BUY | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xa6191a… |
| 10-18 21:06:23 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x71ec3a… |
| 10-18 21:06:23 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 9 | 88¢ | $8 | 0xa6191a… |
| 10-18 21:06:23 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x71ec3a… |
| 10-18 21:06:23 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x71ec3a… |
| 10-18 21:03:35 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x9a5ff7… |
| 10-18 21:03:35 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x9a5ff7… |
| 10-18 01:26:15 | (anonymous) 0xb825…0666 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc608be… |
| 10-18 01:26:15 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xc608be… |
| 10-17 22:06:11 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x377b21… |
| 10-17 22:06:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x377b21… |
| 10-17 22:06:11 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x377b21… |
| 10-17 22:06:11 | Sniveling-Yogurt 0x6bdc…6fcd | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x377b21… |
| 10-17 22:06:11 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x377b21… |
| 10-17 22:06:11 | (anonymous) 0xb825…0666 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x377b21… |
| 10-17 20:22:08 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xcfd93e… |
| 10-17 20:22:08 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xcfd93e… |
| 10-10 03:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x9f47…b00f | No | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0x506706… |
| 10-10 03:18:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x506706… |
| 10-10 03:18:23 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x39ae7d… |
| 10-10 03:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x39ae7d… |
| 10-10 03:18:12 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x5418c7… |
| 10-10 03:18:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5418c7… |
| 09-28 19:56:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x66a553… |
| 09-28 19:56:32 | (anonymous) 0x4613…7932 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x66a553… |
| 09-28 00:38:32 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9fc725… |
| 09-28 00:38:32 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x9fc725… |
| 09-26 22:14:33 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x50d53c… |
| 09-26 22:14:33 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x50d53c… |
| 09-26 14:03:00 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd14b44… |
| 09-26 14:03:00 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xd14b44… |
| 09-26 13:02:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x748e93… |
| 09-26 13:02:50 | (anonymous) 0xcb4c…7b09 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x748e93… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | Rapid-Precipitation 0x24e8…4546 | Yes | BUY | 160 | 18¢ | $29 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xa2a2…fae9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x4613…7932 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xcb4c…7b09 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xb83237… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xb83237… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | SELL | 331 | 18¢ | $59 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0x0d3d…aa93 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 11:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xd37330… |
| 09-26 10:10:26 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x9ee434… |
| 09-26 10:10:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x9ee434… |
| 09-26 10:10:26 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | Yes | SELL | 203 | 14¢ | $28 | 0x9ee434… |
| 09-26 10:10:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 85¢ | $68 | 0x9ee434… |
| 09-26 10:10:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 85¢ | $38 | 0x9ee434… |