Realized P&L
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$448
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
25
Trades
12,331
lifetime
Volume
$259.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$820
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-20
last 11-07 13:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
100% 33% -$2
Other
0% 48% +$12
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 1516 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +244 $31 68¢ $165 +$134 10-29 23:19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +632 $100 19¢ $118 +$19 11-01 18:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +160 $21 46¢ $74 +$54 10-27 05:39
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? Yes +77 $38 85¢ $65 +$27 11-02 18:53
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 15%-20%? Yes +99 $10 60¢ $60 +$50 10-23 21:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-02 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +104 $5 51¢ $53 +$49 10-22 05:35
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 35%-40%? Yes +327 $67 16¢ $52 -$15 10-28 12:21
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +48 $5 96¢ $46 +$41 10-25 13:24
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-05 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +40 $4 91¢ $36 +$32 11-02 00:15
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 65%-70%? Yes +58 $6 48¢ $28 +$22 10-11 00:18
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-07 House election by 9%-12%? Yes — +111 $12 20¢ $22 +$10 10-31 23:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IN-01 House election by 25%-30%? Yes +30 $2 70¢ $21 +$19 10-13 14:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +14 -$47 93¢ $13 +$60 09-30 07:16
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +245 $37 4¢ $10 -$27 11-02 23:10
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? Yes +43 $7 16¢ $7 $0 11-07 05:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%? Yes +10 $14 48¢ $5 -$9 11-02 05:08
Spread: Oregon State (-6.5) Oregon State +10 $5 46¢ $5 $0 11-06 23:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +29 $6 16¢ $4 -$2 11-06 13:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-07 House election by 65%-70%? Yes +9 -$33 50¢ $4 +$37 10-11 01:42
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +13 $4 32¢ $4 $0 11-06 23:50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +217 $50 2¢ $4 -$46 11-02 13:27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 20%-25%? Yes +3 -$12 97¢ $3 +$15 09-26 18:42
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 20%-25%? Yes +361 $81 1¢ $3 -$78 10-28 18:10
Broncos vs. Panthers Broncos +4 $3 58¢ $3 +$0 11-06 22:22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? Yes +3 -$36 98¢ $3 +$39 09-26 15:13
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-01 House election by 60%-65%? Yes +4 -$35 54¢ $2 +$37 09-21 04:43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-01 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +154 $20 2¢ $2 -$18 10-13 01:45
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +14 $2 15¢ $2 $0 11-06 18:54
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Yes +5 $2 30¢ $2 +$0 11-07 13:48
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026? No +2 $1 70¢ $2 +$0 11-07 02:53