Spiffy-Caviar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

131

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$72.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$329

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-02

last 09-14 04:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

54% 73% -$68

Other

44% 79% +$513

Sports

1% 0% -$764

Tech

1% 100% +$87

Crypto

0% 100% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?	4	$2.1K	1,731	1,191	+540	No	+$130	07-13 01:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	2	$1.8K	998	998	+0	No	+$239	08-23 01:41
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	16	$1.7K	971	971	+0	No	+$211	07-26 20:51
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$1.7K	915	915	+0	No	+$161	06-04 00:06
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	3	$1.6K	956	956	+0	No	+$118	07-14 05:52
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?	2	$1.6K	893	893	+0	No	+$147	06-04 00:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	2	$1.5K	869	869	+0	No	-$14	07-10 03:02
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	3	$1.5K	825	825	+0	No	-$15	08-22 00:52
Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$22	06-19 02:10
Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	4	$1.3K	935	935	+0	No	-$180	08-22 01:07
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	2	$1.0K	949	292	+657	No	+$199	07-19 04:20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?	2	$890	1,021	200	+821	open	—	08-25 02:50
will trump accuse russia of election interference by july 16 20260714013930798	4	$844	459	459	+0	No	+$73	07-17 05:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$783	948	0	+948	No	+$165	07-16 19:34
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	5	$765	890	0	+890	No	+$125	08-07 01:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$764	980	0	+980	Yes	+$216	07-09 02:48
will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	1	$764	944	0	+944	No	+$180	07-08 02:56
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$764	921	0	+921	Yes	-$764	07-13 01:09
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$760	974	0	+974	No	+$214	08-11 02:58
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	1	$759	915	0	+915	No	+$156	08-11 02:57
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$759	915	0	+915	No	+$156	08-09 02:43
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	1	$759	883	0	+883	No	+$124	09-09 03:43
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$759	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	-$759	09-06 04:04
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	1	$759	903	0	+903	Yes	-$759	08-10 03:20
Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	1	$758	1,166	0	+1,166	Yes	-$758	08-26 02:42
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	1	$756	943	0	+943	No	+$187	07-11 02:54
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?	1	$754	938	0	+938	open	—	09-07 03:16
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$753	993	0	+993	No	+$240	09-01 01:08
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	1	$750	1,129	0	+1,129	Yes	-$750	08-25 02:48
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	1	$750	873	0	+873	No	+$123	06-29 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 04:29:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?	No	BUY	178	85¢	$151	0xebb25c…
09-14 04:29:24	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 45%-50%?	No	BUY	255	84¢	$215	0x3fa935…
09-11 04:43:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 5%-10%?	No	BUY	339	79¢	$267	0x03d7ad…
09-11 04:43:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?	No	BUY	299	71¢	$212	0xf938d9…
09-09 03:43:31	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	883	86¢	$759	0x819a11…
09-09 03:42:45	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?	No	BUY	118	75¢	$89	0xbd2178…
09-09 03:42:15	Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	219	78¢	$170	0x272170…
09-09 03:41:33	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 55%-60%?	No	BUY	496	83¢	$410	0x6f8dcf…
09-07 23:49:54	Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x765712…
09-07 18:30:24	Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x9a6483…
09-07 03:18:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 5%-15%?	No	BUY	513	87¢	$448	0x27ccf6…
09-07 03:17:31	Will AfD win at least 20% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	888	69¢	$617	0x9eadea…
09-07 03:16:51	Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	276	84¢	$231	0x9aac46…
09-07 03:16:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-11 House election by 35% or more?	No	BUY	938	80¢	$754	0xf16aa2…
09-07 03:15:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 55% or more?	No	BUY	92	80¢	$73	0xc51cbc…
09-06 04:06:36	Will Trump meet with Mark Carney in September 2026?	No	BUY	106	75¢	$80	0xe142a4…
09-06 04:05:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	744	76¢	$568	0x3dc96d…
09-06 04:04:51	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	1,100	69¢	$759	0xe2472b…
09-05 05:32:30	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,550,000 and 1,600,000?	No	BUY	110	86¢	$95	0x38bfb5…
09-05 05:31:25	Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	896	78¢	$699	0x5038be…
09-05 05:29:51	Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	923	71¢	$653	0x23d566…
09-05 05:28:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	262	81¢	$212	0x74ea39…
09-05 05:27:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-05 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	658	83¢	$546	0x16e8e1…
09-02 13:37:58	Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	148	62¢	$91	0x1b9ec9…
09-02 13:37:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 65%-70%?	No	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0x219202…
09-02 13:37:00	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,035	72¢	$748	0x6f1adb…
09-02 13:36:07	Will Democrats win exactly 11 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	240	66¢	$160	0x53046f…
09-01 01:12:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-05 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	502	83¢	$415	0x783f3d…
09-01 01:11:36	Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0xdebef0…
09-01 01:10:48	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	No	BUY	792	73¢	$577	0x862131…
09-01 01:09:49	Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	108	83¢	$90	0x731f78…
09-01 01:08:43	Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	993	76¢	$753	0x46b475…
09-01 01:07:24	Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?	No	BUY	889	77¢	$683	0xf41f97…
08-26 02:44:37	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	No	BUY	114	85¢	$98	0xab1275…
08-26 02:43:58	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	65	85¢	$55	0x9bf95a…
08-26 02:42:31	Will CDU win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	1,166	65¢	$758	0x852925…
08-26 02:42:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	650	80¢	$522	0x034e01…
08-25 02:53:00	Will Guilherme Derrite win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?	No	BUY	691	75¢	$519	0xaa2829…
08-25 02:52:31	Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	318	75¢	$239	0xd45235…
08-25 02:50:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?	No	SELL	200	70¢	$140	0x48282a…
08-25 02:50:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?	No	BUY	1,021	73¢	$750	0x2b40b3…
08-25 02:48:34	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?	No	BUY	308	72¢	$221	0x6ca05f…
08-25 02:48:07	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1,129	66¢	$750	0x7bbe4f…
08-23 06:30:37	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9d0a3a…
08-23 06:30:36	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc17f5b…
08-23 01:41:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	998	100¢	$997	0x93eea3…
08-23 01:41:34	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	498	85¢	$422	0x846363…
08-23 01:40:43	Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x8c43e4…
08-23 01:40:12	Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?	No	BUY	683	87¢	$592	0x2d9d70…
08-23 01:39:39	Will Khathutshelo Rasilingwane be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?	No	BUY	621	65¢	$404	0xca5b68…
08-22 01:07:46	Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	No	SELL	435	55¢	$240	0x78f297…
08-22 01:07:34	Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	No	SELL	300	63¢	$189	0x07227e…
08-22 01:07:18	Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$139	0xb5b223…
08-22 01:05:48	Will Monique Taylor win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?	No	BUY	935	80¢	$748	0x01d6a2…
08-22 00:52:37	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	825	89¢	$732	0x5c9373…
08-22 00:52:00	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	261	91¢	$237	0x9f6d38…
08-22 00:51:19	Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	564	90¢	$510	0x7c5e32…
08-21 01:21:15	Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	238	67¢	$160	0x0588bc…
08-21 01:13:37	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	839	74¢	$623	0xe8eff8…
08-20 01:29:31	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x773eb5…
08-20 01:29:13	Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	72	73¢	$53	0x1440bf…
08-20 01:28:03	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?	No	BUY	202	90¢	$181	0xe0ef19…
08-19 15:44:07	Will Christian Democrats (KD) win less than 5% of all valid votes?	No	BUY	882	85¢	$750	0x1848a4…
08-19 15:43:16	Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?	No	BUY	1,041	71¢	$742	0xd0033e…
08-11 02:58:36	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	974	78¢	$760	0x1ab6be…
08-11 02:57:52	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	Yes	BUY	297	79¢	$234	0x4ae9da…
08-11 02:57:18	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	915	83¢	$759	0xd604a9…
08-10 03:23:30	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	505	75¢	$378	0x48dd4a…
08-10 03:21:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	998	76¢	$758	0xf4137e…
08-10 03:20:34	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	903	84¢	$759	0x95c64e…
08-09 02:44:45	Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0xe75f4c…
08-09 02:43:55	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?	No	BUY	745	83¢	$618	0xc1c54f…
08-09 02:43:06	Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	915	83¢	$759	0x5874fd…
08-07 01:45:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0x0f095e…
08-07 01:45:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2fc11f…
08-07 01:45:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	762	86¢	$655	0x5e10ce…
08-07 01:44:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	62	86¢	$53	0x130875…
08-07 01:44:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xbcfce2…
08-07 01:42:42	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xd406df…
08-07 01:41:19	Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	No	BUY	887	79¢	$704	0xb20efa…
08-07 01:40:06	Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	124	83¢	$103	0xcde5a9…
08-05 18:29:08	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?	No	BUY	766	80¢	$613	0xbd6e25…
08-05 18:27:39	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	No	BUY	491	77¢	$380	0x1d0a44…
08-05 03:59:06	Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by more than 10%?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0xb1644b…
08-04 14:00:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	454	84¢	$381	0xcc5db3…
08-04 13:59:05	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?	No	BUY	420	90¢	$378	0x188ae6…
08-01 15:18:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?	No	BUY	201	87¢	$175	0x801cab…
08-01 15:17:53	Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?	No	BUY	465	81¢	$375	0xd97738…
07-29 01:51:35	Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x537db1…
07-26 20:51:12	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	709	100¢	$708	0x0621bb…
07-26 20:28:25	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x924cdb…
07-26 20:05:19	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6d2b19…
07-26 19:41:06	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xb78f9e…
07-26 19:22:12	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x128b2e…
07-26 19:16:34	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x55851b…
07-26 19:06:58	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd89b8d…
07-26 18:43:24	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfd2ec1…
07-26 18:30:55	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x4625e6…
07-26 18:18:16	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb89841…
07-26 18:10:57	Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x26884e…