Vibrant-Minority-Lace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$464

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,335

lifetime

Volume

$43.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-20 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

81% 54% $-415

Sports

11% 0% $-48

Politics

6% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes		+100	$22	12¢	$12	$-10	07-18 01:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	7	$757	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	05-17 07:11
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$695	1,139	0	+1,139	Gentle Mates	$-695	05-11 04:50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$657	1,398	0	+1,398	MOUZ	$-657	05-12 03:46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$631	1,697	0	+1,697	9z	+$635	05-11 10:50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$600	789	0	+789	open	—	05-25 04:50
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	5	$488	970	0	+970	open	—	05-23 14:26
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	3	$473	1,226	0	+1,226	open	—	05-18 05:15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	8	$438	872	0	+872	open	—	05-25 11:31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$390	1,257	0	+1,257	open	—	05-15 07:51
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	5	$376	482	0	+482	open	—	05-14 12:36
will g2 make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025730	10	$343	200	200	+0	open	—	07-02 01:39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	12	$331	637	0	+637	open	—	05-21 12:12
will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$329	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 15:26
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	5	$327	300	200	+100	open	—	07-18 01:07
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$324	435	0	+435	open	—	05-16 09:14
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	4	$317	902	0	+902	open	—	05-23 08:33
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$281	698	0	+698	open	—	05-15 08:30
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$280	457	0	+457	open	—	05-16 06:57
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	19	$277	549	0	+549	open	—	05-19 14:33
will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	5	$277	200	200	+0	open	—	07-10 01:55
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$277	577	0	+577	open	—	05-19 13:30
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	4	$276	484	0	+484	open	—	05-16 08:57
will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$254	200	200	+0	open	—	07-17 01:10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$248	345	0	+345	open	—	05-17 07:12
will epic games valuation hit low 11pt25 by july 31 20260629184732969	4	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 02:42
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$244	432	0	+432	open	—	05-16 07:32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	7	$232	445	0	+445	open	—	05-19 13:21
will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5b by december 31	5	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 14:08
will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	4	$221	200	200	+0	open	—	07-20 01:00
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	1	$217	373	0	+373	open	—	05-14 03:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 16:02:49	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x83b4d7…
07-20 16:02:42	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x484aab…
07-20 14:07:25	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xec2bed…
07-20 10:45:45	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x301f6a…
07-20 10:45:34	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x19f95d…
07-20 10:40:45	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x85cc39…
07-20 10:26:49	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xc0e52c…
07-20 08:51:12	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xda8d69…
07-20 08:08:43	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xc8df49…
07-20 08:02:39	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219	Yes	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xf2c462…
07-20 07:09:18	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xdd7493…
07-20 02:50:48	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xe59807…
07-20 02:50:40	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xfc0ced…
07-20 01:00:06	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xe0bfd2…
07-20 00:59:51	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0xfcaf4e…
07-19 23:15:51	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 140m by august 31 20260710220109219	Yes	SELL	66	53¢	$35	0x509e5f…
07-19 11:55:12	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game2	BetBoom Team	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x0b1825…
07-19 11:55:10	dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x21e6a8…
07-18 17:39:12	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0xaa5799…
07-18 17:39:01	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x7859be…
07-18 17:39:01	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x224ca3…
07-18 17:38:39	Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xa31e19…
07-18 15:36:13	will canvas valuation hit high 43pt5 by july 31 20260629184737584	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xabe75f…
07-18 15:04:18	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x0d7622…
07-18 10:58:15	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x71e676…
07-18 10:58:01	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x7d7b24…
07-18 02:46:39	lol gen dk 2026 07 18 game2	Dplus KIA	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xaf8608…
07-18 02:45:36	lol gen dk 2026 07 18 game2	Dplus KIA	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x3e7345…
07-18 02:15:58	will stripes valuation hit low 150b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x21996d…
07-18 02:00:31	will perplexitys valuation hit high 18 by july 31 20260629184740282	Yes	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0xe5aaef…
07-18 01:59:58	will canvas valuation hit low 40b by december 31	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x980607…
07-18 01:59:39	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0xe59a32…
07-18 01:57:21	will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x2cf84d…
07-18 01:07:40	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xe89623…
07-17 22:26:49	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xf93f71…
07-17 22:26:48	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x7afa25…
07-17 22:07:37	val rrq1 ge1 2026 07 18 map handicap home 1pt5	Rex Regum Qeon	SELL	31	70¢	$22	0x785f7a…
07-17 22:06:34	val rrq1 ge1 2026 07 18 map handicap home 1pt5	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x4e6ffe…
07-17 18:37:30	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x84d576…
07-17 16:07:22	val nv2 eg2 2026 07 17 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x0aa0bc…
07-17 16:06:51	val nv2 eg2 2026 07 17 game1 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x37c177…
07-17 15:36:07	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 27 2026 20260709223851529	Yes	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xa16625…
07-17 15:31:46	will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x325ea4…
07-17 13:56:31	will krakens valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xe74418…
07-17 13:20:27	will perplexitys valuation hit high 18 by july 31 20260629184740282	Yes	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x8e9bd9…
07-17 12:45:27	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xc2889d…
07-17 12:45:22	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xd3a8f6…
07-17 12:41:07	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x094278…
07-17 12:41:06	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x62f84e…
07-17 12:39:45	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xe13dee…
07-17 12:39:18	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x96703c…
07-17 12:38:18	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x30ab12…
07-17 12:38:15	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x928e49…
07-17 10:41:09	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0xc74572…
07-17 10:41:03	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x48a01d…
07-17 10:39:28	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0xb2b91d…
07-17 10:39:24	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x6ad265…
07-17 10:39:22	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	SELL	32	77¢	$24	0x4d08bd…
07-17 10:39:22	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x099538…
07-17 10:39:19	will the announcers say heavyweight during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956895	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xdfe2be…
07-17 06:59:00	will a goal be scored during 31 45 minute 20260716181534258	Yes	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x7a70eb…
07-17 06:31:37	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xe8876c…
07-17 06:31:28	criminal charges in pfizer building structural failure by december 31 20260713154109326	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x72513d…
07-17 06:20:04	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	Yes	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0x565536…
07-17 06:03:46	will a goal be scored during 61 75 minute 20260716181534260	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x67a3da…
07-17 05:45:40	will a goal be scored during 31 45 minute 20260716181534258	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x1b7088…
07-17 04:07:48	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x6680ce…
07-17 01:20:47	val nova jdg 2026 07 17 game3 round handicap nova 2pt5	JD Gaming	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x815478…
07-17 01:20:44	val nova jdg 2026 07 17 game3 round handicap nova 2pt5	JD Gaming	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x399485…
07-17 01:11:58	will a uk social media ban take effect by december 31 2026 20260616193018844	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xb8ba7b…
07-17 01:10:43	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	75	53¢	$40	0x43de20…
07-17 00:54:08	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0aced3…
07-16 17:48:05	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 27 2026 20260709223851529	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xb68cc1…
07-16 16:08:13	val sen c9 2026 07 16 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x786662…
07-16 16:07:56	val sen c9 2026 07 16 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8b6402…
07-16 14:08:56	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xcfaaba…
07-16 14:08:55	will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x09ec81…
07-16 11:15:38	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x878915…
07-16 10:16:19	val lev1 fur 2026 07 16 game3 round handicap lev1 3pt5	Leviatán Esports	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x085c78…
07-16 10:16:13	val lev1 fur 2026 07 16 game3 round handicap lev1 3pt5	Leviatán Esports	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xa4530b…
07-16 09:33:56	will canvas valuation hit high 43pt5 by july 31 20260629184737584	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0xd34ef9…
07-16 09:03:07	will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x3c334b…
07-16 09:02:07	will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x009be5…
07-16 09:01:14	will krakens valuation hit high 11pt5 by july 31 20260629184742674	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7070c5…
07-16 08:52:25	will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x9a815e…
07-16 08:17:56	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x533bdf…
07-16 07:44:05	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x376f84…
07-16 02:11:35	reckless ben in jail by december 31 20260714181944088	No	SELL	98	80¢	$79	0x61fdc9…
07-16 01:48:52	reckless ben in jail by december 31 20260714181944088	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x457894…
07-16 01:31:10	will a uk social media ban take effect by december 31 2026 20260616193018844	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x02b5c6…
07-16 00:49:44	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by december 31 2026 20260709012217844	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xdc21cc…
07-15 23:59:02	reckless ben in jail by december 31 20260714181944088	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x4c3fe9…
07-15 23:15:05	will zywoo reach 36 hltv mvp awards by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x473b7b…
07-15 23:02:07	2026 the open championship top10 thomas detry	Yes	SELL	91	3¢	$3	0x516c0b…
07-15 23:00:47	2026 the open championship top10 thomas detry	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xa0a456…
07-15 23:00:40	2026 the open championship top10 cameron smith	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xc1226a…
07-15 23:00:37	2026 the open championship top10 billy horschel	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x3c8e7b…
07-15 21:45:14	Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x7efb28…
07-15 21:39:16	Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xc820a5…
07-15 15:22:04	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by december 31	Yes	SELL	95	84¢	$80	0x575725…