Vibrant-Minority-Lace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$464

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,824

lifetime

Volume

$58.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 08-09 23:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

79% 54% $-415

Politics

9% 0% $-0

Sports

9% 0% $-48

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	7	$757	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	05-17 07:11
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$695	1,139	0	+1,139	Gentle Mates	$-695	05-11 04:50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$657	1,398	0	+1,398	MOUZ	$-657	05-12 03:46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$631	1,697	0	+1,697	9z	+$635	05-11 10:50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$600	789	0	+789	open	—	05-25 04:50
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	5	$488	970	0	+970	open	—	05-23 14:26
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	3	$473	1,226	0	+1,226	open	—	05-18 05:15
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	8	$438	872	0	+872	open	—	05-25 11:31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$390	1,257	0	+1,257	open	—	05-15 07:51
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	5	$376	482	0	+482	open	—	05-14 12:36
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	6	$344	300	300	+0	open	—	07-24 16:59
will g2 make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025730	10	$343	200	200	+0	open	—	07-02 01:39
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	12	$331	637	0	+637	open	—	05-21 12:12
will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$329	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 15:26
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$324	435	0	+435	open	—	05-16 09:14
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	4	$317	902	0	+902	open	—	05-23 08:33
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	6	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	07-25 00:50
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	4	$281	698	0	+698	open	—	05-15 08:30
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$280	457	0	+457	open	—	05-16 06:57
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	19	$277	549	0	+549	open	—	05-19 14:33
will krakens valuation hit high 12pt5b by december 31	5	$277	200	200	+0	open	—	07-10 01:55
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	1	$277	577	0	+577	open	—	05-19 13:30
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	4	$276	484	0	+484	open	—	05-16 08:57
will concrete launch a token by december 31 2026	5	$254	200	200	+0	open	—	07-17 01:10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$248	345	0	+345	open	—	05-17 07:12
will epic games valuation hit low 11pt25 by july 31 20260629184732969	4	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 02:42
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$244	432	0	+432	open	—	05-16 07:32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	7	$232	445	0	+445	open	—	05-19 13:21
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	4	$229	200	200	+0	open	—	08-07 01:38
will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5b by december 31	5	$228	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 02:24:57	berlin state election turnout up or down 20260806112259580	Down	SELL	41	11¢	$5	0x42b17e…
08-10 01:38:58	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	Yes	SELL	91	9¢	$8	0x66c37f…
08-10 01:38:12	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x62453d…
08-09 23:04:39	will russia enter hannivka by december 31 2026 20260729205140184	No	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0x8e038f…
08-09 20:24:07	will russia enter hannivka by december 31 2026 20260729205140184	No	SELL	65	24¢	$16	0x5acf46…
08-09 16:51:52	berlin state election turnout up or down 20260806112259580	Down	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0x496268…
08-09 16:35:48	will openais valuation hit low 700b by december 31 939 865	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x4ac757…
08-09 15:15:06	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0x94e791…
08-09 15:14:40	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	SELL	68	10¢	$7	0x893703…
08-09 15:14:31	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0xbe1f69…
08-09 15:14:21	will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640	Yes	BUY	68	11¢	$7	0xec5b3f…
08-09 10:03:43	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x1f19f5…
08-09 10:03:27	Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	Yes	SELL	95	10¢	$10	0x7d9f45…
08-09 10:03:18	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190836288	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x04b629…
08-09 10:02:39	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	SELL	87	21¢	$19	0x9d4071…
08-09 08:20:06	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x426d91…
08-09 06:17:03	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xf7556f…
08-09 06:03:52	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x028609…
08-09 06:03:00	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x0f08bd…
08-09 06:02:54	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0xe6187c…
08-09 06:02:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x929b5e…
08-09 02:36:34	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x06c54e…
08-08 23:42:43	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x42ae50…
08-08 20:19:31	will timothe chalamet be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x882ecd…
08-08 20:19:28	will timothe chalamet be nominated for best actor at the 99th academy awards	Yes	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0xbc0a54…
08-08 18:21:31	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Lockheed Martin	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0xf39084…
08-08 18:20:15	anduril vs lockheed martin higher valuation on december 31	Lockheed Martin	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x972f79…
08-08 16:56:42	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x8c4f01…
08-08 15:38:25	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x62afc0…
08-08 11:43:28	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2027 20260714175933548	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xe3ca46…
08-08 11:41:00	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2027 20260714175933548	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x7656f9…
08-08 10:39:28	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x1ccaac…
08-08 08:39:51	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xcf2a04…
08-08 08:39:48	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x2b3697…
08-08 08:39:40	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x2c2b7c…
08-08 07:25:01	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xd451b8…
08-08 06:13:39	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha arrested by december 31 20260728192035733	Yes	SELL	39	42¢	$16	0x5887f3…
08-08 05:49:37	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xf58394…
08-08 03:27:31	berlin state election turnout up or down 20260806112259580	Down	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x54b967…
08-08 03:25:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x3af48c…
08-08 03:01:40	berlin state election turnout up or down 20260806112259580	Down	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xffe39e…
08-08 02:45:12	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x56451a…
08-08 02:41:42	will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x61c00f…
08-07 19:29:03	will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x788929…
08-07 19:28:57	will dune part three be delayed 20260720163825706	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1178e0…
08-07 17:16:18	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x16335d…
08-07 13:42:46	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xd3da55…
08-07 09:36:37	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x214fb6…
08-07 09:36:31	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 21 2026 20260722225036945	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xe43ed0…
08-07 08:43:57	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1520 by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0xa80a8d…
08-07 08:43:13	will any ai model reach a chatbot arena score of at least 1520 by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xfe51a1…
08-07 06:42:42	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0xd408a7…
08-07 06:42:13	Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x5117e9…
08-07 05:57:36	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x90b1ff…
08-07 05:55:21	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xe35b1f…
08-07 03:15:37	will russia enter hannivka by december 31 2026 20260729205140184	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x61a46d…
08-07 01:39:09	will bytedances valuation hit low 300b by december 31 20260701011753600	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xa7fb49…
08-07 01:38:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x37339e…
08-07 01:36:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x3a8cbd…
08-07 01:36:12	idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion 20260729165257291	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0xf746c1…
08-06 19:03:15	Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x95f601…
08-06 18:05:45	idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion 20260729165257291	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x4934b5…
08-06 14:09:21	french election called by december 31 2026 20260728185555991	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xa31557…
08-06 14:04:33	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x8006ee…
08-06 13:20:39	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x497423…
08-06 13:04:50	will krakens valuation hit high 17pt5b by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x7c7ebe…
08-06 12:59:27	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xcb10e9…
08-06 09:37:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0c24b7…
08-06 09:15:51	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190836288	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x3b3102…
08-06 08:46:54	will 100 thieves qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106793	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x801252…
08-06 08:41:48	will 100 thieves qualify to the ewc main event 20260804161106793	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xe6f252…
08-06 03:35:56	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 75 or higher 20260723190836290	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xe671e2…
08-06 01:22:51	will felix auger aliassime qualify for the nitto atp finals 2026 20260728191143800	No	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x140dd0…
08-06 01:22:03	will russia capture kozacha lopan by december 31 2026 20260630005737621	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xf6da41…
08-06 01:21:20	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50b by august 31 20260731173840960	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x828560…
08-05 18:09:53	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha arrested by december 31 20260728192035733	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb0d063…
08-05 14:10:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x5a4288…
08-05 14:10:12	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xb44bcf…
08-05 13:02:45	Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x81d350…
08-05 08:58:35	will andrew yang announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241641	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xbe61f8…
08-05 04:59:47	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x4126d3…
08-05 04:59:18	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x277d4a…
08-05 04:59:17	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x661adf…
08-05 04:59:17	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x430bae…
08-05 03:29:00	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	No	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7a0a6a…
08-05 02:49:54	will neuralinks valuation hit high 50b by august 31 20260731173840960	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xd1b2a0…
08-04 21:55:03	Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x53ec71…
08-04 19:57:09	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0x39afcc…
08-04 17:53:24	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xcd80fa…
08-04 16:56:54	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	SELL	84	63¢	$53	0x30d340…
08-04 16:56:20	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x963400…
08-04 14:29:39	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x056c8c…
08-04 14:29:36	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x763b37…
08-04 13:38:02	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 75 or higher 20260723190836290	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x30fe98…
08-04 05:22:11	will russia capture kozacha lopan by december 31 2026 20260630005737621	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x1efb7c…
08-04 04:08:59	will bytedances valuation hit low 300b by december 31 20260701011753600	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xbffdfa…
08-04 03:03:54	will trump say mit or massachusetts institute of technology in august 20260728181450076	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xf8c7e0…
08-04 03:03:42	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	SELL	99	65¢	$64	0xba7309…
08-03 22:33:05	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xfd056a…
08-03 19:40:35	will russia capture stavky by september 30	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xce0b15…