Realized P&L (90d)
-$6.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$247
Hit rate
5.8%
Resolved (90d)
973
Trades (90d)
5,624
9,408 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$118.1K
$231.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$286
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 11-08 13:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 168 days
Categories
Other
69% 14% -$7,804
Politics
21% 5% -$2,107
Sports
6% 7% -$750
Tech
3% 3% -$174
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$29
Crypto
1% 7% -$168
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trevor Lawrence have 4,024.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +100 $55 50¢ $50 -$5 11-05 05:31
Will Olivia Colman be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +99 $43 41¢ $40 -$2 11-04 04:16
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027? No +100 $37 38¢ $38 +$1 11-03 22:51
Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +100 $54 32¢ $32 -$22 11-01 13:35
will eu emergency diesel stocks be at least 37m tonnes at end of december 2026 Yes — +100 $9 26¢ $26 +$17 10-02 15:26
Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +100 $28 17¢ $17 -$11 11-04 23:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%? Yes +25 $4 64¢ $16 +$12 11-01 15:24
Will Macklin Celebrini record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? Yes +100 $32 13¢ $13 -$19 11-05 04:01
Will Sam Darnold have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +100 $35 8¢ $8 -$26 11-04 18:57
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 15%-18%? Yes +20 $2 31¢ $6 +$4 11-02 20:10
Will Henrietta Modig Serrate be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kronoberg? No +100 $32 5¢ $5 -$27 11-04 20:57
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +54 $9 7¢ $4 -$5 10-16 19:26
Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +11 $2 30¢ $3 +$1 10-27 16:28
ossoff ahead of newsom on november 30 No +100 $50 3¢ $3 -$47 11-04 01:55
Will Jayden Maiava be the 2026 D1 Passing Yards Leader? Yes +100 $13 2¢ $2 -$11 10-30 16:06
Will Viper win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? Yes +100 $9 2¢ $2 -$7 09-22 22:48
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +40 $7 4¢ $2 -$5 09-25 14:02
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $8 7¢ $2 -$6 10-29 15:09
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? Yes +3 $1 55¢ $2 +$1 11-05 08:24
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? Yes +3 $2 55¢ $2 -$1 09-10 13:04
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? Yes +100 $34 1¢ $1 -$33 07-31 04:43
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 3¢ $1 -$4 09-29 18:43
Will Malachi Toney be the 2026 D1 Receiving Yards Leader? Yes +100 $26 1¢ $1 -$25 11-05 03:05
Will Athletico Paranaense be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A? Yes +81 $9 2¢ $1 -$8 10-31 02:20
Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +100 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 11-01 20:12
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +3 $0 44¢ $1 +$1 09-20 14:09
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? No +10 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 10-16 10:57
Will Georgia Tech have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? Yes +14 $4 7¢ $1 -$3 10-24 22:04
Will Ruth Madeley be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +3 $1 33¢ $1 $0 10-31 02:06
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the February meeting? Yes +65 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 11-02 18:01