Vibrant-Minority-Lace — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$906

Unrealized P&L

-$8

Hit rate

10.0%

Resolved (7d)

157

Trades (7d)

1,083

8,845 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$18.1K

$222.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-01 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

69% 15% -$7,339

Politics

21% 4% -$1,687

Sports

6% 7% -$715

Tech

3% 3% -$160

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$19

Crypto

1% 7% -$168

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+54	$9	8¢	$4	-$5	10-16 19:26
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$6	4¢	$2	-$4	09-29 18:43
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	No	+3	$0	48¢	$1	+$1	09-20 14:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+4	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	09-17 11:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	7	$757	1,098	0	+1,098	KT Rolster	-$606	05-17 07:11
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	3	$695	1,139	0	+1,139	Gentle Mates	-$695	05-11 04:50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$657	1,398	0	+1,398	MOUZ	-$657	05-12 03:46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	4	$631	1,697	0	+1,697	9z	+$635	05-11 10:50
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	1	$600	789	0	+789	T1	+$189	05-25 04:50
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	5	$488	970	0	+970	Knicks	+$12	05-23 14:26
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	3	$473	1,226	0	+1,226	Nongshim Red Force	-$303	05-18 05:15
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?	10	$452	400	400	+0	open	—	08-07 07:24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	8	$438	872	0	+872	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	05-25 11:31
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	20	$435	500	500	+0	open	—	10-23 18:00
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	10	$398	400	400	+0	open	—	10-26 13:58
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	10	$396	400	400	+0	Yes	-$26	07-25 08:09
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	4	$390	1,257	0	+1,257	Hanwha Life Esports	-$390	05-15 07:51
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	9	$378	308	308	+0	open	—	08-08 13:26
Dota 2: ex-HEROIC vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	5	$376	482	0	+482	Team Falcons	+$97	05-14 12:36
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	9	$375	400	400	+0	open	—	10-24 10:53
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	10	$372	380	380	+0	open	—	08-01 10:58
will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190836288	7	$350	300	300	+0	open	—	08-12 10:46
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	6	$344	300	300	+0	Yes	-$18	07-24 16:59
will g2 make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025730	10	$343	200	200	+0	No	-$3	07-02 01:39
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?	5	$339	200	200	+0	open	—	07-31 01:58
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?	7	$338	200	200	+0	No	-$6	07-20 20:18
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?	13	$338	300	300	+0	Yes	-$22	08-18 06:47
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	13	$332	360	360	+0	open	—	10-07 11:43
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	12	$331	637	0	+637	PARIVISION	-$206	05-21 12:12
will relay launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$329	200	200	+0	open	—	07-03 15:26
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$324	435	0	+435	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$106	05-16 09:14
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?	8	$323	677	0	+677	No	-$323	05-13 02:58
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	6	$319	300	299	+1	No	-$19	08-11 06:01
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flare?	4	$318	200	200	+0	No	-$10	10-04 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 22:08:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xac7115…
11-01 21:39:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x9c2782…
11-01 21:31:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xe8609f…
11-01 21:31:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0xca72ce…
11-01 21:31:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 35%-40%?	No	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x241d4e…
11-01 20:42:25	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x18706e…
11-01 20:42:09	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x1dffc5…
11-01 20:42:09	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x194bff…
11-01 20:22:51	Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	41	34¢	$14	0x19cac0…
11-01 20:12:36	Will Broad Front (FA) win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xf42b7d…
11-01 20:10:09	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xbc70db…
11-01 19:18:24	Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xb806d7…
11-01 19:17:28	Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x7deb31…
11-01 19:07:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado Senate election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xb2ee79…
11-01 18:19:18	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0xa8884d…
11-01 18:19:01	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x14de24…
11-01 18:18:10	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xcada71…
11-01 18:18:10	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xab25a3…
11-01 18:18:10	Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xa2200a…
11-01 17:57:21	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-05 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0x2ec482…
11-01 17:34:36	Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x506590…
11-01 16:55:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x06c2f0…
11-01 16:54:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x874aa0…
11-01 16:48:03	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x71d261…
11-01 16:48:01	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0xaa33ad…
11-01 16:48:01	Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?	Yes	BUY	59	28¢	$16	0x2784d4…
11-01 16:20:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x93894f…
11-01 16:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x81e09b…
11-01 16:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x5929ab…
11-01 16:08:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	64	12¢	$8	0x5eeaae…
11-01 16:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x311db7…
11-01 15:34:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	44	28¢	$12	0x5262b7…
11-01 15:26:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9766a3…
11-01 15:24:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x2a0e9e…
11-01 15:15:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x60b39f…
11-01 14:58:36	Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	88	58¢	$51	0xad9ff4…
11-01 14:49:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-01 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x266b3c…
11-01 14:44:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	48	81¢	$39	0x642f6f…
11-01 14:44:31	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x0c3c92…
11-01 14:43:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x3f0bb9…
11-01 14:43:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x1624e2…
11-01 14:43:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0x0a6554…
11-01 14:24:33	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xf23ff3…
11-01 14:21:03	Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x60be56…
11-01 14:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x176683…
11-01 14:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x7bf985…
11-01 13:53:27	Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9fec15…
11-01 13:53:25	Will Hili Tropper be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x24a77c…
11-01 13:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x83fa9b…
11-01 13:35:51	Will the Democrats win Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x35ad68…
11-01 13:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x84cd3e…
11-01 13:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x193107…
11-01 13:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x8fc4a1…
11-01 13:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x405296…
11-01 13:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xd8a3ee…
11-01 13:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x890e9a…
11-01 13:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	94	33¢	$31	0x5eae6e…
11-01 13:01:18	Will Serbia host the 2027 UEFA Nations League Finals?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x2765cc…
11-01 11:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0xbf0a7d…
11-01 11:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x8290f3…
11-01 11:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x04c00a…
11-01 11:54:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-04 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xb80c6d…
11-01 11:17:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?	No	BUY	78	76¢	$59	0x927294…
11-01 11:17:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5b8e12…
11-01 11:17:31	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Maryland be between 2,150,000 and 2,300,000?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x4b1908…
11-01 10:36:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-05 House election by 70%-75%?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x687b31…
11-01 10:33:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xce7ec1…
11-01 10:32:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-07 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x9d9bb5…
11-01 10:15:34	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,950,000 and 3,100,000?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x429242…
11-01 10:13:39	Will Sam Darnold have 3,199.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd1dd5d…
11-01 09:58:57	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x571158…
11-01 09:58:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xfc84eb…
11-01 09:58:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xf120a7…
11-01 09:58:15	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-13 House election by 60%-65%?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xd0ff0e…
11-01 09:53:55	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000?	No	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0x807bbf…
11-01 09:53:55	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x52466a…
11-01 09:38:54	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5082c3…
11-01 09:36:34	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x79401a…
11-01 09:00:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x7abb29…
11-01 08:54:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xb2f203…
11-01 08:52:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x946987…
11-01 08:52:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x6df8e7…
11-01 08:52:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x364cbc…
11-01 07:20:34	Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?	Yes	SELL	81	84¢	$68	0xf58c5e…
11-01 07:17:48	Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0xf1dd08…
11-01 07:17:04	Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x024ae6…
11-01 07:16:49	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xd9d1b4…
11-01 07:16:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x663d67…
11-01 07:14:30	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?	No	SELL	22	72¢	$16	0xe35d6d…
11-01 07:14:16	Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xe23ba6…
11-01 07:14:09	Will Democrats win 9 or more of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xe29160…
11-01 07:13:48	Will the Republicans win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x295ade…
11-01 07:13:34	Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x5ae010…
11-01 07:13:16	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x5932a8…
11-01 07:13:10	Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	46¢	$28	0x867035…
11-01 07:13:04	Will Anna Leigh Waters win six or more Triple Crowns in the 2026-27 PPA Tour season?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xa30f4f…
11-01 07:12:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-02 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x44d201…
11-01 07:12:43	Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x2e3a35…
11-01 07:12:33	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?	No	SELL	100	44¢	$44	0xfff511…
11-01 07:12:07	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	95	55¢	$52	0x798e7b…