Realized P&L
-$11.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$108
Hit rate
11.9%
Resolved
1,641
Trades
9,544
lifetime
Volume
$231.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$118
22 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 11-11 04:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
69% 14% -$7,902
Politics
21% 5% -$2,347
Sports
6% 7% -$750
Tech
3% 8% -$198
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$29
Crypto
1% 7% -$168
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000? No +93 $66 74¢ $69 +$3 11-03 12:04
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027? No +100 $37 39¢ $39 +$2 11-03 22:51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 15%-18%? Yes +20 $2 22¢ $4 +$3 11-02 20:10
Will Borjana Krišto be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? Yes +100 $38 3¢ $3 -$35 07-03 18:58
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $0 09-20 15:25
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027? Yes +2 $2 28¢ $1 -$1 10-10 12:44
Will England be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27? Yes +100 $23 0¢ $0 -$23 09-11 19:37
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? No +0 $0 78¢ $0 +$0 11-05 00:48
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%? Yes +114 $13 0¢ $0 -$12 10-31 18:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more? No +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 11-01 16:54
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division? Yes +1 $1 24¢ $0 $0 11-04 03:12
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +13 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 10-20 05:28
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +0 -$3 22¢ $0 +$3 11-10 13:30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 09-17 11:27
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-01 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +0 $5 94¢ $0 -$5 11-01 23:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 25%-30%? No +0 $19 2¢ $0 -$19 10-29 14:59
Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election? No +0 $2 34¢ $0 -$2 11-04 11:20
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 $0 08-08 20:41
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? Yes — +1 $15 1¢ $0 -$15 07-26 16:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? No +0 $0 21¢ $0 $0 10-29 17:25
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 08-10 06:35
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 08-15 14:01