Will Trump pardon Roger Stone before 2027?
open
Total volume
$295
Trades
28
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$5
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-12
last 07-13 05:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $5 | $17 | $12 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $22 | $119 | $96 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | $21 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $4 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | $14 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $119 | $119 |
| unranked | 3 | $9 | $20 | $11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | +56 | $33 | $204 | 7 | 07-13 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +31 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-13 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $10 | $26 | 5 | 07-13 05:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 07-12 13:06 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-19 14:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-11 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-10 14:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-10 16:32 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-12 13:06 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 07-12 13:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 05:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 20¢ | $6 | 0x4cacf9… |
| 07-13 05:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x4cacf9… |
| 07-13 05:32:37 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 56 | 80¢ | $45 | 0x4cacf9… |
| 07-12 13:06:10 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 21¢ | $5 | 0x8b6761… |
| 07-12 13:06:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | No | BUY | 4 | 79¢ | $3 | 0x8b6761… |
| 07-12 13:06:10 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | SELL | 57 | 82¢ | $47 | 0x8b6761… |
| 07-12 13:06:10 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x8b6761… |
| 07-12 13:06:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x8b6761… |
| 07-11 19:58:41 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x6dd66d… |
| 07-11 19:58:41 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x6dd66d… |
| 07-11 19:58:41 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $37 | 0x6dd66d… |
| 07-11 19:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 27¢ | $7 | 0x6dd66d… |
| 07-10 16:32:53 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x887ae2… |
| 07-10 16:32:53 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x887ae2… |
| 07-10 16:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x0cebb5… |
| 07-10 16:32:52 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0cebb5… |
| 07-10 16:32:52 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | SELL | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x0cebb5… |
| 07-10 14:18:58 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x22d5f6… |
| 07-10 14:18:58 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x22d5f6… |
| 07-10 14:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xf203b1… |
| 07-10 14:15:55 | Dear-Acoustics 0x90f7…2501 | No | BUY | 45 | 74¢ | $33 | 0xf203b1… |
| 07-10 14:15:55 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 26¢ | $5 | 0xf203b1… |
| 06-25 08:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x4a10a1… |
| 06-25 08:07:07 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x4a10a1… |
| 06-19 14:41:49 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x17fd7a… |
| 06-19 14:41:49 | (anonymous) 0xfd1c…4c80 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $14 | 0x17fd7a… |
| 06-12 07:00:19 | (anonymous) 0x7600…787e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1dbdbc… |
| 06-12 07:00:19 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x1dbdbc… |