Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
76.1%
Resolved
3
Trades
910
lifetime
Volume
$6.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$144
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-21 08:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
92% 50% $-2
Politics
4% 100% +$1
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +9 $2 62¢ $6 +$4 07-07 00:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +13 $2 41¢ $5 +$3 07-12 16:48
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 07-06 07:09
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-15 11:37
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-15 09:23
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-17 03:00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-13 11:31
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 07-02 15:03
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 07-12 17:35
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-16 15:39
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-08 01:24
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-10 01:01
Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-30 16:45
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-20 07:32
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-19 07:59
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-10 08:13
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 07-15 15:19
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-06 00:35
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-07 22:03
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-20 01:02
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-08 00:51
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-13 10:42
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-14 23:41
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-15 20:20
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-09 09:13
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-16 20:59
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-21 08:49
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-20 01:56
Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-12 14:57
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 07-11 02:51