Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
open
Total volume
$861
Trades
93
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$10,975
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-27 20:55
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $4 | $61 | $58 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $14 | $121 | $107 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $3 | $7 | $4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $22 | $68 | $46 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 7 | $5 | $164 | $158 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $9 | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $61 | $61 |
| unranked | 10 | $22 | $17 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +70 | $6 | $16 | 5 | 07-13 13:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | +67 | $5 | $16 | 3 | 07-27 15:19 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +66 | $6 | $6 | 9 | 07-27 15:49 |
| Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 07-27 20:55 |
| Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-27 10:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 18:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 20:55:48 | (anonymous) 0xf791…cd37 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x866e5f… |
| 07-27 20:55:48 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x866e5f… |
| 07-27 18:51:39 | Grand-Charity 0xd64d…5583 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x861b12… |
| 07-27 18:51:39 | Shameless-Ideal 0x0262…a9d2 | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x861b12… |
| 07-27 15:51:12 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x102abb… |
| 07-27 15:51:12 | (anonymous) 0x1297…0244 | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x102abb… |
| 07-27 15:49:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x83a360… |
| 07-27 15:49:43 | (anonymous) 0xf791…cd37 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x83a360… |
| 07-27 15:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x6372e4… |
| 07-27 15:19:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x6372e4… |
| 07-27 13:51:01 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xb286f9… |
| 07-27 13:51:01 | Grand-Charity 0xd64d…5583 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xb286f9… |
| 07-27 10:44:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x35f02e… |
| 07-27 10:44:40 | Unpleasant-Receiver 0x9238…25e9 | No | SELL | 7 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x35f02e… |
| 07-27 10:44:40 | Content-Lunchroom 0xb1c4…293d | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x35f02e… |
| 07-27 09:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x1297…0244 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x0ffaa7… |
| 07-27 09:28:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0ffaa7… |
| 07-27 04:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x704277… |
| 07-27 04:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x00b7…24ed | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x704277… |
| 07-27 03:33:51 | Unpleasant-Receiver 0x9238…25e9 | No | BUY | 7 | 93¢ | $7 | 0x3fbb1a… |
| 07-27 03:33:51 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x3fbb1a… |
| 07-27 03:33:51 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x3fbb1a… |
| 07-26 23:55:48 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x5e6e5d… |
| 07-26 23:55:48 | (anonymous) 0x00b7…24ed | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x5e6e5d… |
| 07-25 11:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x247f…c91b | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xceff14… |
| 07-25 11:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xceff14… |
| 07-25 04:31:22 | (anonymous) 0x247f…c91b | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xda26a5… |
| 07-25 04:31:22 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xda26a5… |
| 07-24 19:07:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x92c786… |
| 07-24 19:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x1f6f…b499 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x92c786… |
| 07-24 15:05:10 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x54e920… |
| 07-24 15:05:10 | (anonymous) 0x1f6f…b499 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x54e920… |
| 07-23 20:08:43 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | SELL | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x751d11… |
| 07-23 20:08:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0x751d11… |
| 07-14 14:01:47 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0x2c48b5… |
| 07-14 14:01:47 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0x2c48b5… |
| 07-14 14:01:20 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 67 | 92¢ | $61 | 0xbdb9d8… |
| 07-14 14:01:20 | (anonymous) 0xab3b…59da | Yes | BUY | 67 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xbdb9d8… |
| 07-14 05:07:28 | (anonymous) 0xd92c…0603 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x597407… |
| 07-14 05:07:28 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0x597407… |
| 07-13 17:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x1ee320… |
| 07-13 17:13:31 | (anonymous) 0x3185…fbcc | No | SELL | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x1ee320… |
| 07-13 13:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x3185…fbcc | No | BUY | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x8390a5… |
| 07-13 13:08:55 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8390a5… |
| 07-13 13:08:55 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x8390a5… |
| 07-12 19:47:16 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 64 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x049dc7… |
| 07-12 19:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 64 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x049dc7… |
| 07-12 19:46:40 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 64 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x661824… |
| 07-12 19:46:40 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 64 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x661824… |
| 07-11 14:22:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdffd6e… |
| 07-11 14:22:35 | Fruitful-Gazelle 0x72b3…2d3f | No | SELL | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0xdffd6e… |
| 07-11 10:18:23 | Fruitful-Gazelle 0x72b3…2d3f | No | BUY | 7 | 92¢ | $6 | 0x8bca82… |
| 07-11 10:18:23 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8bca82… |
| 07-07 19:45:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x3d3f56… |
| 07-07 19:45:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x3d3f56… |
| 07-07 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 58 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x89eb63… |
| 07-07 19:45:02 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x89eb63… |
| 07-07 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 50 | 92¢ | $46 | 0x89eb63… |
| 07-07 09:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xe079cd… |
| 07-07 09:33:07 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 27 | 93¢ | $25 | 0xe079cd… |
| 06-30 17:35:17 | Glossy-Pathogenesis 0xe520…f436 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0xed2860… |
| 06-30 17:35:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xed2860… |
| 06-30 17:26:40 | Glossy-Pathogenesis 0xe520…f436 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xbdf8ce… |
| 06-30 17:26:40 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xbdf8ce… |
| 06-23 19:14:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x89e52d… |
| 06-23 19:14:52 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x89e52d… |
| 06-23 19:14:52 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x89e52d… |
| 06-21 18:26:47 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x842580… |
| 06-21 18:26:47 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x842580… |
| 06-20 14:18:22 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0xb5c0ad… |
| 06-20 14:18:22 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xb5c0ad… |
| 06-19 00:40:23 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x04cef7… |
| 06-19 00:40:23 | Tender-Year 0x0a1c…efaf | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x04cef7… |
| 06-12 11:22:15 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x92978e… |
| 06-12 11:22:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x92978e… |
| 06-07 09:25:24 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xa513d4… |
| 06-07 09:25:24 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xa513d4… |
| 06-07 09:23:12 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x746b49… |
| 06-07 09:23:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x746b49… |
| 06-07 09:21:04 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xbb88ea… |
| 06-07 09:21:04 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbb88ea… |
| 06-04 14:03:09 | Tender-Year 0x0a1c…efaf | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x43c1f2… |
| 06-04 14:03:09 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x43c1f2… |
| 05-31 02:17:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xa457a2… |
| 05-31 02:17:12 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa457a2… |
| 05-31 02:17:12 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa457a2… |
| 05-30 08:06:08 | (anonymous) 0xd92c…0603 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc6bcb9… |
| 05-30 08:06:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xc6bcb9… |
| 05-30 06:54:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 45 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x50c412… |
| 05-30 06:54:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x50c412… |
| 05-30 03:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 168 | 9¢ | $15 | 0xcc23dc… |
| 05-30 03:21:19 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | No | SELL | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0xcc23dc… |
| 05-30 03:21:19 | (anonymous) 0x9dc2…0727 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcc23dc… |