Realized P&L
+$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.70K
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
1,597
Trades
14,857
lifetime
Volume
$525.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$17.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 16:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% +$11,950
Other
44% 69% +$3,789
Sports
2% 77% +$8
Crypto
0% 67% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,001 $1,241 2¢ $1.9K +$616 11-10 22:27
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1,783 $1,764 99¢ $1.8K -$2 11-08 04:57
Will Kelly Morrison be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? Yes +2,039 $870 76¢ $1.5K +$679 11-13 23:49
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,589 $1,430 97¢ $1.5K +$111 11-07 23:20
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1,421 $1,393 98¢ $1.4K +$6 11-07 18:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,359 $1,207 96¢ $1.3K +$104 11-04 19:34
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,073 $971 98¢ $1.1K +$81 11-08 02:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,000 $850 90¢ $900 +$50 11-04 05:04
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +740 $718 97¢ $715 -$3 11-14 16:03
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +687 $679 98¢ $672 -$7 11-11 03:24
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +619 $601 99¢ $610 +$9 11-14 08:28
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -558 -$320 100¢ $-557 -$237 11-02 16:45
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,694 $388 15¢ $403 +$15 11-06 22:08
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +365 $337 98¢ $358 +$20 11-04 13:28
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,050 $350 3¢ $327 -$24 11-14 11:09
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,248 -$453 26¢ $-325 +$128 11-11 01:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,986 $260 5¢ $320 +$60 11-13 21:00
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +319 $287 92¢ $294 +$7 11-06 20:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +301 $194 94¢ $284 +$91 08-25 19:46
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +231 $198 100¢ $230 +$32 08-29 01:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +747 $276 29¢ $220 -$56 11-09 19:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $193 97¢ $195 +$1 11-05 03:45
Will Angie Craig be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? No +200 $162 92¢ $185 +$23 11-11 21:31
Will the Republicans win Tennessee in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +167 $136 86¢ $144 +$9 11-14 05:03
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +177 $116 74¢ $132 +$16 11-14 03:15
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? No -112 -$101 94¢ $-106 -$4 07-27 03:33
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +23,192 $129 0¢ $104 -$25 11-14 14:03
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,539 $126 2¢ $101 -$24 11-13 14:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$10 08-15 17:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $68 79¢ $79 +$11 09-29 19:12