Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$33
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
3,136
lifetime
Volume
$82.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$4.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 23:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56% 70% $-19
Other
36% 56% $-36
Sports
7%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -1,094 $-1,041 96¢ $-1055 $-14 06-27 21:57
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -652 $-630 96¢ $-625 +$4 06-09 04:19
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -221 $-219 97¢ $-214 +$6 06-25 11:56
Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No -200 $-194 96¢ $-192 +$2 06-25 17:21
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? No -198 $-181 92¢ $-181 $-0 06-04 00:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +178 $150 99¢ $176 +$27 06-27 04:10
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +182 $177 97¢ $176 $-1 06-24 22:36
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -160 $-153 97¢ $-155 $-2 06-27 00:25
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? No +165 $153 92¢ $153 +$0 06-25 14:51
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +150 $144 96¢ $145 +$0 06-16 08:04
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +129 $122 93¢ $119 $-2 06-29 22:53
Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +118 $112 97¢ $115 +$3 06-29 23:10
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +105 $99 96¢ $101 +$1 06-11 19:55
Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +100 $96 98¢ $98 +$2 06-15 10:23
Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +101 $96 96¢ $97 +$1 06-29 00:30
Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +107 $100 90¢ $97 $-3 06-27 10:04
Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +97 $93 99¢ $97 +$3 06-27 03:25
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +100 $95 95¢ $95 +$0 06-30 14:41
Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +95 $90 97¢ $92 +$2 06-29 02:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +105 $90 88¢ $92 +$2 06-20 16:52
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -96 $-94 94¢ $-91 +$3 06-24 23:14
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +93 $88 97¢ $90 +$3 06-29 23:03
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +94 $87 94¢ $88 +$1 06-27 18:21
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -86 $-81 98¢ $-84 $-3 06-28 21:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $70 70¢ $70 $-0 06-30 23:52
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +67 $64 97¢ $65 +$0 06-27 14:30
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +68 $63 90¢ $61 $-2 06-28 22:17
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +66 $60 90¢ $60 $-0 06-27 05:26
Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $57 95¢ $57 +$0 06-22 08:19
Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +60 $56 94¢ $56 +$0 06-29 14:37