Realized P&L
+$15.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.80K
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
1,599
Trades
14,961
lifetime
Volume
$526.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$18.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 15:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Politics
54% 67% +$11,957
Other
44% 69% +$3,789
Sports
2% 77% +$8
Crypto
0% 67% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,001 $1,241 2¢ $1.9K +$616 11-10 22:27
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1,783 $1,764 99¢ $1.8K +$5 11-08 04:57
Will Kelly Morrison be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? Yes +2,038 $870 76¢ $1.5K +$679 11-15 04:17
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,589 $1,430 97¢ $1.5K +$111 11-07 23:20
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1,421 $1,393 98¢ $1.4K +$6 11-07 18:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,359 $1,207 97¢ $1.3K +$112 11-04 19:34
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +1,106 $1,080 98¢ $1.1K +$8 11-15 08:03
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,073 $971 98¢ $1.1K +$81 11-08 02:07
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,000 $850 90¢ $898 +$48 11-04 05:04
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +740 $718 97¢ $715 -$3 11-14 16:03
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +687 $679 98¢ $672 -$7 11-11 03:24
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -558 -$320 100¢ $-557 -$237 11-02 16:45
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,694 $388 15¢ $397 +$10 11-06 22:08
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +365 $337 98¢ $358 +$20 11-04 13:28
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,050 $350 3¢ $342 -$9 11-14 11:09
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,248 -$453 26¢ $-328 +$126 11-11 01:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,986 $260 5¢ $320 +$60 11-13 21:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +301 $194 96¢ $287 +$94 08-25 19:46
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +231 $198 99¢ $229 +$32 08-29 01:29
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 60%-65%? No +228 $128 96¢ $219 +$91 09-23 03:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +747 $276 28¢ $210 -$66 11-09 19:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $193 97¢ $195 +$1 11-05 03:45
Will Angie Craig be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? No +200 $162 92¢ $185 +$23 11-11 21:31
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +170 $157 95¢ $162 +$5 11-14 23:34
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +23,792 $132 1¢ $131 -$1 11-15 01:26
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +177 $116 72¢ $128 +$12 11-14 03:15
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? No -112 -$101 94¢ $-106 -$4 07-27 03:33
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? No +108 $101 96¢ $103 +$2 11-14 23:09
Will the Republicans win Tennessee in the 2028 Presidential Election? Yes +118 $93 86¢ $102 +$9 11-15 15:07
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,539 $126 2¢ $101 -$24 11-13 14:23