Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
3,321
lifetime
Volume
$90.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$5.39K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 23:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59% 70% $-19
Other
34% 56% $-36
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? No -1,143 $-1,088 98¢ $-1118 $-30 07-02 17:55
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -602 $-581 97¢ $-586 $-5 07-16 16:46
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027? No +311 $284 94¢ $291 +$7 07-16 13:54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +305 $263 94¢ $286 +$23 07-18 21:18
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +338 $266 80¢ $269 +$3 07-19 17:56
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? No -258 $-248 98¢ $-253 $-5 07-16 23:54
Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +250 $243 99¢ $246 +$3 07-18 00:29
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -237 $-228 98¢ $-232 $-3 07-06 11:21
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -221 $-219 98¢ $-216 +$3 06-25 11:56
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +217 $205 95¢ $205 +$0 07-17 23:20
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -205 $-194 96¢ $-196 $-2 07-20 14:00
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +185 $167 91¢ $168 +$1 07-16 13:56
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -140 $-136 98¢ $-137 $-1 07-18 04:52
Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No +118 $115 99¢ $117 +$2 07-02 15:14
Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? No +123 $113 94¢ $115 +$2 07-07 13:23
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +105 $99 96¢ $100 +$1 06-11 19:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $70 99¢ $99 +$29 06-30 23:52
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? Yes +110 $92 86¢ $95 +$4 07-16 19:22
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -96 $-94 96¢ $-92 +$2 06-24 23:14
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -92 $-89 97¢ $-89 +$0 07-05 04:31
Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +91 $84 94¢ $85 +$1 07-16 02:02
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -60 $-56 94¢ $-57 $-0 07-05 01:54
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +58 $54 94¢ $55 +$2 07-14 04:41
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +59 $49 92¢ $54 +$4 07-10 17:06
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +55 $49 97¢ $53 +$4 06-20 14:32
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? No -42 $-36 94¢ $-39 $-3 07-20 12:35
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? No -41 $-38 92¢ $-38 +$0 07-14 05:07
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No -34 $-31 99¢ $-34 $-3 06-14 06:30
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +33 $27 98¢ $32 +$5 07-13 06:21
Will the Los Angeles Angels clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +32 $31 98¢ $32 +$0 06-24 14:38