Realized P&L
+$14.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.43K
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
1,583
Trades
14,842
lifetime
Volume
$524.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$20.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-14 03:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Politics
54% 68% +$11,187
Other
44% 69% +$3,691
Sports
2% 77% +$8
Crypto
0% 67% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +79,001 $1,241 2¢ $1.9K +$616 11-10 22:27
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1,783 $1,764 99¢ $1.8K -$2 11-08 04:57
Will Kelly Morrison be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? Yes +2,039 $870 76¢ $1.6K +$689 11-13 23:49
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,589 $1,430 97¢ $1.5K +$111 11-07 23:20
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1,421 $1,393 98¢ $1.4K +$6 11-07 18:36
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,359 $1,207 96¢ $1.3K +$102 11-04 19:34
Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +1,073 $971 98¢ $1.1K +$81 11-08 02:07
Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +1,046 $935 94¢ $984 +$49 11-06 04:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,000 $850 90¢ $901 +$51 11-04 05:04
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +869 $774 92¢ $804 +$30 11-06 04:23
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +687 $679 98¢ $672 -$7 11-11 03:24
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +694 $673 97¢ $670 -$3 11-07 18:35
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +700 $616 90¢ $633 +$17 11-06 04:23
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +606 $589 99¢ $599 +$9 11-08 07:59
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes -558 -$320 100¢ $-557 -$236 11-02 16:45
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,694 $388 15¢ $411 +$23 11-06 22:08
will jon stewart announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241628 No +413 $352 88¢ $364 +$12 11-06 04:21
Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +365 $337 98¢ $358 +$20 11-04 13:28
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,248 -$453 26¢ $-326 +$127 11-11 01:45
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,986 $260 5¢ $326 +$66 11-13 21:00
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +9,750 $341 3¢ $307 -$34 11-12 07:37
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028? No +319 $287 92¢ $294 +$7 11-06 20:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +301 $194 94¢ $284 +$91 08-25 19:46
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +247 -$336 100¢ $246 +$582 10-22 03:17
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? Yes +231 $198 99¢ $229 +$32 08-29 01:29
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes +747 $276 30¢ $224 -$52 11-09 19:09
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $193 97¢ $195 +$1 11-05 03:45
Will Angie Craig be the next to hold Klobuchar's Senate seat by March 31? No +200 $162 94¢ $187 +$25 11-11 21:31
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes +177 $116 75¢ $133 +$17 11-14 03:15
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? No -112 -$101 94¢ $-106 -$4 07-27 03:33