Will the Republican Party win the CA-43 House seat?
open
Total volume
$10,524
$29 in 24h
Trades
166
Unique wallets
65
Liquidity
$33,840
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-26 16:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 1% YES on $2.6K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $6.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 20 | $164 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $112 | $3.4K | $3.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $7 | $218 | $211 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $1 | $665 | $664 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $14 | $2.5K | $2.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $48 | $46 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $97 | $1.0K | $910 |
| Median | 13 | — | $830 | $830 |
| Below median | 4 | $18 | $431 | $413 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $13 | $1 | +$12 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $16 | $719 | $703 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 21 | $123 | $241 | $118 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +1,282 | $75 | $119 | 11 | 08-17 16:02 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +1,078 | $1,008 | $1,008 | 12 | 06-22 18:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | +259 | $246 | $246 | 3 | 05-26 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +227 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 08-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +227 | $216 | $216 | 1 | 08-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | +213 | $9 | $9 | 6 | 10-26 16:37 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +165 | $5 | $8 | 2 | 10-25 06:31 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +104 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x19f0…3f53 | No | +84 | $81 | $81 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| Pink-Revelation 0x6ca3…0731 | No | +78 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d93…88a8 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| Responsible-Concept 0x8e8d…5a27 | Yes | +60 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-10 03:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xc73e…1b1c | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd56f…a1eb | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-30 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e5…a13e | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 08-30 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3b8…720c | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x641e…79b3 | No | +53 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0x00ac…cf0d | No | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5f7…99af | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 08-30 01:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdbe6…9e78 | No | +49 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 09-30 03:53 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-16 21:20 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | Yes | +43 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-15 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3d0…9e78 | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 08-30 01:57 |
| Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 08-10 07:58 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-25 09:01 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-16 03:33 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-26 16:37 |
| Infinite-Vise-Wombat 0x6980…ad28 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-01 14:25 |
| Hungry-Kneejerk 0xc4db…7e0c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-15 08:24 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 10-15 08:24 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-05 07:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:37:12 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0x9f3ff9… |
| 10-26 16:37:12 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9f3ff9… |
| 10-25 09:01:36 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | BUY | 22 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x8baa95… |
| 10-25 09:01:36 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x8baa95… |
| 10-25 09:01:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8baa95… |
| 10-25 06:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x55d213… |
| 10-25 06:31:14 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | SELL | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x55d213… |
| 10-24 05:48:14 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xab3885… |
| 10-24 05:48:14 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xab3885… |
| 10-21 10:03:54 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa71f1d… |
| 10-21 10:03:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xa71f1d… |
| 10-16 21:20:51 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x32c11f… |
| 10-16 21:20:51 | (anonymous) 0x1946…6367 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x32c11f… |
| 10-16 03:33:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xeaace7… |
| 10-16 03:33:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xeaace7… |
| 10-15 08:24:26 | (anonymous) 0xd2ce…e6c8 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x75164f… |
| 10-15 08:24:26 | Hungry-Kneejerk 0xc4db…7e0c | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x75164f… |
| 10-15 08:24:26 | (anonymous) 0x9129…dd8e | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x75164f… |
| 10-15 08:24:26 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x75164f… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x5d93…88a8 | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x9129…dd8e | Yes | SELL | 149 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | Pink-Revelation 0x6ca3…0731 | No | BUY | 78 | 97¢ | $76 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x19f0…3f53 | No | BUY | 84 | 97¢ | $81 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xa3b8…720c | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xc73e…1b1c | No | BUY | 56 | 97¢ | $54 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x641e…79b3 | No | BUY | 53 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 835 | 97¢ | $809 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | Attached-Schedule 0xfe41…9f23 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0x00ac…cf0d | No | BUY | 51 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x257a35… |
| 09-30 03:53:50 | (anonymous) 0xdbe6…9e78 | No | BUY | 49 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x257a35… |
| 08-30 01:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xc6e5…a13e | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0x8a5cf0… |
| 08-30 01:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xd56f…a1eb | No | BUY | 55 | 97¢ | $53 | 0x8a5cf0… |
| 08-30 01:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xa3d0…9e78 | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x8a5cf0… |
| 08-30 01:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xe5f7…99af | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x8a5cf0… |
| 08-30 01:57:31 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 200 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x8a5cf0… |
| 08-25 19:51:54 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6e9f08… |
| 08-25 19:51:54 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x6e9f08… |
| 08-17 16:24:52 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc2242d… |
| 08-17 16:24:52 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xc2242d… |
| 08-17 16:02:33 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 610 | 97¢ | $591 | 0xedf625… |
| 08-17 16:02:33 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | SELL | 610 | 3¢ | $19 | 0xedf625… |
| 08-12 14:40:48 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x248432… |
| 08-12 14:40:48 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x248432… |
| 08-11 12:34:34 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x7f0204… |
| 08-11 12:34:34 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0x7f0204… |
| 08-11 12:05:18 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x91fee2… |
| 08-11 12:05:18 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 229 | 97¢ | $222 | 0x91fee2… |
| 08-11 12:05:18 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x91fee2… |
| 08-11 05:00:04 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 25 | 97¢ | $24 | 0x3f3962… |
| 08-11 05:00:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x3f3962… |
| 08-10 08:37:10 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x657ab0… |
| 08-10 08:37:10 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x657ab0… |
| 08-10 07:58:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc7ef75… |
| 08-10 07:58:19 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xc7ef75… |
| 08-10 07:58:19 | Linear-Leaver 0x2811…6818 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xc7ef75… |
| 08-10 03:37:15 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x500d51… |
| 08-10 03:37:15 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x500d51… |
| 08-10 03:37:10 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x43e34b… |
| 08-10 03:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x43e34b… |
| 08-10 03:37:07 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x6a7b4e… |
| 08-10 03:37:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x6a7b4e… |
| 08-10 03:37:07 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 23 | 97¢ | $22 | 0x6a7b4e… |
| 08-10 03:37:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x90c124… |
| 08-10 03:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x90c124… |
| 08-10 03:29:45 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | SELL | 21 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5af20e… |
| 08-10 03:29:45 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x5af20e… |
| 08-10 03:29:19 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x1d34e5… |
| 08-10 03:29:19 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x1d34e5… |
| 08-10 03:26:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x391a1d… |
| 08-10 03:26:51 | Jumbo-Coin 0xf333…ba41 | Yes | SELL | 355 | 3¢ | $11 | 0x391a1d… |
| 08-10 03:26:51 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 315 | 97¢ | $305 | 0x391a1d… |
| 08-10 03:26:33 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x571e1e… |
| 08-10 03:26:33 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x571e1e… |
| 08-10 03:26:31 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde1331… |
| 08-10 03:26:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xde1331… |
| 08-10 03:26:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1d33d4… |
| 08-10 03:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1d33d4… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | SELL | 910 | 4¢ | $37 | 0x41b379… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x41b379… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 500 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x41b379… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 65 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x41b379… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | Jumbo-Coin 0xf333…ba41 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3adcda… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | Jumbo-Coin 0xf333…ba41 | Yes | BUY | 315 | 4¢ | $13 | 0x41b379… |
| 08-10 03:26:22 | (anonymous) 0xa552…3306 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3adcda… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 104 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x9129…dd8e | Yes | BUY | 168 | 6¢ | $10 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Roasted-Eyeglasses 0x33c4…8ba3 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 6¢ | $14 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x268bfc… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 94 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x268bfc… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | Yes | BUY | 317 | 6¢ | $18 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xe89477… |
| 08-10 03:26:21 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe89477… |