Grumpy-Invader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

476

Trades

13,972

lifetime

Volume

$174.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-01 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-11

Politics

29% — —

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

9% 89% $-42

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 485 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	126	$2.7K	1,964	1,963	+1	open	—	07-07 11:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	130	$2.6K	2,450	2,498	-48	open	—	07-22 19:00
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	95	$1.4K	1,542	1,540	+1	open	—	07-19 18:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	46	$1.3K	1,411	1,410	+1	open	—	08-01 11:54
taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	76	$1.3K	1,168	1,167	+1	open	—	07-02 23:03
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	90	$1.2K	1,273	1,272	+1	open	—	07-14 00:52
israel closes its airspace by july 24	39	$1.2K	890	888	+1	open	—	07-20 18:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	65	$1.2K	1,137	1,136	+1	open	—	07-20 06:12
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	77	$1.2K	1,438	1,437	+1	open	—	07-12 21:58
iran full airspace closure by july 24	44	$1.0K	1,159	1,158	+0	open	—	07-24 19:56
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	36	$1.0K	738	737	+0	open	—	07-20 02:44
will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	34	$1.0K	600	643	-43	open	—	06-21 03:44
will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	43	$1.0K	701	700	+1	open	—	07-25 01:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	35	$907	694	694	+0	open	—	07-14 02:00
will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	24	$890	490	490	+0	open	—	06-22 10:36
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	25	$850	647	645	+2	open	—	06-26 15:52
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	59	$836	883	883	+1	open	—	07-15 23:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	36	$832	733	781	-49	open	—	06-17 06:17
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	30	$806	533	532	+1	open	—	07-19 09:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	33	$799	737	737	-1	open	—	05-23 05:16
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	39	$791	697	696	+1	open	—	07-11 02:24
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	44	$778	873	872	+2	open	—	06-22 19:13
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	29	$777	608	607	+1	open	—	07-24 11:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	42	$760	770	706	+64	open	—	06-14 22:53
will lab dip to 6 before 2027	30	$748	501	501	+1	open	—	06-29 12:50
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	34	$730	726	726	+0	open	—	05-17 16:09
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	29	$683	610	609	+1	open	—	06-30 19:12
will trump say crazy or amazing 5 times during ufc 250 20260610182827976	36	$683	546	586	-40	open	—	06-17 16:59
qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	16	$661	362	361	+1	open	—	07-25 13:56
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	24	$636	488	488	+0	open	—	06-17 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 11:54:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	88¢	$66	0xe30ae8…
08-01 11:47:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xcf0040…
08-01 11:45:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	46	3¢	$2	0xaf0f2f…
08-01 11:44:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xa918ee…
08-01 11:40:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xd84bc7…
08-01 11:40:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xafe096…
08-01 11:33:03	will rhilech penta in lec summer split 2026 20260730211945175	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x2f4b7d…
08-01 11:30:08	will armao penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856623	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x60a8a0…
08-01 11:29:57	will rhilech penta in lec summer split 2026 20260730211945175	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe9f0b2…
08-01 11:27:08	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8b5125…
08-01 11:26:08	will armao penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856623	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf65fe0…
08-01 11:24:42	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa7286…
08-01 11:13:51	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by august 31 20260730190051267	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x51e145…
08-01 11:00:06	will ewy dip to 158 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x998063…
08-01 10:56:36	will canvas valuation hit low 38b by august 31 20260730190051273	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x2c0340…
08-01 10:52:06	will canvas valuation hit low 38b by august 31 20260730190051273	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc7a061…
08-01 10:50:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x79b8e4…
08-01 10:48:54	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by august 31 20260730190051267	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd29cf2…
08-01 10:48:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x3e8728…
08-01 10:46:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0xe74544…
08-01 10:43:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0xfa7b9b…
08-01 10:35:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	91¢	$68	0xe675c1…
08-01 10:32:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0xb24300…
08-01 10:26:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0xbd4642…
08-01 10:24:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0xb56c55…
08-01 10:21:57	will amzn reach 272 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0xb3a957…
08-01 10:19:08	will amzn reach 272 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xa8707b…
08-01 10:18:08	will ewy reach 164 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x166d4a…
08-01 10:17:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xd2838f…
08-01 10:14:59	will ewy reach 164 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0xfd48a0…
08-01 10:14:59	will ewy reach 164 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x7f3401…
08-01 10:14:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xd8de76…
08-01 10:11:23	will ewy reach 164 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x9f845f…
08-01 10:03:59	will ewy reach 164 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x3da631…
08-01 09:46:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x10e5da…
08-01 09:42:11	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x7c9da6…
08-01 09:34:00	will ewy reach 164 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0x2f232f…
08-01 09:07:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x7623f5…
08-01 09:06:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0xdda129…
08-01 09:05:02	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x226ca1…
08-01 09:03:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x419401…
08-01 09:02:59	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x476667…
08-01 09:01:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x46930a…
08-01 08:54:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x71038f…
08-01 08:52:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x78ba0f…
08-01 08:49:15	will cryogen penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856621	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x072e26…
08-01 08:46:09	will cryogen penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856621	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb59639…
08-01 08:44:51	will namgung get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536362	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x4c5a63…
08-01 08:42:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x393a6a…
08-01 08:40:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0x155c3c…
08-01 08:40:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x6af397…
08-01 08:35:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xf94f0f…
08-01 08:35:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	89¢	$67	0xb0a947…
08-01 08:33:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x99074d…
08-01 08:28:57	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$2	0x27cfd4…
08-01 08:26:12	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xc9af8e…
08-01 07:52:54	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x47450b…
08-01 07:48:17	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x916019…
08-01 07:45:05	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x1d4cb9…
08-01 07:43:17	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x37090d…
08-01 07:39:45	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x7ae4e7…
08-01 07:37:53	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260731142815987	No	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xc6d3c7…
08-01 07:32:50	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260731142815987	No	SELL	56	2¢	$1	0xa84138…
08-01 07:32:41	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x7b70c6…
08-01 07:31:35	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260731142815987	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x97392f…
08-01 07:30:29	will lospa penta in lec summer split 2026 20260730211945153	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x921ecd…
08-01 07:26:50	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0xadbd42…
08-01 07:22:33	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0xd63dc2…
08-01 07:21:41	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x7c30c9…
08-01 07:19:45	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	No	SELL	75	88¢	$66	0x312fa0…
08-01 07:19:12	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x54839e…
08-01 07:19:08	will trump meet with xi jinping in august 2026 20260731154202610	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x3fc2e0…
08-01 07:16:54	will vulcan penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856606	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x3d2351…
08-01 07:16:11	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0x690b6f…
08-01 07:15:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0x26b484…
08-01 07:12:50	will huhi penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856631	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x091220…
08-01 07:12:26	will cryogen penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856621	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x595a3a…
08-01 07:12:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x033bae…
08-01 07:12:14	will cryogen penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856621	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x39dc8c…
08-01 07:12:12	will cryogen penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856621	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x2b5557…
08-01 07:11:50	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd8828f…
08-01 07:11:36	will vulcan penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856606	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x8312e8…
08-01 07:10:30	will vulcan penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856606	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x438097…
08-01 07:10:00	will epic games valuation hit high 17pt5b by august 31 20260731174120238	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x48f06b…
08-01 06:56:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	7¢	$5	0x82a714…
08-01 06:55:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x7cce61…
08-01 06:42:08	will amzn reach 248 in august 2026	No	SELL	65	0¢	$0	0xfb562e…
08-01 06:41:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0xe9eae5…
08-01 06:39:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x50ab4d…
08-01 06:38:53	will amzn reach 248 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x66235e…
08-01 06:36:48	will fifa sell equity in the world cup in 2026 20260731200630377	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x57775f…
08-01 06:32:54	will fifa sell equity in the world cup in 2026 20260731200630377	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xf4fe69…
08-01 06:32:48	will fifa sell equity in the world cup in 2026 20260731200630377	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xd65b53…
08-01 06:32:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xd03d99…
08-01 06:30:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xe3bb9f…
08-01 06:29:50	will vulcan penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856606	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0xe29093…
08-01 06:29:03	will kryra penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856613	Yes	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0x0417dc…
08-01 06:26:51	will vulcan penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856606	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xce5239…
08-01 06:26:42	will kryra penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856613	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x691d2a…
08-01 06:26:14	will meta dip to 580 in august 2026	No	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xe023ff…