Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
8.3%
Resolved
7,978
Trades
48,464
lifetime
Volume
$548.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-27 22:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
64% 7% -$10,952
Politics
21% 6% -$2,280
Sports
5% 5% -$1,116
Tech
5% 7% -$547
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$261
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 96¢ $343 +$13 10-26 20:05
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +350 $310 87¢ $306 -$4 10-27 04:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 10-21 14:17
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 98¢ $147 +$11 10-15 10:28
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +150 $138 93¢ $140 +$2 10-21 14:17
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 98¢ $139 +$8 10-19 14:50
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 87¢ $130 -$1 10-27 11:53
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 87¢ $130 -$5 10-26 20:56
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$9 10-19 13:51
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-21 21:03
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$6 10-26 00:29
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 96¢ $96 +$8 10-25 21:05
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 10-22 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 10-22 11:34
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $90 95¢ $95 +$5 10-27 12:57
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 93¢ $93 +$6 10-26 01:27
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +100 $88 93¢ $93 +$5 10-25 19:57
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 10-26 23:21
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$2 10-26 18:54
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$2 10-26 20:48
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +100 $86 80¢ $80 -$7 10-24 02:32
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 No +62 $59 96¢ $60 +$1 10-12 20:00
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 10-18 15:05
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +50 $46 99¢ $50 +$3 10-12 16:59
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +50 $46 99¢ $50 +$3 10-11 18:19
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026? No +50 $48 99¢ $49 +$1 10-18 18:45
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +50 $46 99¢ $49 +$3 10-15 12:06
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $46 99¢ $49 +$3 10-12 12:21
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +50 $46 98¢ $49 +$4 10-23 21:05
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +50 $48 97¢ $48 +$1 10-18 18:41