Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$15.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$68
Hit rate
8.8%
Resolved
8,021
Trades
49,355
lifetime
Volume
$556.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$3.99K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-28 21:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 178 days
Categories
Other
64% 7% -$11,025
Politics
21% 6% -$2,285
Sports
5% 5% -$1,116
Tech
5% 7% -$547
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$261
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +450 $398 88¢ $396 -$3 10-28 16:40
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 96¢ $344 +$14 10-26 20:05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +300 $275 85¢ $255 -$20 10-28 19:35
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +200 $176 94¢ $189 +$13 10-28 16:40
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +200 $177 94¢ $187 +$10 10-28 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes — +200 $180 90¢ $179 -$2 10-27 00:49
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $175 86¢ $171 -$4 10-28 19:36
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 98¢ $147 +$11 10-15 10:28
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 98¢ $138 +$8 10-19 14:50
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 88¢ $132 -$4 10-26 20:56
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $132 87¢ $130 -$1 10-28 16:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +150 $138 86¢ $129 -$9 10-21 14:17
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 84¢ $127 -$5 10-27 11:53
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$6 10-28 13:01
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 98¢ $98 +$10 10-25 21:05
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$9 10-19 13:51
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$6 10-26 00:29
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 10-21 21:03
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 10-22 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 96¢ $96 +$3 10-22 11:34
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No +100 $88 96¢ $96 +$8 10-25 19:57
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $90 95¢ $95 +$5 10-27 12:57
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +100 $90 92¢ $92 +$2 10-26 23:21
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +100 $86 90¢ $90 +$3 10-26 18:54
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +100 $86 88¢ $88 +$2 10-26 20:48
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 86¢ $86 -$2 10-28 15:23
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +100 $86 78¢ $78 -$9 10-24 02:32
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 No +62 $59 96¢ $60 +$1 10-12 20:00
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $46 100¢ $50 +$4 10-12 12:21
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 10-18 15:05