Realized P&L
-$53
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
86.3%
Resolved
476
Trades
9,282
lifetime
Volume
$111.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$16
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 07-10 11:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
43% 0% $-11
Politics
21%
Crypto
14% 89% $-42
Sports
13%
Tech
8%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 561 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -49 $1 15¢ $-8 $-9 07-04 14:21
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $3 95¢ $1 $-2 06-16 07:18
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 05:53
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-16 11:31
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +1 $4 93¢ $1 $-3 06-25 12:41
Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-23 23:07
Hyperbeat FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-16 21:03
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $1 89¢ $0 $-1 06-23 20:48
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +0 $1 93¢ $0 $-0 06-23 18:42
Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +1 $2 63¢ $0 $-1 06-23 22:26
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-23 23:07
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +0 $1 81¢ $0 $-1 07-05 00:45
Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +0 $4 86¢ $0 $-4 07-04 10:18
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +0 $1 85¢ $0 $-1 07-04 13:51
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 $-1 06-16 16:47
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? Yes -2 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-30 09:19
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +0 $1 93¢ $0 $-1 06-16 08:05
Fuse FDV above $6B one day after launch? No +0 $0 69¢ $0 $-0 06-25 03:53
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 $-1 06-23 11:38
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 06-16 10:53
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $2 $0 $-2 07-04 12:15
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 07-04 12:12
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +1 $1 $0 $-1 07-02 20:11
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-16 16:47
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-23 09:38
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 $0 $-1 06-23 17:34
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +18 $3 $0 $-3 05-16 18:47
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 13:35
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-25 07:39
Will Olivier Faure announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +0 $0 60¢ $0 $-0 06-25 09:40