Grumpy-Invader — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.3%

Resolved

476

Trades

14,071

lifetime

Volume

$176.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-01 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-11

Politics

29% — —

Sports

10% — —

Crypto

9% 89% $-42

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 485 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	126	$2.7K	1,964	1,963	+1	open	—	07-07 11:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	130	$2.6K	2,450	2,498	-48	open	—	07-22 19:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	71	$1.8K	1,936	1,936	+1	open	—	08-01 16:57
iran military action against a gulf state on july 19 20260708212322944	95	$1.4K	1,542	1,540	+1	open	—	07-19 18:55
taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	76	$1.3K	1,168	1,167	+1	open	—	07-02 23:03
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	90	$1.2K	1,273	1,272	+1	open	—	07-14 00:52
israel closes its airspace by july 24	39	$1.2K	890	888	+1	open	—	07-20 18:34
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	65	$1.2K	1,137	1,136	+1	open	—	07-20 06:12
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	77	$1.2K	1,438	1,437	+1	open	—	07-12 21:58
iran full airspace closure by july 24	44	$1.0K	1,159	1,158	+0	open	—	07-24 19:56
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	36	$1.0K	738	737	+0	open	—	07-20 02:44
will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950083	34	$1.0K	600	643	-43	open	—	06-21 03:44
will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	43	$1.0K	701	700	+1	open	—	07-25 01:38
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	35	$907	694	694	+0	open	—	07-14 02:00
will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	24	$890	490	490	+0	open	—	06-22 10:36
will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	25	$850	647	645	+2	open	—	06-26 15:52
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	59	$836	883	883	+1	open	—	07-15 23:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 16 2026 20260612160513701	36	$832	733	781	-49	open	—	06-17 06:17
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	30	$806	533	532	+1	open	—	07-19 09:15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	33	$799	737	737	-1	open	—	05-23 05:16
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	39	$791	697	696	+1	open	—	07-11 02:24
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	44	$778	873	872	+2	open	—	06-22 19:13
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	29	$777	608	607	+1	open	—	07-24 11:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	42	$760	770	706	+64	open	—	06-14 22:53
will lab dip to 6 before 2027	30	$748	501	501	+1	open	—	06-29 12:50
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	34	$730	726	726	+0	open	—	05-17 16:09
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	29	$683	610	609	+1	open	—	06-30 19:12
will trump say crazy or amazing 5 times during ufc 250 20260610182827976	36	$683	546	586	-40	open	—	06-17 16:59
qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	16	$661	362	361	+1	open	—	07-25 13:56
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	24	$636	488	488	+0	open	—	06-17 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 16:57:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0x9ceecf…
08-01 16:55:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x3f1ccd…
08-01 16:38:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x2267c6…
08-01 16:37:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0xf7599a…
08-01 16:37:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0xcdfd27…
08-01 16:34:27	will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	No	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xf80e44…
08-01 16:34:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x191dd9…
08-01 16:30:32	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by august 31 20260730182857550	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2f185e…
08-01 16:27:26	will lambdas valuation hit high 9b by august 31 20260730182857550	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xc93dab…
08-01 16:26:27	will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x17f94d…
08-01 16:25:41	will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x3a23b3…
08-01 16:25:29	will zhuo penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841857	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xc721ad…
08-01 16:23:24	will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x8868a9…
08-01 16:23:24	will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x5073b0…
08-01 16:23:24	will ewy dip to 162 in august 2026	No	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0x42242f…
08-01 16:14:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xfb935e…
08-01 16:09:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0x7af0ba…
08-01 16:09:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x171680…
08-01 16:04:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0xca7ab0…
08-01 16:02:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	6¢	$5	0x8af5d3…
08-01 16:01:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd8b43f…
08-01 15:57:41	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x0bbd22…
08-01 15:53:30	will tsla reach 390 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xd44a68…
08-01 15:53:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe16a32…
08-01 15:49:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x82bc21…
08-01 15:48:00	will tsla reach 390 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xd9cef0…
08-01 15:45:14	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x0a2943…
08-01 15:44:12	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x37657b…
08-01 15:44:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0x22d0e0…
08-01 15:41:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	90¢	$68	0xf52610…
08-01 15:41:21	will meiko penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841821	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x8b9545…
08-01 15:41:17	will career get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536373	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$0	0x4f7c5e…
08-01 15:40:44	will jwei penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841862	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf9b55b…
08-01 15:40:42	will jwei penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841862	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x8ee3d6…
08-01 15:39:03	will parukia penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841815	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x56f12d…
08-01 15:38:53	will parukia penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841815	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9ed48c…
08-01 15:38:14	will jwei penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841862	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0xc268de…
08-01 15:36:23	will parukia penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841815	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x8cbef8…
08-01 15:36:21	will meiko penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841821	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x930a01…
08-01 15:35:32	will crisp penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841831	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$3	0x4b2d9f…
08-01 15:32:30	will meiko penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841821	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xa90b6d…
08-01 15:32:18	will zhuo penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841857	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xb50917…
08-01 15:29:12	will kael penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841805	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x9abb89…
08-01 15:21:26	will career get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536373	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x9fa546…
08-01 15:14:17	will life get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536367	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$3	0x04ba27…
08-01 15:02:51	will on penta in lpl split 3 2026 20260730215841810	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x484320…
08-01 15:01:18	will dudu get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536363	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x7b466c…
08-01 15:01:15	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0x30e8f8…
08-01 14:57:57	will dudu get a pentakill in lck 2026 rounds 3 4 20260730210536363	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x52ac6d…
08-01 14:57:20	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x40acda…
08-01 14:49:51	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x38f8b6…
08-01 14:47:39	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x72e74f…
08-01 14:35:00	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x8a75f1…
08-01 14:29:12	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x20944a…
08-01 14:26:42	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa92ff6…
08-01 14:24:21	will uefa end its fifa boycott by september 7 2026 20260731024630663	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x075196…
08-01 14:19:42	will uefa end its fifa boycott by september 7 2026 20260731024630663	Yes	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x00e3a9…
08-01 13:11:09	will tsla reach 390 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x6fd464…
08-01 13:07:17	will tsla dip to 240 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xa59717…
08-01 13:05:41	will tsla reach 390 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x80d6ee…
08-01 13:04:54	will tsla dip to 240 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd64fcb…
08-01 13:03:08	will ewy dip to 158 in august 2026	No	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xa2c3da…
08-01 12:58:24	will ewy dip to 158 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x3346fe…
08-01 12:43:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x345d14…
08-01 12:42:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xe902f6…
08-01 12:42:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x4f68c6…
08-01 12:42:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x1b82f9…
08-01 12:41:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x534901…
08-01 12:41:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0x108d02…
08-01 12:31:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x1a4f1c…
08-01 12:28:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xb177e4…
08-01 12:24:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0x78966c…
08-01 12:21:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xdbe438…
08-01 12:20:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x66f263…
08-01 12:17:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x7dcf85…
08-01 11:54:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	88¢	$66	0xe30ae8…
08-01 11:47:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0xcf0040…
08-01 11:45:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	46	3¢	$2	0xaf0f2f…
08-01 11:44:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xa918ee…
08-01 11:40:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xd84bc7…
08-01 11:40:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xafe096…
08-01 11:33:03	will rhilech penta in lec summer split 2026 20260730211945175	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0x2f4b7d…
08-01 11:30:08	will armao penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856623	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x60a8a0…
08-01 11:29:57	will rhilech penta in lec summer split 2026 20260730211945175	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe9f0b2…
08-01 11:27:08	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8b5125…
08-01 11:26:08	will armao penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856623	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf65fe0…
08-01 11:24:42	will lyonz penta in lcs split 3 2026 20260730213856616	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa7286…
08-01 11:13:51	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by august 31 20260730190051267	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x51e145…
08-01 11:00:06	will ewy dip to 158 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x998063…
08-01 10:56:36	will canvas valuation hit low 38b by august 31 20260730190051273	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x2c0340…
08-01 10:52:06	will canvas valuation hit low 38b by august 31 20260730190051273	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xc7a061…
08-01 10:50:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x79b8e4…
08-01 10:48:54	will canvas valuation hit high 45b by august 31 20260730190051267	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xd29cf2…
08-01 10:48:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x3e8728…
08-01 10:46:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	90¢	$68	0xe74544…
08-01 10:43:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0xfa7b9b…
08-01 10:35:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	75	91¢	$68	0xe675c1…
08-01 10:32:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	75	92¢	$69	0xb24300…
08-01 10:26:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	75	6¢	$4	0xbd4642…
08-01 10:24:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0xb56c55…