Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$9.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$159
Hit rate
9.9%
Resolved (90d)
5,044
Trades (90d)
29,515
50,225 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$314.8K
$565.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-30 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
64% 7% -$11,012
Politics
21% 6% -$2,347
Tech
5% 7% -$547
Sports
5% 6% -$1,142
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$263
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +456 $405 99¢ $450 +$45 10-29 20:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +450 $398 84¢ $378 -$21 10-28 16:40
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 97¢ $348 +$17 10-26 20:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +350 $317 86¢ $301 -$16 10-29 20:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +300 $265 94¢ $284 +$18 10-29 10:01
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $175 96¢ $193 +$17 10-28 19:36
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +213 $193 90¢ $193 -$1 10-29 19:09
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +200 $177 95¢ $190 +$13 10-28 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$2 10-27 00:49
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $135 99¢ $149 +$14 10-29 06:40
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 99¢ $148 +$12 10-15 10:28
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $131 98¢ $148 +$16 10-29 07:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +300 $275 47¢ $140 -$136 10-28 19:35
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 98¢ $138 +$8 10-19 14:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +249 $16 53¢ $133 +$117 10-28 07:43
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 88¢ $132 -$4 10-26 20:56
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 86¢ $128 -$3 10-27 11:53
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $131 85¢ $128 -$4 10-30 10:39
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $132 84¢ $125 -$6 10-28 16:41
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$6 10-28 13:01
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $90 99¢ $99 +$8 10-21 21:03
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$7 10-26 00:29
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 98¢ $98 +$9 10-25 21:05
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 98¢ $98 +$9 10-28 15:23
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-19 13:51
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 10-27 12:57
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 10-21 19:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $92 96¢ $96 +$4 10-30 10:55
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$4 10-22 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$3 10-22 11:34