Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$9.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$159
Hit rate
10.3%
Resolved (90d)
5,056
Trades (90d)
29,719
50,757 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$315.7K
$571.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$5.95K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-31 11:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
64% 7% -$11,173
Politics
21% 6% -$2,346
Tech
5% 7% -$589
Sports
5% 6% -$1,142
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$263
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? Yes +500 $456 96¢ $482 +$26 10-30 09:31
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +456 $405 98¢ $448 +$44 10-29 20:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +450 $398 77¢ $344 -$54 10-28 16:40
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 96¢ $343 +$13 10-26 20:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1? Yes +350 $326 98¢ $341 +$16 10-29 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +350 $317 86¢ $299 -$18 10-29 20:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +300 $265 100¢ $298 +$34 10-29 10:01
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +263 $238 94¢ $249 +$10 10-31 09:36
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +249 $223 95¢ $236 +$13 10-30 14:06
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $175 99¢ $197 +$22 10-28 19:36
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +200 $177 98¢ $195 +$18 10-28 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $180 92¢ $183 +$2 10-27 00:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +200 $182 90¢ $180 -$2 10-31 07:50
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +200 $187 89¢ $178 -$8 10-29 08:55
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $135 100¢ $150 +$14 10-29 06:40
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 99¢ $149 +$13 10-15 10:28
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $131 98¢ $147 +$16 10-29 07:47
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 99¢ $140 +$9 10-19 14:50
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +150 $137 92¢ $138 +$2 10-30 20:12
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 90¢ $135 +$0 10-30 23:38
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 88¢ $132 -$4 10-26 20:56
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +150 $130 87¢ $130 +$0 10-30 16:19
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 86¢ $129 -$2 10-27 11:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $132 78¢ $116 -$15 10-28 16:41
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $131 76¢ $115 -$16 10-30 10:39
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? No — +100 $96 99¢ $99 +$3 10-29 21:20
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $90 99¢ $99 +$9 10-21 21:03
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 10-30 22:13
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan? No — +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$5 10-28 02:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 99¢ $99 +$11 10-28 15:23