Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5d7…7be344
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$2.34K
Unrealized P&L
+$450
Hit rate
25.0%
Resolved (30d)
1,419
Trades (30d)
8,329
50,437 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$92.6K
$569.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$4.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 10-30 07:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 180 days
Categories
Other
64% 7% -$11,009
Politics
21% 6% -$2,347
Tech
5% 7% -$547
Sports
5% 6% -$1,142
Crypto
4% 77% -$372
Pop-Culture
1% 6% -$263
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 951 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Joint List win 12 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +456 $405 99¢ $450 +$45 10-29 20:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +450 $398 84¢ $379 -$20 10-28 16:40
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +360 $331 96¢ $347 +$16 10-26 20:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +350 $317 84¢ $292 -$25 10-29 20:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +300 $265 92¢ $274 +$10 10-29 10:01
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +249 $16 78¢ $195 +$179 10-28 07:43
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +213 $193 90¢ $193 -$1 10-29 19:09
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $175 96¢ $192 +$16 10-28 19:36
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +200 $177 95¢ $190 +$13 10-28 20:50
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $180 91¢ $182 +$2 10-27 00:49
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +150 $135 99¢ $149 +$14 10-29 06:40
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $136 99¢ $148 +$12 10-15 10:28
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +150 $131 98¢ $148 +$16 10-29 07:47
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +141 $130 98¢ $139 +$8 10-19 14:50
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +150 $135 88¢ $132 -$4 10-26 20:56
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +150 $132 86¢ $128 -$3 10-27 11:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +150 $132 86¢ $128 -$3 10-28 16:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $11 76¢ $114 +$103 10-26 21:42
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $94 99¢ $99 +$6 10-28 13:01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +100 $92 98¢ $98 +$7 10-26 00:29
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-21 21:03
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +100 $89 98¢ $98 +$9 10-25 21:05
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +100 $90 98¢ $98 +$8 10-19 13:51
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $90 97¢ $97 +$7 10-27 12:57
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 97¢ $97 +$4 10-21 19:36
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$4 10-22 11:34
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $93 95¢ $95 +$3 10-22 11:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +100 $88 95¢ $95 +$7 10-28 15:23
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$8 10-26 18:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +100 $92 94¢ $94 +$2 10-30 04:06