Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?
open
Total volume
$10,933
Trades
498
Unique wallets
120
Liquidity
$13,415
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-05-01
last 10-30 04:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.4¢
(top1%: 88% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 92% YES on $9.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 34 | $6.8K | $426 | +$6.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 36 | $357 | $298 | +$58 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $234 | $22 | +$211 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $875 | $14 | +$861 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 26 | $974 | $130 | +$844 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $141 | $12 | +$130 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $4.7K | $225 | +$4.4K |
| Median | 19 | $283 | $8 | +$275 |
| Below median | 17 | $564 | $56 | +$509 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $100 | $14 | +$86 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $190 | $32 | +$158 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 31 | $1.4K | $285 | +$1.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | +4,947 | $4,651 | $4,651 | 21 | 08-16 23:12 |
| Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | +4,566 | $225 | $225 | 47 | 09-07 16:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | +1,000 | $40 | $40 | 14 | 08-17 01:04 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | Yes | +750 | $699 | $699 | 1 | 07-27 19:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fd5…a85e | Yes | +500 | $466 | $466 | 1 | 08-11 15:31 |
| Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | No | +485 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +175 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 08-11 15:37 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +170 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-20 07:52 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | +120 | $117 | $117 | 1 | 07-18 23:01 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +100 | $94 | $94 | 2 | 07-27 02:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +99 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 10-29 20:45 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +91 | $86 | $86 | 3 | 10-29 20:45 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +82 | $6 | $6 | 4 | 07-27 19:10 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +73 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 05-17 02:10 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +66 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-18 00:57 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +65 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-15 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb207…7f71 | Yes | +63 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x10c1…7350 | Yes | +61 | $59 | $59 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xc348…2cee | Yes | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e89…e67a | Yes | +56 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 10-15 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | Yes | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e9a…2af3 | Yes | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x2149…1e99 | Yes | +51 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 09-24 20:54 |
| Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | +50 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-30 04:49 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +45 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +40 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 07:01 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +35 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-24 19:42 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +30 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-20 04:29 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | +28 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 10-30 04:49 |
| Quixotic-Selling 0x976e…ecf3 | Yes | +23 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-07 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | Yes | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-30 04:49 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 14:22 |
| Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 08-27 00:32 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +19 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 05-17 00:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 09-25 09:09 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | No | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 07-16 14:53 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-17 14:05 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-17 02:22 |
| Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-17 17:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf277…0932 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-06 04:57 |
| Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-17 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f99…abc7 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 03:27 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 03:27 |
| Partial-Retouching 0xad70…036b | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-25 09:09 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-16 16:41 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | +2 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 05-06 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7b…09fb | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-15 07:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:49:13 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xa03e6b… |
| 10-30 04:49:13 | Crazy-Fishmonger 0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0x594593… |
| 10-30 04:49:13 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 28 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x594593… |
| 10-30 04:49:13 | Grumpy-Invader 0xcdf5…e344 | No | BUY | 22 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xa03e6b… |
| 10-29 20:45:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 82 | 5¢ | $4 | 0xb0ad96… |
| 10-29 20:45:03 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xb0ad96… |
| 10-15 07:01:28 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 65 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xbd3982… |
| 10-15 07:01:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbd3982… |
| 10-15 07:01:28 | (anonymous) 0x8e89…e67a | Yes | BUY | 56 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xbd3982… |
| 10-15 07:01:28 | (anonymous) 0xea7b…09fb | Yes | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xbd3982… |
| 10-15 07:01:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd452fb… |
| 10-15 07:01:25 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 40 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xd452fb… |
| 10-01 15:11:00 | (anonymous) 0x532c…8b34 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x982bd0… |
| 10-01 15:11:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x982bd0… |
| 09-25 09:09:54 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x23c696… |
| 09-25 09:09:54 | Partial-Retouching 0xad70…036b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x23c696… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xb207…7f71 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 96¢ | $61 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xc089…3a18 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 97¢ | $52 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xc348…2cee | Yes | BUY | 58 | 97¢ | $56 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x2149…1e99 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x0e9a…2af3 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 147 | 3¢ | $5 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x10c1…7350 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 97¢ | $59 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-24 20:54:02 | Pristine-Business 0x014c…820c | No | BUY | 485 | 3¢ | $17 | 0x830dde… |
| 09-17 17:56:21 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88fd7e… |
| 09-17 17:56:21 | Outlandish-Evaporation 0x7747…fe40 | No | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88fd7e… |
| 09-17 17:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x28e99c… |
| 09-17 17:28:52 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 97¢ | $0 | 0x28e99c… |
| 09-17 14:36:34 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x3b345d… |
| 09-17 14:36:34 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3b345d… |
| 09-07 16:10:12 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x585e16… |
| 09-07 16:10:12 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 49 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x585e16… |
| 09-07 16:10:12 | (anonymous) 0xae7d…058f | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x585e16… |
| 09-06 21:44:28 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x07fa2c… |
| 09-06 21:44:28 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x07fa2c… |
| 08-31 00:25:01 | Hasty-Rhinoceros 0xcc36…d35d | No | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe51599… |
| 08-31 00:25:01 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xe51599… |
| 08-27 00:32:45 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x1c09cc… |
| 08-27 00:32:45 | Strong-Exit 0xfe2d…da35 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xed5abb… |
| 08-27 00:32:45 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xed5abb… |
| 08-27 00:32:45 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x1c09cc… |
| 08-25 19:43:04 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb7252e… |
| 08-25 19:43:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 229 | 4¢ | $8 | 0xb7252e… |
| 08-25 19:43:04 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 249 | 97¢ | $240 | 0xb7252e… |
| 08-20 07:52:06 | Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x68fa10… |
| 08-20 07:52:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x68fa10… |
| 08-20 04:29:10 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x483043… |
| 08-20 04:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x483043… |
| 08-20 04:29:10 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | No | SELL | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x483043… |
| 08-17 19:19:19 | Little-Gold 0x6d57…bfc5 | No | BUY | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x46c999… |
| 08-17 19:19:19 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x46c999… |
| 08-17 14:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcac0ba… |
| 08-17 14:05:34 | Radiant-Nonbeliever 0xd717…3b85 | No | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x27f783… |
| 08-17 14:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f43f0… |
| 08-17 14:05:34 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x27f783… |
| 08-17 14:05:34 | Comfortable-Sandwich 0x1f85…7b02 | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcac0ba… |
| 08-17 14:05:34 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3f43f0… |
| 08-17 06:34:39 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6032ef… |
| 08-17 06:34:39 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6032ef… |
| 08-17 04:24:31 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa2c6f2… |
| 08-17 04:24:31 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa2c6f2… |
| 08-17 02:22:34 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | No | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd22b05… |
| 08-17 02:22:34 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd22b05… |
| 08-17 01:59:49 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x48d17a… |
| 08-17 01:59:49 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x48d17a… |
| 08-17 01:04:45 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x5acfc8… |
| 08-17 01:04:45 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x5acfc8… |
| 08-17 00:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4709f7… |
| 08-17 00:07:07 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4709f7… |
| 08-17 00:07:07 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4709f7… |
| 08-16 23:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb459e7… |
| 08-16 23:37:16 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb459e7… |
| 08-16 23:37:10 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe8d8fe… |
| 08-16 23:37:10 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe8d8fe… |
| 08-16 23:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x815e2b… |
| 08-16 23:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x815e2b… |
| 08-16 23:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3a9e00… |
| 08-16 23:17:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3a9e00… |
| 08-16 23:17:00 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7c6ff8… |
| 08-16 23:17:00 | Impolite-Carrier 0x2100…8b83 | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7c6ff8… |
| 08-16 23:15:07 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdea1c8… |
| 08-16 23:15:07 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xdea1c8… |
| 08-16 23:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe7c7f6… |
| 08-16 23:13:22 | Wretched-Myth-Downfall 0xe550…6f6e | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe7c7f6… |
| 08-16 23:12:42 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa8ad35… |
| 08-16 23:12:42 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa8ad35… |
| 08-16 23:12:37 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 177 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x490851… |
| 08-16 23:12:37 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 177 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x490851… |
| 08-16 23:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 154 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x848617… |
| 08-16 23:12:19 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 154 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x848617… |
| 08-16 23:12:13 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x241214… |
| 08-16 23:12:13 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | No | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x241214… |
| 08-16 23:12:10 | Joyous-Supplement 0xceed…6d15 | No | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xafac54… |
| 08-16 23:12:10 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xafac54… |
| 08-16 23:12:06 | Frozen-Car 0xa8b7…ee3c | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd55c54… |
| 08-16 23:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 154 | 4¢ | $6 | 0xd55c54… |
| 08-16 23:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 177 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x19ee92… |
| 08-16 23:12:06 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 177 | 4¢ | $7 | 0x19ee92… |
| 08-16 23:12:06 | (anonymous) 0x551e…b0e0 | No | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xd55c54… |
| 08-16 23:12:06 | (anonymous) 0xf7ec…e53a | No | SELL | 306 | 4¢ | $13 | 0xd55c54… |