Quixotic-Selling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

401

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-14 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

74% 67% +$22

Other

13% 100% +$49

Pop-Culture

11% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-49

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba ind nyk 2026 03 17 spread home 15pt5	18	$1.8K	3,796	0	+3,796	open	—	03-18 00:54
nba ind nyk 2026 03 17 spread home 14pt5	12	$1.7K	3,544	0	+3,544	open	—	03-18 00:54
nba cle mil 2026 03 17 spread away 9pt5	3	$1.1K	2,110	0	+2,110	open	—	03-18 00:54
nba cle mil 2026 03 17 spread away 11pt5	10	$1.0K	2,315	0	+2,315	open	—	03-18 00:55
nba cle mil 2026 03 17 spread away 10pt5	4	$911	1,939	0	+1,939	open	—	03-18 00:54
nba mia cha 2026 03 17 spread home 3pt5	3	$898	1,913	0	+1,913	open	—	03-18 00:44
nba ind nyk 2026 03 17 spread home 13pt5	1	$880	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	03-18 00:48
nba okc orl 2026 03 17	3	$837	2,857	0	+2,857	open	—	03-18 00:37
nba cle mil 2026 03 17	6	$769	5,819	0	+5,819	open	—	03-18 00:52
nba mia cha 2026 03 17	2	$696	1,281	0	+1,281	open	—	03-18 00:48
Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	12	$675	634	583	+51	open	—	05-08 10:22
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	3	$675	765	0	+765	open	—	04-25 19:16
Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	16	$546	484	482	+2	open	—	05-08 04:44
nba phx min 2026 03 17	3	$535	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	03-18 00:50
Will Punjab Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	2	$502	597	0	+597	open	—	04-18 17:57
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	8	$379	402	0	+402	open	—	04-12 14:20
fisa section 702 reauthorized before it expires	17	$377	985	149	+836	open	—	04-18 04:46
will trump attend ufc 327	13	$377	256	181	+75	open	—	04-11 04:02
Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	6	$324	435	0	+435	open	—	05-06 22:08
nba okc orl 2026 03 17 total 220pt5	2	$301	600	0	+600	open	—	03-18 00:52
T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar	2	$286	335	0	+335	Malta	+$49	05-08 09:43
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	4	$270	145	145	+0	open	—	04-12 02:58
nba det was 2026 03 17 spread away 17pt5	1	$260	565	0	+565	open	—	03-18 00:44
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	10	$203	301	292	+9	open	—	04-12 15:21
Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	10	$201	158	143	+15	open	—	05-09 06:23
cricpsl hyd isl 2026 04 12	5	$166	187	98	+89	open	—	04-12 17:24
will jannik sinner win the 2026 monte carlo masters	9	$151	299	0	+299	open	—	04-12 15:19
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$133	609	0	+609	open	—	04-20 19:47
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	7	$125	199	0	+199	open	—	04-15 19:53
Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	8	$122	98	97	+1	open	—	05-08 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 12:42:49	Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	33	55¢	$18	0x2b8f1e…
05-14 12:42:40	Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x4cb29a…
05-12 04:46:14	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd69d9c…
05-12 04:46:00	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	274	0¢	$1	0x17a51f…
05-11 19:27:32	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x721009…
05-11 19:27:25	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	113	0¢	$0	0xef0115…
05-11 19:27:17	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x36c9b7…
05-11 19:27:10	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x8c3872…
05-11 19:26:56	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x40d4e0…
05-09 06:23:57	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x728337…
05-09 06:23:51	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0xb57522…
05-09 06:23:43	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0xe462e7…
05-09 03:52:53	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	85	50¢	$42	0x832dbb…
05-08 10:24:01	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x67e671…
05-08 10:23:43	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x90fcca…
05-08 10:23:38	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	25	79¢	$20	0x4c006a…
05-08 10:23:27	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd1ccd9…
05-08 10:22:17	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	89	64¢	$57	0x530821…
05-08 10:21:23	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	344	64¢	$220	0xc7391c…
05-08 09:43:49	T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar	Malta	BUY	85	86¢	$73	0xbbb797…
05-08 08:43:46	T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar	Malta	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0xff8952…
05-08 08:19:19	Will Drake feature Lil Baby on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0xb08645…
05-08 06:23:13	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x423f37…
05-08 06:00:50	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5c51df…
05-08 05:00:21	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x28e649…
05-08 04:44:20	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	129	60¢	$77	0x033017…
05-08 04:44:13	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x942df1…
05-08 04:44:04	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x7a0356…
05-08 04:43:59	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	155	64¢	$99	0x3995d4…
05-08 04:43:43	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	89	65¢	$58	0xf3a6b2…
05-08 00:12:25	Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xc1235f…
05-06 22:08:44	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xa13205…
05-05 07:48:46	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	140	77¢	$108	0xfce0b8…
05-05 07:07:28	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xeed75d…
05-05 07:07:28	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xaeceb5…
05-03 18:00:38	Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0xd740f3…
05-03 17:50:16	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	88	74¢	$65	0xbc6dcd…
05-03 16:50:20	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x53dafe…
05-03 05:10:18	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x9f171f…
05-03 05:10:18	Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2d9917…
05-02 20:10:08	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	417	66¢	$275	0x221520…
05-02 15:49:10	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x81d663…
05-02 07:10:22	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	SELL	150	34¢	$51	0x046d90…
05-02 06:53:44	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xc59e58…
05-02 05:53:40	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x644819…
05-02 03:36:42	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xcdbdaa…
05-02 00:03:52	Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x8b281c…
05-01 21:49:24	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0xa4b3f3…
05-01 20:09:16	Will Drake feature Lil Yachty on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	43	71¢	$31	0x608b3d…
05-01 11:11:42	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0x8241ea…
05-01 08:37:00	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	56	31¢	$17	0x0d63c3…
05-01 07:36:56	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0xf71d78…
05-01 07:36:10	Will Drake feature Morgan Wallen on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xd3fb18…
05-01 06:16:12	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xadcc9f…
05-01 05:28:50	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x2fa212…
05-01 05:08:18	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xe6d726…
05-01 04:07:24	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x393b65…
05-01 03:41:46	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xcbdd0f…
05-01 01:37:18	Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xbd905d…
04-30 20:27:44	Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xaef9ac…
04-30 18:18:56	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xce8249…
04-30 17:58:54	Will Drake feature Travis Scott on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x08316d…
04-30 17:14:50	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	119	50¢	$60	0x933fcd…
04-30 16:25:58	Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xce1f6e…
04-30 16:14:46	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	144	51¢	$74	0x1fe3aa…
04-30 04:53:50	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfb0c01…
04-30 02:56:34	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0xe10a79…
04-30 02:32:04	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0xe54b9f…
04-30 02:02:12	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xce676f…
04-30 01:11:04	Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	108	26¢	$28	0x4699e0…
04-30 00:17:06	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x661d46…
04-30 00:17:04	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xadf6be…
04-29 03:13:50	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x6c9d8c…
04-28 18:37:00	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xf107c6…
04-28 17:32:06	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	58	61¢	$35	0xbbf87f…
04-28 16:31:34	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0xe8bf99…
04-28 10:01:58	Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xf14042…
04-28 09:55:22	Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x8a33bc…
04-25 19:16:12	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	254	85¢	$216	0x888bac…
04-25 17:11:58	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x54e884…
04-25 11:47:46	Will Drake feature Nicki Minaj on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	104	56¢	$58	0x22934d…
04-24 22:49:52	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xdd6b7b…
04-24 22:49:46	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	BUY	258	7¢	$18	0xe6a640…
04-24 20:27:32	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	93	8¢	$7	0x440a4f…
04-24 19:33:38	Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	505	90¢	$454	0xe63487…
04-24 18:05:22	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xef144b…
04-24 18:05:20	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xd505dd…
04-24 18:05:20	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x521cbf…
04-24 18:05:20	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x1c6682…
04-24 12:53:00	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xccd98f…
04-24 01:15:06	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xe91af7…
04-24 00:15:02	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	BUY	58	6¢	$4	0xe7db57…
04-23 23:36:58	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x2f065a…
04-23 22:22:04	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7a11c2…
04-23 22:22:02	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xa6cd8c…
04-23 20:22:14	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	No	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x795a39…
04-22 02:30:28	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x297a5b…
04-21 17:49:06	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x33ca39…
04-21 17:07:56	Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x85c5d7…
04-21 17:07:42	Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xc52658…