Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
open
Total volume
$5,335
Trades
282
Unique wallets
66
Liquidity
$11,601
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-10 16:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.3¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $22
vs crowd: 13% YES on $3.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $104 | $284 | $180 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 21 | $163 | $1.1K | $937 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $98 | $333 | $235 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $26 | $863 | $837 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | $18 | $14 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $59 | $234 | $175 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $16 | $79 | $63 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $2 | +$1 |
| Below median | 10 | $95 | $475 | $381 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $81 | $104 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $58 | $331 | $273 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $41 | $84 | $43 |
| unranked | 21 | $35 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +229 | $50 | $80 | 31 | 07-08 11:23 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +224 | $193 | $193 | 6 | 06-13 15:13 |
| Rosy-Suppression 0x85ee…a64a | Yes | +156 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-27 22:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xfb24…ac2c | No | +141 | $124 | $124 | 1 | 07-08 11:21 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +140 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +140 | $141 | $329 | 4 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +112 | $89 | $183 | 16 | 07-01 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x47cd…5648 | No | +103 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-18 06:49 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +90 | $72 | $72 | 5 | 06-10 19:41 |
| Enraged-Reversal 0x87fe…3cbe | No | +82 | $61 | $210 | 4 | 06-02 12:25 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +70 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 20:09 |
| Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | +64 | $44 | $116 | 7 | 07-01 07:25 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +61 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 06-30 13:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +49 | $13 | $95 | 29 | 07-10 16:20 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +40 | $46 | $162 | 6 | 06-13 15:11 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | +32 | $14 | $54 | 7 | 06-04 06:53 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +31 | $26 | $36 | 6 | 05-31 23:27 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +31 | $-10 | $410 | 6 | 06-11 01:30 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 13:49 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-10 19:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-27 22:53 |
| Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | +28 | $-1 | $31 | 3 | 06-10 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +28 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-21 20:11 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $11 | 3 | 06-18 10:32 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +26 | $32 | $99 | 5 | 06-18 06:49 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-11 09:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-01 07:25 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 11:21 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 13:49 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +11 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 06-05 20:31 |
| Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 17:36 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +9 | $27 | $331 | 7 | 06-13 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 16:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb07…6510 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 15:42 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | +1 | $-0 | $69 | 2 | 07-10 16:20 |
| Joint-Tower 0xe4e0…1a91 | No | +1 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-11 01:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 16:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xefbff1… |
| 07-10 16:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 39 | 89¢ | $35 | 0xefbff1… |
| 07-08 11:23:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb10e6d… |
| 07-08 11:23:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb10e6d… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xacb687… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7742b8… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xacb687… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7742b8… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 59 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xacb687… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xfb24…ac2c | No | BUY | 141 | 88¢ | $124 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 59 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-01 07:25:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb6d2ab… |
| 07-01 07:25:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb6d2ab… |
| 07-01 07:25:35 | Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | SELL | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x60fd89… |
| 07-01 07:25:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x40f24f… |
| 07-01 07:25:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x60fd89… |
| 07-01 07:25:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x40f24f… |
| 07-01 07:25:35 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | BUY | 40 | 86¢ | $34 | 0x40f24f… |
| 06-30 13:49:49 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | BUY | 41 | 85¢ | $35 | 0x86f81d… |
| 06-30 13:49:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x86f81d… |
| 06-30 13:49:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x86f81d… |
| 06-27 19:30:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb0a808… |
| 06-27 19:30:52 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xb0a808… |
| 06-27 16:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x3f9814… |
| 06-27 16:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x3f9814… |
| 06-26 08:45:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x22b76b… |
| 06-26 08:45:32 | Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x22b76b… |
| 06-26 04:24:01 | Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | SELL | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x37e43f… |
| 06-26 04:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x37e43f… |
| 06-26 01:09:44 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x16f650… |
| 06-26 01:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x16f650… |
| 06-24 15:42:35 | (anonymous) 0xdb07…6510 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x33d287… |
| 06-24 15:42:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x33d287… |
| 06-23 12:10:20 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x072f16… |
| 06-23 12:10:20 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x072f16… |
| 06-23 12:10:19 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x581882… |
| 06-23 12:10:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x581882… |
| 06-23 12:10:19 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 31 | 87¢ | $27 | 0x581882… |
| 06-23 11:54:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x8b062a… |
| 06-23 11:54:35 | General-Tweezers 0x7d79…8935 | No | SELL | 51 | 87¢ | $45 | 0x8b062a… |
| 06-23 11:54:35 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 31 | 87¢ | $27 | 0x8b062a… |
| 06-21 20:11:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 28 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x11890b… |
| 06-21 20:11:31 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 28 | 88¢ | $25 | 0x11890b… |
| 06-20 14:34:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x960964… |
| 06-20 14:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 28 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x960964… |
| 06-20 14:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | SELL | 48 | 86¢ | $41 | 0x960964… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x8c892f… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x8c892f… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xa51a7a… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xa51a7a… |
| 06-18 06:49:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x07ac4e… |
| 06-18 06:49:55 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x07ac4e… |
| 06-18 06:49:46 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xbff7d0… |
| 06-18 06:49:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xbff7d0… |
| 06-18 06:49:10 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x23c0d7… |
| 06-18 06:49:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x23c0d7… |
| 06-18 06:49:10 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x23c0d7… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x47cd…5648 | No | BUY | 103 | 85¢ | $87 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-16 16:40:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6bc16f… |
| 06-16 16:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6bc16f… |
| 06-13 15:13:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xbfa7a1… |
| 06-13 15:13:28 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xbfa7a1… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 72 | 86¢ | $62 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:10:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xfcb9af… |
| 06-13 15:10:48 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xfcb9af… |
| 06-13 15:08:06 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x53d7ae… |
| 06-13 15:08:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x53d7ae… |
| 06-13 15:06:52 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x0978d4… |
| 06-13 15:06:52 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x0978d4… |
| 06-13 15:05:30 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x3be93d… |
| 06-13 15:05:30 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3be93d… |
| 06-13 15:05:30 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0x3be93d… |
| 06-13 14:05:10 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xec2e93… |
| 06-13 14:05:10 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xec2e93… |
| 06-13 14:05:10 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xec2e93… |
| 06-13 14:05:09 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0x9b5df2… |
| 06-13 14:05:09 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 13¢ | $18 | 0x9b5df2… |
| 06-13 14:05:09 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x9b5df2… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Optimistic-Chocolate 0x41a3…46b8 | No | SELL | 437 | 88¢ | $385 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 140 | 88¢ | $123 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 155 | 12¢ | $19 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 81 | 88¢ | $71 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-12 10:28:15 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x517a88… |
| 06-12 10:28:15 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x517a88… |
| 06-12 10:28:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x517a88… |
| 06-12 10:26:34 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xdeeb57… |
| 06-12 10:26:34 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xdeeb57… |
| 06-12 10:22:33 | Digital-Dearest 0xedf4…00fb | No | SELL | 82 | 90¢ | $74 | 0xf342f9… |