Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
open
Total volume
$4,783
Trades
233
Unique wallets
54
Liquidity
$11,601
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-18 10:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.4¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $22
vs crowd: 13% YES on $2.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $82 | $284 | $202 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $141 | $1.0K | $887 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $34 | $273 | $239 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $88 | $704 | $616 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | $18 | $14 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $42 | $234 | $192 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $7 | $20 | $13 |
| Median | 4 | $8 | $26 | $18 |
| Below median | 10 | $87 | $430 | $343 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $79 | $104 | $25 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $59 | $304 | $244 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $37 | $84 | $47 |
| unranked | 15 | $23 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +224 | $193 | $193 | 6 | 06-13 15:13 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +168 | $42 | $72 | 27 | 06-18 10:32 |
| Rosy-Suppression 0x85ee…a64a | Yes | +156 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-27 22:53 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +140 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +140 | $141 | $329 | 4 | 06-13 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x47cd…5648 | No | +103 | $87 | $87 | 1 | 06-18 06:49 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +90 | $72 | $72 | 5 | 06-10 19:41 |
| Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | +83 | $60 | $100 | 4 | 06-06 02:24 |
| Enraged-Reversal 0x87fe…3cbe | No | +82 | $61 | $210 | 4 | 06-02 12:25 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +70 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 20:09 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +60 | $44 | $138 | 13 | 06-13 14:05 |
| General-Tweezers 0x7d79…8935 | No | +51 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 06-04 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | +48 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 06-10 22:36 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +40 | $46 | $162 | 6 | 06-13 15:11 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | +32 | $14 | $54 | 7 | 06-04 06:53 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +31 | $26 | $36 | 6 | 05-31 23:27 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +31 | $-10 | $410 | 6 | 06-11 01:30 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-10 19:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-27 22:53 |
| Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | +28 | $-1 | $31 | 3 | 06-10 22:36 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $11 | 3 | 06-18 10:32 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +26 | $32 | $99 | 5 | 06-18 06:49 |
| Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-01 19:36 |
| mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-11 09:11 |
| Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-01 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +16 | $9 | $72 | 19 | 06-18 06:49 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +11 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 06-05 20:31 |
| Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 17:36 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +9 | $27 | $331 | 7 | 06-13 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 16:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 19:31 |
| Joint-Tower 0xe4e0…1a91 | No | +1 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-11 01:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xa51a7a… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xa51a7a… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x8c892f… |
| 06-18 10:32:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x8c892f… |
| 06-18 06:49:55 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x07ac4e… |
| 06-18 06:49:55 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x07ac4e… |
| 06-18 06:49:46 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xbff7d0… |
| 06-18 06:49:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xbff7d0… |
| 06-18 06:49:10 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x23c0d7… |
| 06-18 06:49:10 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | BUY | 26 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x23c0d7… |
| 06-18 06:49:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x23c0d7… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x47cd…5648 | No | BUY | 103 | 85¢ | $87 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-18 06:49:08 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x3d5525… |
| 06-16 16:40:43 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6bc16f… |
| 06-16 16:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6bc16f… |
| 06-13 15:13:28 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 12 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xbfa7a1… |
| 06-13 15:13:28 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xbfa7a1… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:11:48 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | SELL | 72 | 86¢ | $62 | 0x7c66be… |
| 06-13 15:10:48 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xfcb9af… |
| 06-13 15:10:48 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xfcb9af… |
| 06-13 15:08:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x53d7ae… |
| 06-13 15:08:06 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x53d7ae… |
| 06-13 15:06:52 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x0978d4… |
| 06-13 15:06:52 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x0978d4… |
| 06-13 15:05:30 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 100 | 86¢ | $86 | 0x3be93d… |
| 06-13 15:05:30 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 80 | 86¢ | $69 | 0x3be93d… |
| 06-13 15:05:30 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x3be93d… |
| 06-13 14:05:10 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xec2e93… |
| 06-13 14:05:10 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xec2e93… |
| 06-13 14:05:10 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xec2e93… |
| 06-13 14:05:09 | Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | BUY | 60 | 87¢ | $52 | 0x9b5df2… |
| 06-13 14:05:09 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 140 | 13¢ | $18 | 0x9b5df2… |
| 06-13 14:05:09 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | BUY | 80 | 87¢ | $70 | 0x9b5df2… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | BUY | 81 | 88¢ | $71 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 140 | 88¢ | $123 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Optimistic-Chocolate 0x41a3…46b8 | No | SELL | 437 | 88¢ | $385 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 155 | 12¢ | $19 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-13 14:05:07 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0xca8aba… |
| 06-12 10:28:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x517a88… |
| 06-12 10:28:15 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | SELL | 15 | 89¢ | $13 | 0x517a88… |
| 06-12 10:28:15 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x517a88… |
| 06-12 10:26:34 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | SELL | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xdeeb57… |
| 06-12 10:26:34 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xdeeb57… |
| 06-12 10:22:33 | Incomplete-Vitamin 0xa7db…6688 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf342f9… |
| 06-12 10:22:33 | Digital-Dearest 0xedf4…00fb | No | SELL | 82 | 90¢ | $74 | 0xf342f9… |
| 06-12 10:22:33 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 10¢ | $11 | 0xf342f9… |
| 06-11 10:10:25 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x561f3a… |
| 06-11 10:10:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x561f3a… |
| 06-11 09:11:21 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xbfef0d… |
| 06-11 09:11:21 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xbfef0d… |
| 06-11 01:30:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x5bd3ba… |
| 06-11 01:30:55 | Joint-Tower 0xe4e0…1a91 | No | SELL | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x5bd3ba… |
| 06-11 01:30:48 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 230 | 84¢ | $193 | 0xb79376… |
| 06-11 01:30:48 | Optimistic-Chocolate 0x41a3…46b8 | No | BUY | 437 | 84¢ | $369 | 0xb79376… |
| 06-11 01:30:48 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 15¢ | $17 | 0xb79376… |
| 06-11 01:30:48 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb79376… |
| 06-11 01:30:48 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xb79376… |
| 06-10 22:36:18 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | BUY | 28 | 83¢ | $24 | 0x84700a… |
| 06-10 22:36:18 | Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 17¢ | $5 | 0x84700a… |
| 06-10 22:21:25 | Joint-Tower 0xe4e0…1a91 | No | SELL | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0xca2598… |
| 06-10 22:21:25 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | BUY | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0xca2598… |
| 06-10 22:21:12 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x4cf826… |
| 06-10 22:21:12 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x4cf826… |
| 06-10 22:20:00 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x41204a… |
| 06-10 22:20:00 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x41204a… |
| 06-10 19:41:52 | Sardonic-Caper 0x2d6c…e3f5 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x8d8d10… |
| 06-10 19:41:52 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x8d8d10… |
| 06-10 19:34:10 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xdecb7f… |
| 06-10 19:34:10 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0xdecb7f… |
| 06-10 19:34:06 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xd06ac7… |
| 06-10 19:34:06 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xd06ac7… |
| 06-10 19:34:04 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x1615a3… |
| 06-10 19:34:04 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x1615a3… |
| 06-10 19:32:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd3dc0c… |
| 06-10 19:32:22 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xd3dc0c… |
| 06-10 19:31:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x3c6221… |
| 06-10 19:31:49 | Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x3c6221… |
| 06-10 19:30:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 8 | 78¢ | $6 | 0x36064e… |
| 06-10 19:30:49 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 8 | 78¢ | $6 | 0x36064e… |
| 06-10 18:38:52 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x061fec… |
| 06-10 18:38:52 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x061fec… |
| 06-10 18:36:10 | Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | BUY | 31 | 78¢ | $24 | 0xbd3b27… |
| 06-10 18:36:10 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 31 | 78¢ | $24 | 0xbd3b27… |
| 06-10 18:36:09 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x2e2f07… |
| 06-10 18:36:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x2e2f07… |
| 06-10 18:00:36 | Well-Worn-Loss 0xdaf0…9ff3 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x920a0a… |
| 06-10 18:00:36 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x920a0a… |
| 06-10 18:00:13 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0xa2ae02… |
| 06-10 18:00:13 | Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xa2ae02… |
| 06-06 02:24:42 | Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | SELL | 20 | 76¢ | $15 | 0xc83544… |
| 06-06 02:24:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xc83544… |
| 06-06 00:46:52 | Pointed-Pronunciation 0x82cd…d7d8 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 17¢ | $11 | 0x9ef711… |
| 06-06 00:46:52 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9ef711… |