Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
open
Total volume
$6,920
Trades
366
Unique wallets
72
Liquidity
$11,601
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-01 16:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.7¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $22
vs crowd: 12% YES on $3.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 11 | $125 | $940 | $816 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 24 | $185 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $95 | $219 | $124 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $37 | $877 | $840 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $4 | $18 | $14 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $70 | $786 | $716 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $16 | $101 | $85 |
| Median | 3 | $4 | $2 | +$1 |
| Below median | 12 | $176 | $520 | $344 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $22 | $104 | $83 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $58 | $348 | $290 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $53 | $167 | $114 |
| unranked | 25 | $41 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +647 | $542 | $962 | 8 | 07-16 15:33 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +200 | $170 | $215 | 11 | 07-23 04:43 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +141 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 07-14 01:23 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | +140 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | +140 | $141 | $329 | 4 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +133 | $38 | $98 | 37 | 07-22 23:42 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +132 | $107 | $201 | 17 | 07-14 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | +95 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-14 01:23 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | No | +90 | $72 | $72 | 5 | 06-10 19:41 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +88 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 07-30 10:04 |
| Enraged-Reversal 0x87fe…3cbe | No | +82 | $61 | $210 | 4 | 06-02 12:25 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +70 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-01 20:09 |
| Deafening-Prayer 0xc9f7…229b | No | +64 | $44 | $116 | 7 | 07-01 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +40 | $10 | $116 | 37 | 07-23 00:42 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 14:05 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +40 | $46 | $162 | 6 | 06-13 15:11 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | +32 | $14 | $54 | 7 | 06-04 06:53 |
| Tense-Fort 0x2f26…0d8f | Yes | +31 | $26 | $36 | 6 | 05-31 23:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 6 | 07-23 04:43 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-30 13:49 |
| Safe-Sparerib 0x04d5…188f | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 06-10 19:34 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-27 22:53 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-15 04:27 |
| Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | +28 | $-1 | $31 | 3 | 06-10 22:36 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $11 | 3 | 06-18 10:32 |
| Humming-Macaw 0xfc92…27c9 | No | +26 | $32 | $99 | 5 | 06-18 06:49 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 08-01 16:29 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-08 11:21 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | +11 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 06-05 20:31 |
| Required-Pasta 0xe751…5a2a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-04 17:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-01 16:29 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +9 | $27 | $331 | 7 | 06-13 15:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 16:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 00:46 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-27 15:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xdb07…6510 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 15:42 |
| Stale-Armoire 0xca1f…d282 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 19:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | +1 | $-0 | $69 | 2 | 07-10 16:20 |
| Joint-Tower 0xe4e0…1a91 | No | +1 | $1 | $2 | 3 | 06-11 01:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 16:29:26 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 29 | 93¢ | $27 | 0xe0955f… |
| 08-01 16:29:26 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 93¢ | $22 | 0xe0955f… |
| 08-01 16:29:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xe0955f… |
| 07-30 10:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xfb24…ac2c | No | SELL | 141 | 94¢ | $133 | 0xffe2f5… |
| 07-30 10:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 29 | 94¢ | $27 | 0xffe2f5… |
| 07-30 10:04:35 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 88 | 94¢ | $83 | 0xffe2f5… |
| 07-30 10:04:35 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 24 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xffe2f5… |
| 07-27 15:35:51 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9f1285… |
| 07-27 15:35:51 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9f1285… |
| 07-24 22:12:06 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x119df7… |
| 07-24 22:12:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 18 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x119df7… |
| 07-23 04:43:07 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa2587c… |
| 07-23 04:43:07 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa2587c… |
| 07-23 04:43:07 | Rosy-Suppression 0x85ee…a64a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa2587c… |
| 07-23 03:43:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xad26c1… |
| 07-23 03:43:06 | Rosy-Suppression 0x85ee…a64a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xad26c1… |
| 07-23 03:43:06 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0xad26c1… |
| 07-23 00:42:52 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 48 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3585ce… |
| 07-23 00:42:52 | Rosy-Suppression 0x85ee…a64a | Yes | SELL | 48 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3585ce… |
| 07-22 23:42:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xec6b27… |
| 07-22 23:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xec6b27… |
| 07-22 23:42:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xec6b27… |
| 07-22 23:42:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x5e4345… |
| 07-22 23:42:49 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x5e4345… |
| 07-22 23:42:49 | Rosy-Suppression 0x85ee…a64a | Yes | SELL | 58 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5e4345… |
| 07-22 23:42:49 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5e4345… |
| 07-22 23:42:49 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5e4345… |
| 07-21 03:51:31 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 18 | 91¢ | $16 | 0x9348d0… |
| 07-21 03:51:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x9348d0… |
| 07-16 15:33:50 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 275 | 89¢ | $245 | 0xd96c87… |
| 07-16 15:33:50 | Exhausted-Patina-Disability 0x1206…1362 | No | SELL | 393 | 89¢ | $350 | 0xd96c87… |
| 07-16 15:33:50 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 118 | 11¢ | $13 | 0xd96c87… |
| 07-15 04:27:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x6ec5e1… |
| 07-15 04:27:05 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 13 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6ec5e1… |
| 07-15 04:27:05 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x6ec5e1… |
| 07-14 01:41:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0x2f6ade… |
| 07-14 01:41:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x2f6ade… |
| 07-14 01:41:17 | (anonymous) 0x47cd…5648 | No | SELL | 103 | 90¢ | $92 | 0x2f6ade… |
| 07-14 01:41:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2f6ade… |
| 07-14 01:25:11 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x897df4… |
| 07-14 01:25:11 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | SELL | 16 | 89¢ | $14 | 0x897df4… |
| 07-14 01:25:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xcdb4c2… |
| 07-14 01:25:10 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xcdb4c2… |
| 07-14 01:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3069d9… |
| 07-14 01:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x5a79bc… |
| 07-14 01:24:04 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5a79bc… |
| 07-14 01:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x5a79bc… |
| 07-14 01:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x3069d9… |
| 07-14 01:24:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7be515… |
| 07-14 01:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x0b9b29… |
| 07-14 01:24:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbe9eb3… |
| 07-14 01:24:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0b9b29… |
| 07-14 01:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xbe9eb3… |
| 07-14 01:24:02 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x7be515… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xa7ed79… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xbfc29c… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa7ed79… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xbfc29c… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xfe9193… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x52e74c… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfe9193… |
| 07-14 01:24:01 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x52e74c… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xf73919… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x77bd81… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4c6b1f… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xf73919… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xf73919… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x77bd81… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x4c6b1f… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x9604fb… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf73919… |
| 07-14 01:23:59 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x9604fb… |
| 07-14 01:23:35 | (anonymous) 0x5c41…8794 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x63e28f… |
| 07-14 01:23:35 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x63e28f… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 121 | 10¢ | $12 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 341 | 90¢ | $307 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 95 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | Digital-Dearest 0xedf4…00fb | No | SELL | 41 | 90¢ | $37 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-14 01:23:34 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | SELL | 28 | 90¢ | $25 | 0xe5b7bf… |
| 07-12 15:34:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7149a1… |
| 07-12 15:34:59 | mskl 0x0fa2…05aa | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7149a1… |
| 07-10 16:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 39 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xefbff1… |
| 07-10 16:20:46 | (anonymous) 0x34bb…f9af | No | SELL | 39 | 89¢ | $35 | 0xefbff1… |
| 07-08 11:23:14 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb10e6d… |
| 07-08 11:23:14 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb10e6d… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xacb687… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 59 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xacb687… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7742b8… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xacb687… |
| 07-08 11:21:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x7742b8… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 59 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0xfb24…ac2c | No | BUY | 141 | 88¢ | $124 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-08 11:21:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x8f1bbb… |
| 07-01 07:25:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb6d2ab… |
| 07-01 07:25:52 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb6d2ab… |