Realized P&L
+$16.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.12K
Hit rate
63.0%
Resolved
2,048
Trades
236,667
lifetime
Volume
$2.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Politics
61% 46% +$10,974
Other
37% 46% +$6,075
Tech
2% 43% -$656
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$33
Sports
0% 69% +$423
Crypto
0% 29% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 795 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes +2,232 $456 61¢ $1.4K +$896 10-24 16:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,483 -$273 18¢ $-260 +$14 10-30 00:18
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -3,283 -$457 3¢ $-103 +$354 10-25 22:27
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -124 -$97 82¢ $-102 -$6 07-03 10:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,067 $105 4¢ $83 -$22 10-28 08:13
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +381 $151 20¢ $78 -$73 10-30 01:55
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,728 $176 4¢ $78 -$98 10-28 00:46
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes -73 -$107 97¢ $-71 +$36 10-08 18:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +1,484 $72 5¢ $70 -$2 10-29 20:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +196 $110 36¢ $70 -$41 10-30 01:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +436 $56 15¢ $63 +$7 10-26 11:31
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +697 $96 9¢ $63 -$33 10-29 20:27
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +1,050 $167 6¢ $58 -$109 10-28 03:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +152 $60 32¢ $49 -$11 10-30 01:35
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +320 $92 14¢ $43 -$48 10-29 19:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +88 $41 48¢ $43 +$1 10-29 23:01
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No -42 -$41 99¢ $-42 -$1 08-15 00:38
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +1,013 $73 4¢ $41 -$32 10-22 02:48
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +199 $104 18¢ $36 -$68 10-26 18:35
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,972 $88 1¢ $36 -$52 10-25 21:46
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -39 -$37 91¢ $-36 +$1 10-07 10:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,764 $76 2¢ $35 -$40 10-27 03:56
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,528 -$163 2¢ $-35 +$127 10-09 08:02
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +294 $70 11¢ $31 -$39 10-29 06:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -470 -$130 6¢ $-31 +$99 10-29 17:46
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes -283 -$311 11¢ $-30 +$281 10-19 22:17
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,220 $31 2¢ $29 -$2 10-30 00:05
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -527 -$10 6¢ $-29 -$19 10-05 16:17
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +720 $53 4¢ $29 -$24 10-30 00:55
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? Yes +656 $4 4¢ $28 +$24 10-28 13:28