Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$836

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

189,400

lifetime

Volume

$1.72M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

63% 60% $-31

Other

35% 80% +$866

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 861 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2,634	$44.1K	200,734	223,630	-22,896	open	—	03-10 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1,749	$35.1K	148,858	154,054	-5,196	open	—	04-28 19:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1,835	$32.8K	63,134	78,073	-14,939	open	—	03-21 19:00
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	1,258	$28.3K	27,583	34,874	-7,291	open	—	01-10 17:01
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	960	$26.9K	44,526	50,953	-6,427	open	—	01-25 23:06
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1,007	$26.2K	22,987	34,379	-11,392	open	—	01-12 04:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1,502	$25.1K	70,165	76,479	-6,314	open	—	05-01 04:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	755	$23.2K	33,648	32,976	+671	open	—	06-15 02:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2,008	$19.1K	192,177	195,478	-3,301	open	—	03-27 20:02
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1,709	$18.5K	19,591	27,109	-7,518	open	—	01-12 09:36
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	522	$16.4K	22,826	28,483	-5,656	open	—	02-28 06:47
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	671	$16.3K	33,926	40,560	-6,635	open	—	01-28 00:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1,387	$15.6K	100,434	109,411	-8,977	open	—	04-15 15:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	743	$15.3K	32,703	35,057	-2,354	open	—	05-01 19:11
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	935	$15.3K	39,483	37,887	+1,597	open	—	07-01 09:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	429	$14.7K	20,419	24,875	-4,456	open	—	02-28 19:34
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	1,040	$14.5K	14,961	18,623	-3,662	open	—	01-10 10:13
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	640	$14.2K	53,209	53,209	+0	open	—	07-28 22:08
will iran strike cyprus in march	856	$14.2K	22,162	22,230	-68	open	—	03-04 01:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	539	$13.7K	23,589	22,544	+1,045	open	—	05-01 19:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	977	$13.5K	37,989	48,264	-10,275	open	—	04-01 04:49
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	603	$13.3K	20,343	27,184	-6,841	open	—	01-19 12:33
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	1,302	$13.2K	19,616	23,820	-4,204	open	—	01-11 21:09
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	549	$13.1K	30,245	35,698	-5,454	open	—	02-28 07:21
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	635	$12.7K	13,887	17,719	-3,832	open	—	01-15 18:07
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	979	$12.5K	32,066	34,044	-1,978	open	—	01-23 20:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	462	$12.4K	18,490	19,947	-1,456	open	—	02-25 06:26
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	599	$12.3K	41,431	50,631	-9,200	open	—	02-03 21:18
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	830	$11.8K	23,187	31,754	-8,567	open	—	03-31 19:46
will trump visit china by march 31	1,930	$11.3K	129,751	137,246	-7,495	open	—	03-25 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 23:08:13	will ishaq dar attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044270	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x15ef91…
08-09 23:04:48	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	4¢	$5	0xa74532…
08-09 22:57:49	will trump say soaking wet in august 20260728220215928	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd44fc7…
08-09 22:27:55	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xa34487…
08-09 22:25:28	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe6a1ed…
08-09 21:45:00	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0x73f2b3…
08-09 21:44:10	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x0fb5a4…
08-09 21:41:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	415	10¢	$42	0xc4697a…
08-09 21:41:16	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	84	6¢	$5	0xca8208…
08-09 21:40:49	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xc7d1a4…
08-09 21:33:27	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x63321c…
08-09 21:32:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	95	10¢	$10	0xbe4075…
08-09 21:25:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	83	58¢	$48	0x10ca4b…
08-09 21:24:33	chud the builder convicted	Yes	BUY	32	14¢	$5	0xbdec0a…
08-09 21:24:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x74a747…
08-09 21:23:39	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x494d9e…
08-09 21:23:33	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x9efc6f…
08-09 21:23:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	46	10¢	$5	0x009034…
08-09 21:20:10	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	Yes	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0x52de4b…
08-09 21:16:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	371	11¢	$41	0x8e21fa…
08-09 21:15:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xde2c13…
08-09 21:14:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	113	15¢	$17	0xf83099…
08-09 21:14:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	129	12¢	$15	0xff8040…
08-09 21:13:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x6224e4…
08-09 21:12:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xdc0f53…
08-09 21:11:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xd87a6e…
08-09 21:10:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	327	15¢	$49	0x134d0d…
08-09 21:10:01	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	109	24¢	$26	0x7129fa…
08-09 21:10:01	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x2ef2c1…
08-09 21:09:09	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	65	9¢	$6	0x65ee75…
08-09 21:04:36	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xe5969c…
08-09 20:59:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xd0ca6d…
08-09 20:53:07	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0xd9492c…
08-09 20:46:55	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	BUY	88	24¢	$21	0x149a00…
08-09 20:46:49	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x76bae7…
08-09 20:39:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	309	7¢	$22	0x1f0a49…
08-09 20:38:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	732	7¢	$51	0xc0568d…
08-09 20:36:10	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	75	27¢	$20	0x2b38a5…
08-09 20:31:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	185	5¢	$9	0xbd3c8d…
08-09 20:28:39	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0x768543…
08-09 20:24:12	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x2fe41e…
08-09 20:22:16	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x51ac45…
08-09 20:20:39	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	182	16¢	$29	0x6cb493…
08-09 20:18:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x45f6fe…
08-09 20:15:37	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x04180c…
08-09 20:11:57	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x164f0f…
08-09 20:07:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0x4d2dac…
08-09 20:04:13	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xc70cfc…
08-09 20:04:07	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x7f6bdb…
08-09 20:04:06	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xc197bb…
08-09 20:04:06	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x89c385…
08-09 20:00:12	Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xab3603…
08-09 19:58:45	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x30195c…
08-09 19:58:37	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xf5a807…
08-09 19:58:30	will renan santos qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203623448	Yes	SELL	26	9¢	$2	0xefadae…
08-09 19:46:36	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x4136af…
08-09 19:30:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	308	12¢	$37	0x555de0…
08-09 19:29:31	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xa8bd69…
08-09 19:27:37	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x061d93…
08-09 19:23:51	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x7bdaca…
08-09 19:15:12	Natural Disaster in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x385a4e…
08-09 19:14:39	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x95ee07…
08-09 19:14:37	will donald trump publicly insult candace owens by august 31 2026 20260730161742245	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x967d82…
08-09 19:04:27	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x5d7e82…
08-09 19:02:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	456	9¢	$41	0x3070c6…
08-09 19:01:33	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	51	18¢	$9	0x7c6d32…
08-09 18:57:49	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0xdfd021…
08-09 18:55:46	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x6acbad…
08-09 18:55:06	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0x1c6fe0…
08-09 18:53:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	80	13¢	$10	0x4afa7f…
08-09 18:51:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	54	13¢	$7	0x3e89af…
08-09 18:47:48	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x1602fd…
08-09 18:47:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x10b36e…
08-09 18:42:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	442	12¢	$53	0x2f79ce…
08-09 18:42:07	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x5853a2…
08-09 18:41:28	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xbe0ef7…
08-09 18:40:21	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x47b2b6…
08-09 18:39:54	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6445a3…
08-09 18:39:54	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x2e4e70…
08-09 18:39:27	Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x531237…
08-09 18:39:16	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xc33c55…
08-09 18:39:06	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xe28c2d…
08-09 18:38:27	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	111	28¢	$31	0xd0042f…
08-09 18:35:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	32	14¢	$4	0x47088d…
08-09 18:31:55	will jared kushner attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044257	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x48a86a…
08-09 18:29:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	513	8¢	$41	0x4caccf…
08-09 18:29:04	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	104	29¢	$30	0x64ea53…
08-09 18:28:57	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xa42ade…
08-09 18:18:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	347	15¢	$52	0x33c2e6…
08-09 18:15:58	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	BUY	106	23¢	$24	0x7d65f9…
08-09 18:15:54	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0xce8ef3…
08-09 18:14:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	294	14¢	$41	0xdeaada…
08-09 18:14:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1ec01d…
08-09 18:14:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	76	14¢	$11	0x3f8983…
08-09 18:12:31	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	110	3¢	$3	0xb10beb…
08-09 18:11:22	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	SELL	112	3¢	$3	0x594256…
08-09 18:10:55	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x100a80…
08-09 18:08:49	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0x796014…
08-09 18:08:46	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x42264b…
08-09 18:07:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	333	15¢	$50	0x3d4908…