Realized P&L
+$836
Unrealized P&L
+$230
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
158,081
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.92K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
64% 60% $-31
Other
35% 80% +$866
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2474 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,381 $635 26¢ $607 $-28 06-09 22:49
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +8,105 $-9 $272 +$281 06-10 01:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,460 $-225 18¢ $-255 $-30 06-10 00:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -1,201 $-268 20¢ $-234 +$33 06-09 21:32
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +2,042 $220 10¢ $194 $-26 06-09 23:57
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -3,376 $-182 $-160 +$22 06-09 22:02
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,215 $-113 10¢ $-121 $-9 06-07 01:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -341 $-100 24¢ $-82 +$18 06-10 01:15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -4,443 $-79 $-78 +$1 06-10 00:53
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes -90 $-30 82¢ $-74 $-43 06-07 09:55
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -240 $-74 26¢ $-61 +$13 06-10 00:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -470 $-61 12¢ $-59 +$2 05-31 08:53
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +496 $43 12¢ $59 +$15 06-03 20:59
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -493 $-43 11¢ $-54 $-11 06-07 11:29
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +909 $62 $53 $-10 06-09 07:50
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +98 $53 54¢ $53 $-1 06-05 07:16
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? Yes +280 $65 18¢ $52 $-13 06-09 19:03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -250 $-50 20¢ $-49 +$1 06-04 19:40
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -281 $-44 16¢ $-44 +$1 05-31 17:33
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? Yes +832 $31 $42 +$11 06-02 18:10
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes +864 $23 $39 +$16 06-09 02:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +72 $33 53¢ $38 +$5 06-09 13:16
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? Yes -512 $-40 $-37 +$3 06-01 03:23
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No -67 $-33 48¢ $-33 $-0 06-09 23:09
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes -236 $-25 13¢ $-31 $-6 06-05 14:42
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -203 $-24 15¢ $-29 $-5 05-30 23:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -102 $-28 29¢ $-29 $-1 06-08 04:37
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? Yes -290 $-31 10¢ $-29 +$2 06-08 13:20
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +78 $46 37¢ $29 $-18 06-09 23:43
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes -68 $-34 41¢ $-28 +$6 06-09 00:41