Realized P&L
+$836
Unrealized P&L
+$2.12K
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
179,190
lifetime
Volume
$1.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$5.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
63% 60% $-31
Other
36% 80% +$866
Tech
1%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 756 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +1,483 $448 60¢ $897 +$449 07-10 15:41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +9,190 $-330 $653 +$982 07-20 19:21
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No -829 $-667 47¢ $-386 +$281 07-19 14:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -1,253 $-215 24¢ $-294 $-80 07-19 17:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -3,449 $-475 $-293 +$182 07-20 07:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,072 $-200 26¢ $-284 $-84 07-20 14:13
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -889 $-149 32¢ $-280 $-131 07-13 23:27
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -2,085 $-128 11¢ $-219 $-91 07-20 16:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -3,013 $-204 $-211 $-7 07-11 22:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -1,464 $-233 12¢ $-183 +$50 07-20 19:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -720 $-212 24¢ $-173 +$39 07-16 00:24
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -1,614 $-201 11¢ $-169 +$32 07-18 15:53
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -3,024 $-165 $-166 $-2 07-20 19:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -855 $-208 18¢ $-154 +$54 07-20 19:04
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -3,960 $-242 $-127 +$116 07-19 17:20
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -313 $-58 40¢ $-124 $-65 07-15 22:41
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,473 $-136 $-110 +$26 07-20 13:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -544 $-132 20¢ $-106 +$26 07-06 06:43
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes -514 $35 20¢ $-103 $-138 07-20 10:33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -1,551 $-121 $-102 +$19 07-19 19:40
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -665 $-137 15¢ $-96 +$41 06-28 20:43
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -1,645 $-134 $-90 +$44 07-13 13:15
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -245 $-106 30¢ $-75 +$31 07-20 11:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -1,635 $-79 $-71 +$8 07-19 09:59
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -481 $-62 14¢ $-65 $-3 06-28 16:14
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -296 $-76 20¢ $-61 +$15 07-19 04:16
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +292 $58 20¢ $58 +$1 07-18 09:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -2,645 $-351 $-57 +$294 07-19 05:21
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -872 $-68 $-57 +$11 07-02 20:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -1,241 $-75 $-55 +$20 07-19 08:45