(anonymous) 0x6b0ebb…46e3ea
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$836
Unrealized P&L
+$263
Hit rate
63.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
166,094
lifetime
Volume
$1.50M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$3.38K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
64% 60% $-31
Other
35% 80% +$866
Tech
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2474 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -379 $-24 97¢ $-369 $-346 06-26 10:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -3,531 $-475 9¢ $-318 +$157 06-30 12:47
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -884 $-147 34¢ $-296 $-149 06-26 00:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,480 $-280 14¢ $-200 +$81 06-14 22:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -1,191 $-198 16¢ $-196 +$1 06-29 19:54
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -4,134 $-221 5¢ $-196 +$25 06-22 00:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -1,463 $-185 11¢ $-154 +$31 06-30 14:09
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +710 $30 19¢ $135 +$105 06-26 17:10
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes -1,470 $-136 9¢ $-132 +$4 06-30 11:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -2,142 $-123 6¢ $-129 $-5 06-30 13:29
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,166 $-108 8¢ $-99 +$9 06-27 20:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -208 $-105 45¢ $-94 +$11 06-29 17:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -549 $-97 16¢ $-91 +$7 06-26 07:14
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -126 $-35 70¢ $-89 $-54 06-29 11:31
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $77 42¢ $84 +$7 06-30 16:33
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes -665 $-137 12¢ $-83 +$54 06-28 20:43
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -596 $-73 11¢ $-63 +$10 06-24 00:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -728 $-60 8¢ $-62 $-2 06-11 21:12
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +2,096 $-212 3¢ $62 +$274 06-30 16:25
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +221 $103 26¢ $56 $-47 06-30 12:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -481 $-62 12¢ $-55 +$7 06-28 16:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No -568 $-69 10¢ $-54 +$15 06-27 08:32
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +864 $4 6¢ $51 +$48 06-30 12:09
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes -416 $-57 12¢ $-50 +$7 06-29 23:11
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +154 $16 31¢ $48 +$31 06-29 12:58
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -174 $-45 26¢ $-46 $-1 06-30 15:02
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -550 $-63 8¢ $-44 +$19 06-17 11:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -164 $-41 26¢ $-42 $-1 06-30 16:19
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -93 $-37 45¢ $-42 $-5 06-30 13:58
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -436 $-11 10¢ $-41 $-31 06-19 17:08