Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$62
$7 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$1,488
Latest YES mid
89¢
Latest NO mid
11¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-17 01:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $5 | $0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | — | $6 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 3 | $9 | $1 | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| unranked | 5 | $4 | $2 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | +84 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 04:01 |
| Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | +18 | $1 | $9 | 7 | 07-17 01:02 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 20:50 |
| Hearty-Bubble 0x4be7…8e91 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-05 17:12 |
| Quick-Witted-Artichoke 0xacc6…236d | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 17:12 |
| Oddball-Metric 0x7593…8ed8 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5607…45dd | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 03:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 01:02:32 | (anonymous) 0xf2e6…c23f | No | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x03d6d4… |
| 07-17 01:02:32 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x03d6d4… |
| 07-17 00:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xf2e6…c23f | No | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x936acc… |
| 07-17 00:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x936acc… |
| 07-14 20:50:07 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa43d1c… |
| 07-14 20:50:07 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa43d1c… |
| 07-14 20:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa43d1c… |
| 07-12 13:59:17 | Difficult-Walk 0x93a3…8304 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xbff7d7… |
| 07-12 13:59:17 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xbff7d7… |
| 07-09 03:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x5607…45dd | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb4cdd8… |
| 07-09 03:58:56 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb4cdd8… |
| 06-27 11:33:52 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfab59f… |
| 06-27 11:33:52 | Bustling-Blinker 0x29b7…239f | No | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfab59f… |
| 06-25 08:13:56 | Bustling-Blinker 0x29b7…239f | No | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd9341f… |
| 06-25 08:13:56 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd9341f… |
| 06-21 04:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 74 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x026eb0… |
| 06-21 04:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x026eb0… |
| 06-21 04:01:25 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | BUY | 84 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x026eb0… |
| 06-16 04:55:42 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x01d3e9… |
| 06-16 04:55:42 | Exalted-Cabin-Rescue 0xfa6c…a67d | No | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x01d3e9… |
| 06-05 17:12:22 | Quick-Witted-Artichoke 0xacc6…236d | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb92a2e… |
| 06-05 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb92a2e… |
| 06-05 17:12:22 | Hearty-Bubble 0x4be7…8e91 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xb92a2e… |
| 05-28 03:55:30 | Hearty-Bubble 0x4be7…8e91 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x472fb6… |
| 05-28 03:55:30 | Oddball-Metric 0x7593…8ed8 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x472fb6… |