Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$538
$7 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,488
Latest YES mid
89¢
Latest NO mid
11¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-09 03:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $74 | $10 | +$64 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $53 | $12 | +$40 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $77 | $7 | +$70 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | — | $6 | $6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 4 | $14 | $1 | +$13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $39 | $10 | +$28 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $74 | $10 | +$64 |
| unranked | 7 | $77 | $2 | +$75 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lean-Yoke 0x272e…6e99 | Yes | +119 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 08-09 03:46 |
| Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | +84 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-21 04:01 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | +45 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 08-09 01:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 08-09 03:41 |
| Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | +16 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-14 20:50 |
| Hearty-Bubble 0x4be7…8e91 | Yes | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-05 17:12 |
| Quick-Witted-Artichoke 0xacc6…236d | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 17:12 |
| Oddball-Metric 0x7593…8ed8 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 03:55 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-09 03:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x5607…45dd | No | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 03:58 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-09 01:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-09 03:44 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 03:46:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x504ea6… |
| 08-09 03:46:13 | Lean-Yoke 0x272e…6e99 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0x504ea6… |
| 08-09 03:44:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 65¢ | $22 | 0x6b1520… |
| 08-09 03:44:54 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | No | BUY | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x6b1520… |
| 08-09 03:44:54 | Lean-Yoke 0x272e…6e99 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 65¢ | $26 | 0x6b1520… |
| 08-09 03:41:51 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xa1eb6a… |
| 08-09 03:41:51 | Lean-Yoke 0x272e…6e99 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 57¢ | $36 | 0xa1eb6a… |
| 08-09 03:41:51 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | No | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xa1eb6a… |
| 08-09 03:41:51 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 56¢ | $19 | 0xa1eb6a… |
| 08-09 01:11:54 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x6cbcd4… |
| 08-09 01:11:54 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x6cbcd4… |
| 08-09 01:11:54 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 33 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x6cbcd4… |
| 08-09 01:11:54 | (anonymous) 0xbe72…900f | Yes | SELL | 238 | 87¢ | $207 | 0x6cbcd4… |
| 08-09 01:11:54 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 87¢ | $74 | 0x6cbcd4… |
| 08-09 01:11:54 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 87¢ | $39 | 0x6cbcd4… |
| 07-17 01:02:32 | (anonymous) 0xf2e6…c23f | No | SELL | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x03d6d4… |
| 07-17 01:02:32 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x03d6d4… |
| 07-17 00:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xf2e6…c23f | No | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x936acc… |
| 07-17 00:59:38 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x936acc… |
| 07-14 20:50:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa43d1c… |
| 07-14 20:50:07 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa43d1c… |
| 07-14 20:50:07 | Intent-Property 0x57f5…c1c9 | No | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa43d1c… |
| 07-12 13:59:17 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 3 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xbff7d7… |
| 07-12 13:59:17 | Difficult-Walk 0x93a3…8304 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 87¢ | $3 | 0xbff7d7… |
| 07-09 03:58:56 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb4cdd8… |
| 07-09 03:58:56 | (anonymous) 0x5607…45dd | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xb4cdd8… |
| 06-27 11:33:52 | Bustling-Blinker 0x29b7…239f | No | SELL | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfab59f… |
| 06-27 11:33:52 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xfab59f… |
| 06-25 08:13:56 | Bustling-Blinker 0x29b7…239f | No | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd9341f… |
| 06-25 08:13:56 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd9341f… |
| 06-21 04:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x026eb0… |
| 06-21 04:01:25 | Forsaken-Meridian 0x91d7…0dfc | No | BUY | 84 | 12¢ | $10 | 0x026eb0… |
| 06-21 04:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | No | SELL | 74 | 12¢ | $9 | 0x026eb0… |
| 06-16 04:55:42 | Drab-Cathedral 0x623f…1852 | No | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x01d3e9… |
| 06-16 04:55:42 | Exalted-Cabin-Rescue 0xfa6c…a67d | No | SELL | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x01d3e9… |
| 06-05 17:12:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb92a2e… |
| 06-05 17:12:22 | Quick-Witted-Artichoke 0xacc6…236d | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb92a2e… |
| 06-05 17:12:22 | Hearty-Bubble 0x4be7…8e91 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xb92a2e… |
| 05-28 03:55:30 | Hearty-Bubble 0x4be7…8e91 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x472fb6… |
| 05-28 03:55:30 | Oddball-Metric 0x7593…8ed8 | No | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x472fb6… |