Realized P&L
-$5.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.26K
Hit rate
42.1%
Resolved
86
Trades
16,180
lifetime
Volume
$1.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$82
Open exposure
$19.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-21 12:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
59% 57% $-3,771
Crypto
38% 25% $-1,464
Sports
2% 100% +$46
Tech
0%
Politics
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 1211 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -10,588 $-7,799 86¢ $-9053 $-1,254 07-09 04:04
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +2,510 $924 80¢ $2.0K +$1,097 06-13 02:46
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +3,691 $872 35¢ $1.3K +$420 06-01 17:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,559 $554 82¢ $1.3K +$724 06-25 20:55
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +1,767 $875 62¢ $1.1K +$229 06-18 17:04
US recession by end of 2026? No +863 $721 88¢ $759 +$39 06-14 09:26
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No -513 $-446 94¢ $-480 $-33 06-23 04:55
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -528 $-414 90¢ $-475 $-61 06-12 12:21
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -1,973 $-930 20¢ $-385 +$545 06-16 09:23
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -428 $-255 80¢ $-342 $-87 06-25 00:05
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -356 $-322 94¢ $-335 $-13 06-06 09:04
Rippling IPO before 2027? No -287 $-244 86¢ $-247 $-3 06-12 12:22
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,743 $-210 $-211 $-1 07-21 15:36
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -200 $-180 86¢ $-173 +$7 07-06 14:09
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +186 $168 90¢ $168 +$1 06-16 15:26
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -929 $-391 18¢ $-167 +$224 06-12 12:21
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +231 $88 70¢ $162 +$73 07-15 03:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -428 $-304 38¢ $-160 +$143 06-17 10:12
Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +521 $75 22¢ $117 +$42 07-06 13:50
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No -110 $-98 86¢ $-94 +$4 06-25 14:44
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +98 $58 88¢ $86 +$28 06-16 05:54
Betmoar FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +97 $71 82¢ $79 +$8 06-17 00:34
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? No +91 $73 86¢ $78 +$4 06-21 12:45
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +231 $84 30¢ $69 $-15 07-16 11:19
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +68 $63 97¢ $66 +$3 06-05 19:04
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +69 $61 92¢ $63 +$2 06-10 04:01
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +618 $66 10¢ $62 $-5 07-21 14:45
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -349 $-192 17¢ $-60 +$132 05-30 20:24
Deel IPO before 2027? No +62 $60 96¢ $59 $-0 06-14 16:25
OKX IPO in 2026? No +61 $55 91¢ $56 +$1 06-14 16:26