Realized P&L
+$14.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.20K
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
8,590
Trades
27,549
lifetime
Volume
$2.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$33.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 08-11 20:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Other
67% 37% -$5,283
Crypto
29% 38% +$24,346
Sports
3% 43% -$3,757
Politics
1% 19% -$1,072
Tech
0% 20% -$127
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -12,238 -$9,082 93¢ $-11382 -$2,300 08-11 20:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6,433 -$5,725 97¢ $-6240 -$515 05-13 02:06
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4,421 $1,943 97¢ $4.3K +$2,357 06-25 20:55
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +2,510 $924 97¢ $2.4K +$1,503 06-13 02:46
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,108 $2,031 98¢ $2.1K +$41 07-17 03:15
US recession by end of 2026? No +885 $739 94¢ $836 +$97 06-14 16:25
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2,811 -$1,546 27¢ $-755 +$791 05-30 20:24
Databricks IPO before 2027? No -734 -$575 98¢ $-718 -$143 06-13 19:24
Rippling IPO before 2027? No -541 -$447 95¢ $-512 -$64 06-13 19:25
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? No -513 -$446 97¢ $-496 -$50 06-23 04:55
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +4,594 $1,134 10¢ $459 -$674 06-01 17:29
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -500 -$425 90¢ $-448 -$22 06-12 12:24
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -428 -$255 94¢ $-400 -$146 06-25 00:05
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -371 -$319 99¢ $-367 -$47 06-05 19:24
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -356 -$322 96¢ $-341 -$18 06-06 09:04
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -336 -$281 99¢ $-333 -$51 06-12 12:23
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +231 $88 96¢ $222 +$134 07-15 03:32
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? No -200 -$180 97¢ $-193 -$13 07-06 14:09
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +186 $168 95¢ $178 +$10 06-16 15:26
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -4,743 -$210 3¢ $-121 +$89 07-21 15:36
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +119 $90 99¢ $118 +$28 07-06 14:10
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +69 $61 97¢ $67 +$6 06-10 04:01
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -1,973 -$930 3¢ $-66 +$864 06-16 09:23
Deel IPO before 2027? No +62 $60 99¢ $62 +$2 06-14 16:25
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +1,299 $146 5¢ $60 -$87 06-01 20:05
OKX IPO in 2026? No +61 $55 96¢ $58 +$4 06-14 16:26
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? No +58 $46 96¢ $55 +$10 08-06 09:28
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +47 $35 97¢ $46 +$10 04-28 12:30
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +49 $26 86¢ $42 +$16 06-15 15:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -929 -$391 3¢ $-26 +$365 06-12 12:21