Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
open
Total volume
$2,848
Trades
78
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$10,352
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-30 22:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+75.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $191
vs crowd: 25% YES on $1.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $28 | $648 | $620 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $222 | $9 | +$213 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $17 | $199 | $182 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $26 | $30 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $191 | — | +$191 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $7 | $163 | $156 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | $10 | $10 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $39 | $462 | $423 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $12 | $203 | $192 |
| unranked | 12 | $25 | $48 | $23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +944 | $89 | $258 | 18 | 07-30 22:45 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +403 | $363 | $363 | 1 | 07-30 22:45 |
| Mammoth-Payment 0x50b2…c94a | Yes | +300 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-22 10:00 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +254 | $203 | $203 | 1 | 06-01 03:22 |
| Flickering-Deviance 0x0eac…140a | Yes | +144 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 06-03 02:59 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +119 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-30 22:45 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +110 | $99 | $99 | 2 | 07-28 11:05 |
| Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-30 22:45 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +59 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-01 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xfd0a…dbf0 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-07 04:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb7a7…8049 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-28 11:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x830d…be50 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-06 14:26 |
| Sparkling-Folder 0x94dc…dfc1 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-20 14:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $4 | 4 | 06-16 22:37 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +3 | $2 | $16 | 2 | 06-03 02:59 |
| Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 11:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 22:45:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 179 | 10¢ | $18 | 0xfc1cea… |
| 07-30 22:45:20 | Altruistic-Wellbeing 0x1e5a…d56e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0xfc1cea… |
| 07-30 22:45:20 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 403 | 90¢ | $363 | 0xfc1cea… |
| 07-30 22:45:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 10¢ | $12 | 0xfc1cea… |
| 07-30 22:45:20 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfc1cea… |
| 07-28 11:05:16 | (anonymous) 0xb7a7…8049 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x36934f… |
| 07-28 11:05:16 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x36934f… |
| 07-27 19:43:31 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0x724123… |
| 07-27 19:43:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x724123… |
| 07-18 22:53:33 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 34 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xf45ff5… |
| 07-18 22:53:33 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | SELL | 34 | 88¢ | $30 | 0xf45ff5… |
| 07-17 10:53:04 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x15b1d0… |
| 07-17 10:53:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x15b1d0… |
| 07-16 23:28:55 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 107 | 12¢ | $13 | 0xfde319… |
| 07-16 23:28:55 | (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xfde319… |
| 07-16 23:28:55 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | No | SELL | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0xfde319… |
| 07-14 15:44:56 | Some-Robot 0xc42f…78a0 | No | SELL | 338 | 89¢ | $301 | 0x7e7abd… |
| 07-14 15:44:56 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 338 | 11¢ | $37 | 0x7e7abd… |
| 07-13 18:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 56 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xfce435… |
| 07-13 18:42:40 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 44 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xfce435… |
| 07-13 18:42:40 | (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xfce435… |
| 07-12 11:15:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x98e234… |
| 07-12 11:15:31 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x98e234… |
| 07-12 10:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x3ff4a2… |
| 07-12 10:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x3ff4a2… |
| 07-12 10:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | BUY | 105 | 10¢ | $11 | 0x3ff4a2… |
| 07-12 10:49:32 | (anonymous) 0x82ae…2890 | No | BUY | 34 | 90¢ | $31 | 0x3ff4a2… |
| 07-07 11:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x662d…2f66 | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3ff512… |
| 07-07 11:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x3ff512… |
| 07-06 08:38:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xcc0da3… |
| 07-06 08:38:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xcc0da3… |
| 07-06 08:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xd61f…b9f4 | Yes | SELL | 484 | 10¢ | $47 | 0x0c843a… |
| 07-06 08:38:17 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 160 | 9¢ | $14 | 0x0c843a… |
| 07-06 08:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xb146…c098 | No | SELL | 16 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x0c843a… |
| 07-06 08:38:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x0c843a… |
| 07-01 11:36:01 | Cluttered-Incense 0x4add…8cdf | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5f5927… |
| 07-01 11:36:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5f5927… |
| 06-27 12:05:53 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 176 | 10¢ | $18 | 0x877c35… |
| 06-27 12:05:53 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 308 | 90¢ | $277 | 0x877c35… |
| 06-27 12:05:53 | (anonymous) 0xd61f…b9f4 | Yes | SELL | 484 | 10¢ | $48 | 0x877c35… |
| 06-25 12:57:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x802ff5… |
| 06-25 12:57:28 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x802ff5… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | (anonymous) 0xd61f…b9f4 | Yes | SELL | 968 | 12¢ | $117 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 286 | 11¢ | $31 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | Mammoth-Payment 0x50b2…c94a | Yes | BUY | 300 | 13¢ | $39 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x5c66…31e3 | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 21 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 10:00:41 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x2407c6… |
| 06-22 08:28:31 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | SELL | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xfd62bd… |
| 06-22 08:28:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xfd62bd… |
| 06-22 08:23:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x15881d… |
| 06-22 08:23:10 | Tricky-Bubble 0xab60…4f5d | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x15881d… |
| 06-20 14:58:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc1452e… |
| 06-20 14:58:43 | Sparkling-Folder 0x94dc…dfc1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xc1452e… |
| 06-16 22:37:52 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xefc1b7… |
| 06-16 22:37:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xefc1b7… |
| 06-15 23:46:10 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xcec67a… |
| 06-15 23:46:10 | (anonymous) 0x80cb…02ac | Yes | SELL | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xcec67a… |
| 06-08 20:00:03 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb49b19… |
| 06-08 20:00:03 | Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xb49b19… |
| 06-07 04:55:58 | (anonymous) 0xfd0a…dbf0 | No | BUY | 13 | 86¢ | $11 | 0xe1011e… |
| 06-07 04:55:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe1011e… |
| 06-07 04:55:58 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe1011e… |
| 06-06 14:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x830d…be50 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xc05b9d… |
| 06-06 14:26:01 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc05b9d… |
| 06-03 02:59:08 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 9 | 84¢ | $7 | 0xa84315… |
| 06-03 02:59:08 | Flickering-Deviance 0x0eac…140a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xa84315… |
| 06-03 02:59:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 39 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xa84315… |
| 06-03 02:59:08 | Our-Diary 0x747e…57a2 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 13¢ | $11 | 0xa84315… |
| 06-01 03:22:27 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 59 | 87¢ | $51 | 0x12e9d4… |
| 06-01 03:22:27 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x12e9d4… |
| 06-01 03:22:27 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 194 | 13¢ | $25 | 0x12e9d4… |
| 06-01 03:22:27 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0x12e9d4… |
| 06-01 03:22:27 | Pink-Receiver 0x97c2…55d6 | No | SELL | 599 | 84¢ | $503 | 0x12e9d4… |
| 06-01 03:22:27 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 254 | 80¢ | $203 | 0x12e9d4… |
| 05-28 23:42:00 | Flickering-Deviance 0x0eac…140a | Yes | BUY | 114 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x678471… |
| 05-28 23:42:00 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | No | BUY | 114 | 88¢ | $100 | 0x678471… |