Mammoth-Payment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

5,411

lifetime

Volume

$421.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% $-23

Other

32% 17% $-227

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	49	$12.0K	11,020	6,220	+4,800	open	—	04-27 22:25
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	86	$8.8K	6,447	7,647	-1,200	open	—	01-30 07:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	42	$7.7K	4,262	4,362	-100	open	—	05-24 08:03
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	40	$7.2K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	07-23 18:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	48	$7.0K	4,250	4,000	+250	open	—	01-29 12:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	57	$6.0K	4,620	4,423	+197	open	—	05-30 19:16
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	60	$5.7K	4,225	3,875	+350	open	—	01-24 09:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$5.5K	2,836	2,836	+0	open	—	06-17 12:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	20	$5.3K	3,645	2,300	+1,345	No	+$188	05-07 22:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	65	$5.2K	4,440	3,317	+1,123	open	—	05-31 21:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	79	$4.9K	10,800	8,021	+2,779	open	—	05-31 22:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$4.1K	3,965	465	+3,500	open	—	06-03 13:44
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	36	$4.0K	3,018	2,606	+413	open	—	07-29 16:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	18	$3.7K	2,303	2,415	-112	open	—	05-30 14:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	25	$3.5K	2,014	2,014	+0	open	—	05-14 14:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	29	$3.5K	2,746	1,123	+1,623	open	—	04-22 13:47
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	15	$3.5K	3,900	3,900	-0	open	—	07-09 02:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	36	$3.5K	2,237	2,237	+0	open	—	05-30 14:51
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	44	$3.3K	3,530	3,243	+287	open	—	08-02 14:28
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	11	$3.2K	1,669	2,069	-400	open	—	01-06 04:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	29	$3.2K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	08-07 06:04
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	18	$3.1K	1,448	1,750	-302	open	—	02-01 04:49
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	17	$3.1K	1,979	1,400	+579	open	—	01-15 20:17
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	30	$3.0K	2,224	1,448	+776	open	—	02-26 13:57
will google gemini 3 score at least 70 on the frontiermath benchmark	18	$2.9K	1,871	1,318	+553	open	—	01-18 16:35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	14	$2.8K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-21 16:13
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	47	$2.8K	2,800	2,615	+185	open	—	02-18 19:48
internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	17	$2.8K	1,450	1,850	-400	open	—	04-30 10:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$2.8K	1,622	1,238	+384	open	—	02-08 14:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	19	$2.8K	1,983	1,220	+763	open	—	05-19 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 14:44:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x5101ce…
08-12 13:45:33	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	Yes	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xf50b7d…
08-12 09:02:57	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	Yes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xdf5c6c…
08-12 00:03:30	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1739fd…
08-11 22:54:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	265	86¢	$228	0x59748d…
08-11 21:13:58	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xc0ce7d…
08-11 19:04:24	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	465	93¢	$433	0x924cd8…
08-11 18:33:52	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0xc6c907…
08-11 18:08:39	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 31 2026 20260807172431197	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x691e23…
08-11 18:08:28	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xa97e58…
08-11 18:08:24	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by august 31 2026 20260807172323134	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xa50fae…
08-11 17:40:42	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x86ebab…
08-11 17:40:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf3b29a…
08-11 17:28:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	70	76¢	$53	0x6de4ea…
08-11 17:10:16	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x997266…
08-11 17:10:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1adbb9…
08-11 17:10:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6fa50a…
08-11 17:09:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xbf1853…
08-11 13:05:27	will wti dip to 65 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x687b47…
08-11 12:24:39	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	SELL	300	76¢	$228	0xd106b7…
08-11 11:35:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x037621…
08-11 07:03:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	42¢	$38	0x900d74…
08-11 05:20:42	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xb23a9b…
08-11 04:02:16	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x06a31b…
08-11 03:31:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x857c74…
08-11 02:23:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xbe2c53…
08-10 22:34:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x041cfc…
08-10 21:56:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0xf513f7…
08-10 21:50:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804222025507 868 993	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x04dbf9…
08-10 21:03:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	104	68¢	$71	0x7db096…
08-10 20:47:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	95	68¢	$65	0x95971a…
08-10 20:33:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x7c49db…
08-10 20:10:22	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0xbccfd2…
08-10 20:10:01	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0x37f724…
08-10 00:52:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x8805f0…
08-09 23:53:55	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	70	26¢	$18	0xd10d26…
08-09 23:30:46	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb4bad3…
08-09 23:30:45	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf7fadd…
08-09 23:30:40	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xc8da5f…
08-09 23:30:33	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x83989f…
08-09 23:30:22	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xb65299…
08-09 23:30:18	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x960324…
08-09 23:30:18	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x2931f6…
08-09 23:30:16	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x280e66…
08-09 23:30:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xe76034…
08-09 23:30:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x1f4460…
08-09 23:30:12	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xf95e44…
08-09 23:30:09	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x4c3115…
08-09 23:30:06	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x09376e…
08-09 23:30:04	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x876f76…
08-09 23:30:03	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x31840a…
08-09 23:30:01	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x94ee76…
08-09 23:30:00	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xb04880…
08-09 23:29:55	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x03c7fc…
08-09 23:29:54	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x693c1c…
08-09 23:29:52	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x946248…
08-09 23:29:51	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x20d501…
08-09 23:29:49	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xf3672c…
08-09 23:29:48	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xb5e20e…
08-09 23:29:48	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x937757…
08-09 23:29:45	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xd67b3b…
08-09 23:29:43	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x8147b8…
08-09 23:29:42	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x0f2ea1…
08-09 23:29:36	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xe53e6d…
08-09 23:29:34	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x3736f5…
08-09 23:29:33	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xbff1b7…
08-09 23:29:30	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x58c411…
08-09 23:29:27	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x6596d6…
08-09 23:29:25	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x94d59a…
08-09 23:29:24	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x157932…
08-09 23:29:22	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x9ed3fa…
08-09 23:29:21	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xec2400…
08-09 23:29:16	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xefb936…
08-09 23:29:16	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xe746ee…
08-09 23:29:15	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x5e9078…
08-09 23:29:13	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xa0ecde…
08-09 23:29:10	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x88aae5…
08-09 23:29:10	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x62c8cb…
08-09 23:29:07	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x25b51a…
08-09 23:29:06	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xe16b21…
08-09 23:29:06	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xc328cd…
08-09 23:29:03	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x309fba…
08-09 23:29:01	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xda68f9…
08-09 23:29:00	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x291879…
08-09 23:28:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x26aca0…
08-09 23:28:58	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x0dde62…
08-09 23:28:55	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0xa0f5f4…
08-09 19:59:57	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xbaf83f…
08-09 19:48:31	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	186	26¢	$48	0xcec058…
08-09 19:48:31	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0x23c492…
08-09 19:06:04	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	64	35¢	$22	0xa45b20…
08-09 18:41:33	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xddcb0c…
08-09 18:30:40	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x1cf89b…
08-09 17:31:30	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	74	35¢	$26	0x3964d9…
08-09 10:26:30	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc012e5…
08-08 22:50:31	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x089a2d…
08-08 02:21:58	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x71e824…
08-07 21:31:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x46481b…
08-07 20:21:55	Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0xbfbf0b…
08-07 20:15:10	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xb18b68…