Realized P&L
-$250
Unrealized P&L
-$1.10K
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
10
Trades
4,409
lifetime
Volume
$353.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$1.59K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 12:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
63% 50% $-23
Other
32% 17% $-227
Crypto
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +6,440 $1,389 $547 $-841 06-16 22:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,600 $534 28¢ $448 $-86 07-01 10:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +4,837 $642 $179 $-463 06-16 12:37
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -150 $-141 98¢ $-147 $-6 06-03 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $90 100¢ $100 +$10 06-20 12:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,015 $150 $91 $-58 06-16 00:27
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? Yes +300 $39 11¢ $32 $-7 06-22 10:00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No +23 $-8 100¢ $23 +$31 06-20 22:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -21 $-49 83¢ $-18 +$32 06-16 04:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -676 $-194 $-2 +$192 06-21 12:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -554 $-103 $-1 +$102 06-14 18:32
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 01:02