Sparkling-Folder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$93

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-20 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 0% $-4

Politics

16% 100% +$24

Other

10% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	+7	$1	11¢	$1	$-0	06-20 14:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-13	$-1	2¢	$-0	+$0	06-20 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+14	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-20 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781966400	5	$19	26	5	+21	open	—	06-20 14:44
btc updown 5m 1781117700	3	$16	23	15	+8	open	—	06-10 18:59
btc updown 5m 1781118300	4	$13	21	8	+13	open	—	06-10 19:07
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	05-06 16:31
btc updown 5m 1781118600	3	$5	51	0	+51	open	—	06-10 19:13
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 23:14
btc updown 5m 1781118000	2	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 19:02
btc updown 5m 1781967000	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	06-20 14:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$2	12	0	+12	Yes	$-2	05-10 00:44
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$1	80	0	+80	open	—	05-06 17:25
will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-20 15:10
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	05-14 10:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-10 00:42
Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-06 17:31
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-20 14:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$1	333	0	+333	Yes	$-1	05-10 00:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	06-20 15:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	25	0	+25	Yes	+$24	05-06 16:32
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	06-20 14:58
btc updown 5m 1781966700	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	06-20 14:46
btc updown 5m 1781118900	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-10 19:16
will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-20 15:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-10 00:37
btc updown 5m 1781117400	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-10 18:52
btc updown 5m 1781966100	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	06-20 14:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$1	0	13	-13	open	—	06-20 14:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 15:10:47	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa80044…
06-20 15:10:31	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8eeb5b…
06-20 15:01:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x49df12…
06-20 14:58:43	Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc1452e…
06-20 14:57:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x410c65…
06-20 14:53:29	btc updown 5m 1781967000	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x895a64…
06-20 14:52:04	btc updown 5m 1781967000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5b2447…
06-20 14:51:25	btc updown 5m 1781967000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x34de76…
06-20 14:46:02	btc updown 5m 1781966700	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x348a8a…
06-20 14:44:02	btc updown 5m 1781966400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0889b5…
06-20 14:43:49	btc updown 5m 1781966400	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x07cb51…
06-20 14:43:34	btc updown 5m 1781966400	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaff5b6…
06-20 14:43:08	btc updown 5m 1781966400	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb3fd84…
06-20 14:41:56	btc updown 5m 1781966400	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x2ddd3e…
06-20 14:38:46	btc updown 5m 1781966100	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x408c8b…
06-20 14:37:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x40dd5e…
06-10 19:16:04	btc updown 5m 1781118900	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x367aff…
06-10 19:13:07	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5fef95…
06-10 19:11:57	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xeb9016…
06-10 19:10:33	btc updown 5m 1781118600	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb73ee8…
06-10 19:07:40	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x218e0c…
06-10 19:07:12	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x66c9d7…
06-10 19:05:57	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf347cc…
06-10 19:05:24	btc updown 5m 1781118300	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x3efe82…
06-10 19:02:19	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa615eb…
06-10 19:01:16	btc updown 5m 1781118000	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc25cca…
06-10 18:59:10	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6887d2…
06-10 18:58:12	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	SELL	15	81¢	$12	0x925ef0…
06-10 18:56:28	btc updown 5m 1781117700	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x8fd01f…
06-10 18:52:57	btc updown 5m 1781117400	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5975fd…
05-21 23:14:06	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xc51bb3…
05-14 10:56:11	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb02ee3…
05-10 00:44:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe664f2…
05-10 00:42:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf57540…
05-10 00:42:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf0a784…
05-10 00:41:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9da2cb…
05-10 00:37:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x225159…
05-06 17:31:06	Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb6fd99…
05-06 17:25:10	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xbb4bf4…
05-06 17:24:48	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd3dca8…
05-06 16:32:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd73841…
05-06 16:31:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xd44e0d…