Realized P&L
-$1.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$65
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
425
lifetime
Volume
$41.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$2.61K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-18 17:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% $-1,187
Other
37%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1,100 $1,041 97¢ $1.1K +$29 07-04 15:48
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -321 $-319 96¢ $-307 +$12 07-04 08:02
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +314 $279 93¢ $292 +$13 07-02 10:43
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +256 $201 93¢ $238 +$37 07-16 08:45
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No -130 $-118 90¢ $-118 +$1 07-17 21:57
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$2 07-12 14:57
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +100 $83 92¢ $92 +$10 05-28 03:07
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +80 $63 92¢ $74 +$10 07-02 03:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $90 36¢ $71 $-19 06-09 11:36
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +67 $63 96¢ $65 +$2 07-02 17:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-55 64¢ $-64 $-10 06-09 11:36
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +100 $81 44¢ $44 $-36 07-07 15:36
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +27 $13 97¢ $26 +$13 07-18 17:28
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No -27 $-24 90¢ $-24 $-0 07-11 14:35
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -27 $-25 90¢ $-24 +$1 07-03 23:27