Realized P&L
-$1.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$71
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
393
lifetime
Volume
$37.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$2.06K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 22:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-1,187
Other
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +900 $851 96¢ $864 +$13 07-03 02:03
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -309 $-308 95¢ $-294 +$14 07-01 22:22
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +314 $279 90¢ $281 +$2 07-02 10:43
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +208 $166 88¢ $184 +$18 07-02 18:28
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +100 $83 94¢ $94 +$11 05-28 03:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $90 42¢ $85 $-5 06-09 11:36
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +80 $63 90¢ $72 +$8 07-02 03:00
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +67 $63 94¢ $63 +$0 07-02 17:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-55 57¢ $-57 $-2 06-09 11:36
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +46 $32 94¢ $44 +$11 06-30 09:16
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? No -27 $-24 89¢ $-24 $-0 07-01 10:19