Realized P&L
+$1.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.06K
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
68
Trades
904
lifetime
Volume
$102.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$24.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
72% 72% -$122
Other
25% 96% +$1,273
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,000 $3,360 82¢ $3.3K -$100 10-20 13:33
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +2,600 $2,140 86¢ $2.2K +$109 10-21 16:44
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +2,150 $1,972 94¢ $2.0K +$38 10-20 15:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +1,991 $1,840 96¢ $1.9K +$72 10-17 11:07
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -2,100 -$1,698 87¢ $-1827 -$129 08-27 14:41
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -1,676 -$1,673 96¢ $-1614 +$59 10-23 21:37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $892 86¢ $1.2K +$319 10-20 15:06
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,100 $1,070 99¢ $1.1K +$22 10-20 18:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +1,200 $1,011 87¢ $1.0K +$29 09-28 17:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +988 $877 99¢ $981 +$105 10-27 09:34
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1,000 -$1,020 96¢ $-963 +$57 09-18 06:24
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +980 $890 95¢ $935 +$44 09-07 17:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +900 $803 94¢ $850 +$47 10-16 05:42
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? No +699 $614 94¢ $658 +$44 10-22 06:20
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No +600 $561 96¢ $576 +$15 10-16 06:39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +500 $450 95¢ $475 +$25 09-27 15:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +400 $338 90¢ $358 +$20 08-24 17:17
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +300 $285 96¢ $289 +$4 09-29 19:07
Trump out as President before 2027? No +300 $279 96¢ $288 +$9 07-27 19:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +300 $254 92¢ $277 +$23 07-27 19:24
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No +300 $257 92¢ $276 +$19 10-20 17:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -300 -$280 86¢ $-258 +$22 08-05 13:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +300 $218 82¢ $245 +$26 08-05 14:37
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +200 $190 96¢ $193 +$3 08-01 02:56
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 $0 10-20 19:14
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +187 $139 96¢ $179 +$40 10-24 17:37
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +145 $129 95¢ $139 +$9 10-04 22:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $73 63¢ $127 +$54 09-01 12:40
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +100 $95 98¢ $97 +$2 08-29 21:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 No +100 $23 96¢ $96 +$73 08-09 18:03