Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,187
Trades
61
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$16,503
Latest YES mid
7¢
Latest NO mid
93¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 06-14 07:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $4 | $511 | $507 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $124 | $122 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $33 | $22 | +$10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $63 | $92 | $28 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $33 | $22 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $5 | $29 | $24 |
| Median | 5 | — | $73 | $73 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | — | $605 | $605 |
| unranked | 10 | $62 | $14 | +$48 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x79bd…cf32 | Yes | +532 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 04:00 |
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | +532 | $482 | $482 | 1 | 06-06 04:00 |
| cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | +345 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 06-03 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +124 | $112 | $112 | 2 | 06-03 16:47 |
| Pastel-Supermarket 0xa248…3618 | Yes | +76 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 16:54 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-08 16:19 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +35 | $-1 | $8 | 5 | 06-05 16:54 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 06-08 11:11 |
| Quintessential-Drag 0xba89…468c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | +20 | $18 | $55 | 5 | 06-05 16:54 |
| Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-02 08:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x954a…575d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 16:46 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +5 | $4 | $69 | 7 | 06-14 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xc184…82ca | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 07:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xcbe3…91e7 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-06 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf38c…633c | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 02:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +3 | $2 | $55 | 3 | 06-05 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe31f…0c7e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 05:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 07:30:01 | (anonymous) 0xc184…82ca | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x114615… |
| 06-14 07:30:01 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x114615… |
| 06-08 16:19:00 | Deserted-Patrolling 0x9a6d…1f99 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x098b88… |
| 06-08 16:19:00 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x098b88… |
| 06-08 11:15:22 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xd29ff9… |
| 06-08 11:15:22 | Noxious-Respite 0x4819…4afe | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd29ff9… |
| 06-08 11:11:04 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xfbd910… |
| 06-08 11:11:04 | Quintessential-Drag 0xba89…468c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xfbd910… |
| 06-08 05:02:33 | (anonymous) 0xe31f…0c7e | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xcbc6ec… |
| 06-08 05:02:33 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xcbc6ec… |
| 06-07 23:07:55 | Granular-Pantsuit 0x15b8…495b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x40e01d… |
| 06-07 23:07:55 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x40e01d… |
| 06-07 21:54:24 | Light-Backburn 0x4fe1…4691 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x178979… |
| 06-07 21:54:24 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x178979… |
| 06-07 02:04:16 | (anonymous) 0xf38c…633c | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xc044c0… |
| 06-07 02:04:16 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xc044c0… |
| 06-06 18:15:54 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd5e59a… |
| 06-06 18:15:54 | Black-And-White-Harmony 0x2127…4e8c | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xd5e59a… |
| 06-06 10:50:51 | (anonymous) 0xcbe3…91e7 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x45376d… |
| 06-06 10:50:51 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x45376d… |
| 06-06 04:00:55 | Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | BUY | 532 | 91¢ | $482 | 0x91dc69… |
| 06-06 04:00:55 | (anonymous) 0x79bd…cf32 | Yes | BUY | 532 | 9¢ | $50 | 0x91dc69… |
| 06-05 16:54:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x0ae1ff… |
| 06-05 16:54:54 | Pastel-Supermarket 0xa248…3618 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x0ae1ff… |
| 06-05 16:54:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x0ae1ff… |
| 06-05 16:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x0ae1ff… |
| 06-05 16:54:54 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x0ae1ff… |
| 06-04 16:59:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe321bb… |
| 06-04 16:59:40 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | Yes | SELL | 53 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe321bb… |
| 06-04 16:59:40 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe321bb… |
| 06-04 16:29:04 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xaa7346… |
| 06-04 16:29:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xaa7346… |
| 06-04 16:29:04 | Immediate-Killer 0x67bb…fe9f | Yes | BUY | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xaa7346… |
| 06-04 16:27:16 | Usable-Prohibition 0x4947…5fc0 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8a710b… |
| 06-04 16:27:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a710b… |
| 06-04 16:27:16 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8a710b… |
| 06-04 05:55:18 | Junior-Tablet 0xce68…f6b8 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeded34… |
| 06-04 05:55:18 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 35 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeded34… |
| 06-04 00:02:57 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9a9dfc… |
| 06-04 00:02:57 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | No | SELL | 113 | 96¢ | $108 | 0x9a9dfc… |
| 06-04 00:02:57 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 29 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x9a9dfc… |
| 06-04 00:02:57 | Junior-Tablet 0xce68…f6b8 | Yes | SELL | 182 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x9a9dfc… |
| 06-04 00:02:57 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x9a9dfc… |
| 06-03 16:47:57 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0x401213… |
| 06-03 16:47:57 | cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x401213… |
| 06-03 16:46:58 | cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x92f043… |
| 06-03 16:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x954a…575d | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x92f043… |
| 06-03 16:46:54 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 83 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x7a57b9… |
| 06-03 16:46:54 | (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | BUY | 110 | 90¢ | $100 | 0x7a57b9… |
| 06-03 16:46:54 | cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | BUY | 327 | 9¢ | $31 | 0x7a57b9… |
| 06-03 16:46:54 | Unsightly-Young 0x2c1a…42d8 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x7a57b9… |
| 06-03 16:46:54 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x7a57b9… |
| 06-03 16:46:54 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 70 | 9¢ | $7 | 0x7a57b9… |
| 06-03 07:50:06 | (anonymous) 0x8ee2…bb25 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x320778… |
| 06-03 07:50:06 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x320778… |
| 06-02 08:50:13 | Snappy-Poor 0xd3b6…14f4 | No | SELL | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x713112… |
| 06-02 08:50:13 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x713112… |
| 06-02 08:50:13 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x713112… |
| 06-02 08:50:13 | Fearful-Independence 0x8190…b247 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x713112… |
| 06-02 08:50:13 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x713112… |
| 06-02 08:50:13 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x713112… |