Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
open
Total volume
$23,052
Trades
581
Unique wallets
170
Liquidity
$16,503
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-15 21:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $13 | $681 | $668 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $8 | $241 | $233 |
| 🐟 Fish | 28 | $97 | $4.3K | $4.2K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 121 | $588 | $5.8K | $5.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $34 | $22 | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $48 | $29 | +$19 |
| Median | 34 | $35 | $286 | $251 |
| Below median | 23 | $33 | $48 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $6 | $112 | $106 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $1 | $605 | $605 |
| unranked | 85 | $549 | $9.9K | $9.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x79bd…cf32 | Yes | +532 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-06 04:00 |
| Grounded-Depression 0x35bb…009b | No | +532 | $482 | $482 | 1 | 06-06 04:00 |
| cr7 0xa28e…b220 | Yes | +345 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 06-03 16:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +126 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-21 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa39…977f | No | +124 | $112 | $112 | 2 | 06-03 16:47 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | +105 | $4 | $4 | 8 | 08-05 13:27 |
| Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 07-27 19:14 |
| Pastel-Supermarket 0xa248…3618 | Yes | +76 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-05 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | +62 | $59 | $59 | 8 | 08-15 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x5ddf…0192 | No | +61 | $59 | $59 | 10 | 07-18 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe151…cfd9 | No | +58 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 07-18 11:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa588…c430 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 08-15 21:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x1507…2d82 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 07-17 17:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 6 | 08-15 21:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +49 | $-2 | $17 | 19 | 07-27 04:06 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 06-08 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xe472…a6cd | Yes | +39 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 23:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +29 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:32 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +24 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 06-08 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +21 | $20 | $53 | 6 | 07-17 21:59 |
| New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | +20 | $18 | $190 | 27 | 07-18 11:19 |
| Quintessential-Drag 0xba89…468c | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 11:11 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +17 | $17 | $293 | 8 | 08-06 12:29 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 07-09 06:04 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-29 22:01 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 22:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | +10 | $8 | $79 | 7 | 07-17 17:41 |
| Unlined-Cassock 0xf41f…1f7a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 06-29 12:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-28 07:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +6 | $-1 | $13 | 63 | 08-06 12:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x954a…575d | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbdf…4273 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-04 05:48 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +3 | $2 | $55 | 3 | 06-05 16:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xe31f…0c7e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 05:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbdf…f0e9 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-05 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e6e…3a7a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 09:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 21:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xa588…c430 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x282bc1… |
| 08-15 21:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x282bc1… |
| 08-15 21:24:04 | (anonymous) 0x0403…a7ee | No | SELL | 112 | 96¢ | $107 | 0x282bc1… |
| 08-15 21:24:04 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0x282bc1… |
| 08-09 03:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xdece…f630 | No | SELL | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x16d343… |
| 08-09 03:24:09 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x16d343… |
| 08-09 01:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x7640b2… |
| 08-09 01:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xe2a7…941e | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x7640b2… |
| 08-07 05:25:24 | (anonymous) 0xb126…514b | No | SELL | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x9f53d4… |
| 08-07 05:25:24 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x9f53d4… |
| 08-06 14:12:48 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6b1c33… |
| 08-06 14:12:48 | (anonymous) 0x601b…f2df | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x6b1c33… |
| 08-06 12:40:05 | (anonymous) 0x0f4e…a26c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x115eba… |
| 08-06 12:40:05 | (anonymous) 0xf67c…b729 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x115eba… |
| 08-06 12:29:29 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xd2ec5e… |
| 08-06 12:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd2ec5e… |
| 08-06 12:26:23 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x7ece50… |
| 08-06 12:26:23 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7ece50… |
| 08-06 12:19:47 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb6732a… |
| 08-06 12:19:47 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb6732a… |
| 08-06 12:16:30 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 8 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x7a54b2… |
| 08-06 12:16:30 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7a54b2… |
| 08-06 12:12:59 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x78d38a… |
| 08-06 12:12:59 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x78d38a… |
| 08-06 06:16:39 | (anonymous) 0xa8fc…2f0d | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd12c0d… |
| 08-06 06:16:39 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd12c0d… |
| 08-05 13:27:33 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x16e05a… |
| 08-05 13:27:33 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x16e05a… |
| 08-05 13:27:33 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x16e05a… |
| 08-05 09:41:39 | (anonymous) 0x2e6e…3a7a | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x14941a… |
| 08-05 09:41:39 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x14941a… |
| 08-05 06:58:45 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x430c07… |
| 08-05 06:58:45 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…42de | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x430c07… |
| 08-05 06:06:54 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x5cc99c… |
| 08-05 06:06:54 | (anonymous) 0xbbdf…f0e9 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x5cc99c… |
| 08-05 02:35:02 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xc6999d… |
| 08-05 02:35:02 | Superior-Caution 0x3bee…7cbe | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xc6999d… |
| 08-04 14:12:24 | (anonymous) 0x393d…8fae | Yes | SELL | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x53541f… |
| 08-04 14:12:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 0 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x53541f… |
| 08-04 11:26:41 | (anonymous) 0x3eaa…e1a1 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x8975be… |
| 08-04 11:26:41 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x8975be… |
| 08-04 10:03:14 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x478ee5… |
| 08-04 10:03:14 | Rusty-Samurai 0xa4ea…7123 | No | SELL | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x478ee5… |
| 08-04 08:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xf20c…85bc | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x70ef6a… |
| 08-04 08:11:38 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x70ef6a… |
| 08-04 06:36:26 | Rich-Vitamin 0x4dd7…f980 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0b7f3a… |
| 08-04 06:36:26 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0b7f3a… |
| 08-04 05:48:18 | (anonymous) 0xbbdf…4273 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xc7a25f… |
| 08-04 05:48:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc7a25f… |
| 08-04 05:47:05 | Winding-Major 0xef73…3c7b | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc924ef… |
| 08-04 05:47:05 | (anonymous) 0xfba5…27a6 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc924ef… |
| 08-03 20:28:36 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7d381f… |
| 08-03 20:28:36 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x7d381f… |
| 08-02 17:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x7a63…b4ef | Yes | SELL | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0xa273d3… |
| 08-02 17:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa273d3… |
| 08-02 17:51:14 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 84 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xa273d3… |
| 07-31 07:36:56 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd70d3b… |
| 07-31 07:36:56 | Kaleidoscopic-Hemisphere 0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd70d3b… |
| 07-28 13:54:55 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa3426a… |
| 07-28 13:54:55 | (anonymous) 0xa8fc…2f0d | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xa3426a… |
| 07-27 19:14:49 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x143e1b… |
| 07-27 19:14:49 | Unknown-Integer 0x8947…f4b4 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x143e1b… |
| 07-27 04:06:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xeaf57c… |
| 07-27 04:06:21 | (anonymous) 0xcb99…c827 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xeaf57c… |
| 07-27 03:49:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x110da9… |
| 07-27 03:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…42de | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x110da9… |
| 07-27 02:11:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x07f5d9… |
| 07-27 02:11:55 | (anonymous) 0x601b…f2df | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x07f5d9… |
| 07-27 01:39:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x573cfa… |
| 07-27 01:39:03 | (anonymous) 0x0f4e…a26c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x573cfa… |
| 07-26 12:35:43 | (anonymous) 0x3eaa…e1a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xac7c5d… |
| 07-26 12:35:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xac7c5d… |
| 07-26 09:59:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x19871e… |
| 07-26 09:59:03 | Rusty-Samurai 0xa4ea…7123 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x19871e… |
| 07-26 06:42:31 | (anonymous) 0xc184…82ca | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7abf73… |
| 07-26 06:42:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7abf73… |
| 07-24 12:50:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8ea20d… |
| 07-24 12:50:31 | (anonymous) 0xf20c…85bc | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x8ea20d… |
| 07-24 10:18:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbceb2e… |
| 07-24 10:18:40 | Rich-Vitamin 0x4dd7…f980 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xbceb2e… |
| 07-24 06:10:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x00ce5c… |
| 07-24 06:10:27 | Superior-Caution 0x3bee…7cbe | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x00ce5c… |
| 07-23 14:52:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf32266… |
| 07-23 14:52:15 | Winding-Major 0xef73…3c7b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xf32266… |
| 07-23 14:34:42 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xc1aed3… |
| 07-23 14:34:42 | Spectacular-Cable 0xf249…699b | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xc1aed3… |
| 07-23 09:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7d4b9d… |
| 07-23 09:01:04 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7d4b9d… |
| 07-23 04:45:37 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb80791… |
| 07-23 04:45:37 | (anonymous) 0xb126…514b | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xb80791… |
| 07-23 03:01:34 | (anonymous) 0xe2a7…941e | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xe62693… |
| 07-23 03:01:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe62693… |
| 07-23 03:01:34 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe62693… |
| 07-22 11:04:09 | (anonymous) 0xf38c…633c | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xa2cbe9… |
| 07-22 11:04:09 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa2cbe9… |
| 07-22 07:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xac71dc… |
| 07-22 07:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xcbe3…91e7 | No | SELL | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xac71dc… |
| 07-22 02:42:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7ff99f… |
| 07-22 02:42:55 | (anonymous) 0xdece…f630 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7ff99f… |
| 07-20 20:29:13 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a350f… |